Olympic Games - Men's Basketball Quarter Finals - United States vs Australia
Projected lines: 185 points | United States by 29 points
The last time these two teams faced each other was in the previous Olympics in Beijing, where the United States won by 116-85. I don't believe it will be that lopsided, even though Australia doesn't have a shot at winning the game of course.
Australia is a tough team that will be very physical on today's game. They have a physiology of not allowing easy baskets to their opponents and so expect the Aussies to foul the US team as much as necessary to prevent the Americans to easily score on transition plays. Therefore, Australia will try to slow the pace down against the US team.
With some depth and good size, Australia will surely defend the paint, not allowing easy shots down low. They also have a good transition defense and so, they have all the necessary conditions to make the US have a subpar game on offense today, which means they shouldn't be able to score 115 points or more today.
On the other hand, Australia's main problem on offense is their lack of outside shooting, even though they improved that in their last two games with 13-24 and 11-30 3pts. They also have a good pick n roll offense and with USA being so dominant throughout this whole competition, they might underestimate Australia today. I expect a relatively slow paced game in here, especially for a game involving the United States and with Australia keeping this score relatively respectable. Therefore, I'll take both Australia and the Under today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 190 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Australia (+33) @ -105 / 1.95 on Pinnacle
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