Projected Line: 183 points
This is a very poor spot for Charlotte, who will be playing their third game in four nights, while this is also a back to back game for them. If the Bobcats keep using the current lineup on the backcourt, they will continue to struggle on offense, as the team doesn't spread the floor and they lack good shooting skills: it's just too easy to defend them. To make things worse for them. Indiana's defense is a horrible matchup for Charlotte's offense. The Bobcats like to attack the rim with dribble penetrations from their guards, especially Kemba Walker, but they don't have a good FG%. Indiana is #1 on paint defense with 35.0 ppg allowed and they allow just 60% FG at the rim, with a huge frontcourt in size that will contest a lot of shots from the Bobcats. Indiana is also #1 on transition defense with 0.96 PPP allowed and just 9.17 fast break points allowed per game, so Charlotte will heavily struggle on offense tonight, as they really need to score easy points on transition to be effective on offense, as they are clueless on half court sets.
Charlotte had a poor effort in both ends of the floor last night at Toronto, in a game where they got outrebounded by the undersized Raptors. So, tonight, I expect them to bounce back in terms of effort and if their offense will struggle a lot against the Pacers, they can have a decent job on defense. Charlotte is #8 on post up defense, so they should be able to limit Indiana's frontcourt today, while their problem on defense is generally against good ball movement teams that can expose Charlotte's poor perimeter defense. Indiana isn't a good jump shooting team, so they aren't the kind of team that can really expose Charlotte's struggles on the perimeter. I believe Indiana will absolutely shutdown Charlotte's offense today, while the Bobcats should make a decent defensive job as well, therefore I expect a low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 503/504 Under 186 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
No comments:
Post a Comment