Sunday, January 6, 2013

NBA Premium Play 01/05: Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs


NBA - 513 Philadelphia 76ers @ 514 San Antonio Spurs

Projected Line: 191 points

***UPGRADED INTO A DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

This isn't a good spot for either team, as San Antonio will play their third game in four nights, while Philadelphia will play their fourth game in five nights. This is an interesting matchup, as San Antonio likes to play on a fast pace, while Philadelphia likes to play on a much slower pace. The Sixers offense depends a lot from Jrue Holiday, Evan Turner and Nick Young, with Philadelphia being a jump shooting team with a huge volume on shots from 16-23 feet! With them being on a poor spot, I expect them to struggle in making those long two's tonight.

On the other hand, San Antonio is averaging a pace of only 90.73 in 12 games against teams that are in the bottom 10 in terms of pace factor, so I believe they will relatively accept Philadelphia's slow tempo tonight. The Sixers are #5 on transition defense and #2 on fast break points allowed, so I expect San Antonio to struggle in scoring in fast breaks tonight. I expect this game to be a halfcourt oriented game, with both teams struggling a bit on offense due to their poor spots. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 513/514 Under 198 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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