Wednesday, January 9, 2013

NBA 01/09 Free Premium Play: Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics

  
Phoenix  at Boston 
NBA - 707 Phoenix Suns @ 708 Boston Celtics

Projected Line: Boston by 13 points


Phoenix offense is a great matchup for the Celtics defense: Goran Dragic is their primary ball handler and the Celtics will throw a fresh Rajon Rondo on him or even Bradley if needed. The Suns are a poor offensive rebounding team – just #19 in the league w/ 26.0% off.reb/rate% so the Celtics will be able to avoid being pounded on the glass like they usual are against good rebounding teams. Gortat and Scola have nice offensive skills but they won’t overpower anyone so the Suns won't be able to take advantage of the biggest weakness of this Celtics team.

The Suns lost (again) last night in Milwaukee in game in which I played the Bucks -6. After a nice 33-point first quarter outburst, the Suns went 28-of-72 from the field the rest of the way, including a putrid 4-of-20 from three-point range. When the Bucks defense pressured more in the second half, the Suns didn't fight. They just laid back and shot jumpers: 19 FGA’s from 16-23 feet + 20 3pts! On the other end, the lack of effort of the Suns in the defensive end was pretty evident, no wonder they have lost now ten games in a row.

For tonight they have a tough spot playing their third game in 4 nights. Right now they don’t have the right mindset to be competitive on the road.

The Celtics won a huge game in New York against the Knicks. I like the fact that Rondo didn't play in that game because we can expect him to be fired up and carry on his team. This “new look” Celtics team is starting to impress me so I’m taking Boston tonight for a easy blowout win.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 708 Boston Celtics (-9) @ -
110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

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