Tuesday, January 15, 2013

NBA Premium Play 01/14: Cleveland Cavaliers @ Sacramento Kings


NBA - 715 Cleveland Cavaliers @ 716 Sacramento Kings

Projected Line: Sacramento by 2 points

After their game against Miami, Sacramento is now officially the worst defensive team in the league. In fact, they had a ridiculous defensive rates of 138.09, 132.44, 111.40 and 147.23 on their last four games! The Kings won at Cleveland last month, but Sacramento has regressed even more on their defense lately, especially on pick and roll ball handler defense (1.03 PPP allowed over the last 5 games), so Kyrie Irving should have a huge game tonight. Sacramento's transition defense has been ridiculously bad (1.48 PPP L5 games!!!) and they are at the same time the worst defensive rebounding team in the league with a opposing offensive rebounding rate of 35%!!! Tyreke Evans is returning to the lineup tonight, but with all the trade rumors and problems inside the team, I don't know if Evans's return will be a successful one tonight.

Cleveland is coming from a clear loss last night in LA against the Lakers, but as they got outscored by 20-37 in the first quarter, no Cavaliers player was on the court for a lot of minutes last night. The Cavaliers have a good bounce back spot for tonight against a Kings's defense that has been a pure disaster lately. Cleveland was revenge against the Kings for losing against them at home last month on a close game and I believe they have a very good shot of making this game a very close one. Therefore, I'll be taking the Cavaliers in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 715 Cleveland Cavaliers (+6) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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