Thursday, January 3, 2013

NBA Premium Play 01/02: Brooklyn Nets @ Oklahoma City Thunder


NBA - 715 Brooklyn Nets @ 716 Oklahoma City Thunder

Projected Lines: 193 points | Oklahoma City by 13 points

Brooklyn looked good on their first two games under P.J. Carlesimo, but then against a top team on the road, they got completely crushed while getting outscored by 5-30 in the third quarter! They ended that game with 16% of volume on isolation plays, a clear sign of poor ball movement. They will now have another very tough game at Oklahoma City, as the Thunder are a horrible matchup for the Nets. Brook Lopez will be defended by Kendrick Perkins and the Thunder are #6 on post up defense. Then, Deron Williams is banged up with a wrist injury and he will have a tough battle tonight against Russell Westbrook. Joe Johnson will also be well defended by Thabo Sefolosha, so Brooklyn's top three offensive players won't have an easy task tonight. By the way, Oklahoma City is also #6 on isolation defense.

The Nets defense has been terrible in defending transitions, but they have been decent against spot up plays. However, I doubt that they can shutdown the Thunder's defense the whole game. Oklahoma City has a good spot and a great matchup for tonight, so I expect them to blowout the Nets tonight, while shutting down their offense. Therefore, I'll be taking both Oklahoma City and the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 715/716 Under 197 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 716 Oklahoma City Thunder (-9,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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