NBA Premium Play 01/21: San Antonio Spurs @ Philadelphia 76ers

NBA - 713 San Antonio Spurs @ 714 Philadelphia 76ers

Projected Line: 192 points

Philadelphia played their worst game of the season at San Antonio, on a final game road trip, where they were playing their fourth game in 5 days, while being also on a back to back spot, so they had absolutely no legs to be competitive on that game.

San Antonio's defense must be the league's best hidden secret. They are currently #5 on overall defense and their recent numbers are even better, as they are averaging a 101.9 defensive rating over their last 10 games and 98.18 over their last 5 games! This results from their defensive discipline. They don't sent their opponents to the free throw line (#3 in opponent FT rate), they are one of the best teams at defending the rim by allowing just 60% FG and their whole strategy is to force opponents from shooting long jumpers from 16-23 feet, which is exactly what Philadelphia's offense uses to do.

Philadelphia's offense is one of the team that less times goes to the FT line (#29 in the league with 17.4 attempts per game), while they are #3 on shooting volume from 16-23 feet area. Their problem is that they are #26 in shooting efficiency from this area with just 33.9% FG. So, San Antonio's defense is definitely a tough matchup for the Sixers's offense.

So, the question in here is to know if Philadelphia's defense can make a good job or not against San Antonio. In the first game between the two teams, San Antonio scored 109 points, but Philadelphia was on a terrible spot, like I've previously said. Now, Philadelphia is rested and they will be able to limit San Antonio's offense better today. Therefore, I expect a relatively low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713/714 Under 196 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes