Wednesday, January 9, 2013

NBA Premium Play 01/08: Phoenix Suns @ Milwaukee Bucks


NBA - 507 Phoenix Suns @ 508 Milwaukee Bucks

Projected Line: Milwaukee by 10 points

Coach Scott Skiles is gone in Milwaukee and the Bucks are coming from a loss at Indiana with a lineup that would always struggle to have success with an ultra defensive minded formation of Luc Mbah a Moute, Ekpe Udoh and Larry Sanders! This frontcourt with no offensive skills puts a lot of pressure on Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings in the backcourt and it's only enough that one of them struggles for the Bucks to get shutdown on offense. Brandon Jennings shot 4-15 FG against Indiana and the Bucks's offense quickly collapsed. In fact, according to82games.com, that starting lineup of the Bucks is averaging a ridiculous 87 offensive rates! 

The Suns have been engaged in trade discussions, so there's a lot of distractions going around for Phoenix, while Milwaukee with a new coach has all the motivation needed to have a big game tonight. Phoenix has committed 21 and 14 turnovers over their last two games and now against a Bucks team that is a good team at creating turnovers (#4 with 16.4 opposing turnovers per game). The Suns bench is also struggling tonight and with Ersan Ilyasova back in the starting lineup to take some pressure off from the Bucks's backcourt on offense, I expect Milwaukee to have an easy win tonight. 

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 508 Milwaukee Bucks (-6) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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