WNBA - 653 New York Liberty @ 654 Connecticut Sun
Projected line: Connecticut by 4 points
The Liberty took advantage of the Olympic break to practice and especially to heal some of their injured players, especially Planette Pierson, Kia Vaughn and DeMya Walker. With their frontcourt now healed, New York scored 46 points in the paint in their game two days ago against Connecticut, their second best mark of the season. Not only they looked good on paint, as their better presence on the inside helps spreading the floor to give more space to their shooters and that's why the Liberty shot 6-16 3pts! Even without a star in the frontcourt, the Liberty have a deep unit that helps them in always being quite good down low throughout the whole games.
On the other hand, Connecticut had basically a no-show in New York. With Jones out due to injury and Charles struggling with 1-7 FG, the Sun were never in the game. They showed no aggressiveness (4-5 FT), but I'm sure they will look better today, with Charles bouncing back and with the whole team trying to be more aggressive on both ends of the floor. However, with even Connecticut playing much better today, I still believe the Liberty will be competitive tonight. Even though Connecticut has already routed the Liberty at home twice this season (92-77 & 97-55), the truth is that tonight's spread (7,5) is very similar to the lines these two games had (7 & 8), even though Connecticut had Charles and Jones on their best and with the Liberty having a banged up Pierson playing just 8 minutes and coming off the bench.
Therefore, we have good reasons to believe that this healthy version of the Liberty have conditions to make this game very competitive tonight, especially when the Sun will be playing without Jones and with Charles bouncing back but yet to be at 100% after the Olympics. So, I'll be taking New York on tonight's contest.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 653 New York Liberty (+7,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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