Tuesday, January 1, 2013

NBA 01/01 Free Premium Play: Sacramento Kings @ Detroit Pistons

  
Sacramento  at Detroit 
NBA - 505 Sacramento Kings @ 506 Detroit Pistons


Projected Line: 201 points


Both teams have been playing very well on offense, something strange considering their season rankings. Sacramento is #16 on offensive rating this season with 105.2, but they are averaging 110.2 over their last 10 games. On the other hand, Detroit is #18 on the season with 105.5, but they are averaging 111.8 over their last 10 games. The Kings offense has improved due to their also improved ball movement and better floor spacing that is giving them better opportunities to shoot the ball. They dished 31, 28, 28 and 28 assists over their last four games and with this kind of good ball movement, the Kings are now a good offensive team.

Detroit's offensive improvement is due to the great form of their offensive minded second unit! Will Bynum, Charlie Villanueva and Austin Daye are all red hot on offense and they are poor defenders as well. These two teams are shooting well near the basket with Sacramento shooting 68% FG at the rim and Detroit 69% FG at the rim over their last 10 games, while they are also red hot on the outside with Detroit shooting 40% 3pts and Sacramento 38.9% 3pts over their last 10 games! I expect this game to have a decent pace and with both teams continuing their great offensive runs and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 505/506 Over 196 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

No comments:

Post a Comment