Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Olympic Games 08/02: Men's Basketball - France vs Lithuania


Olympic Games - Men's Basketball - France vs Lithuania

Projected lines: 156 points | France by 4 points

Both teams are coming from a good win after losing their first game, so this will definitely be a very interesting game to watch. Even after a good win over Nigeria, it's still clear that Lithuania's defense is soft and center Robertas Javtokas is really being missed in the team's frontcourt. Their defense is still lacking energy and they are struggling to perform the close outs. So, I expect Tony Parker to have a good game on this contest due to his speed that will expose Lithuania's poor team help defense that lacks any kind of coordination. So, France has in Lithuania a good chance to have a good offensive game. Their problem has been their 3pts shooting, but they were decent against Argentina with 9-25 3pts.

France was able to outplay Argentina throughout almost the whole game, as both Delfino and Nocioni were completely stopped by a stronger, more fresh and more aggressive French team that completely exposed Argentina's non-existent depth on their roster. However, this won't happen against Lithuania, as the Lithuanian team has Songaila, Kleiza, Maciulis and Jankunas for the PF + SF positions, so they have a lot of depth on the positions where France was able to overpower Argentina on their previous game.

Even with the problems I've mentioned before, Lithuania is a very dangerous team, as they are very tough to defend due to their great shooting from everywhere on the court. France is coming from a very intense game against Argentina, something that will be hard to replicate on this contest, as Lithuania will be a tougher opponent due to their much bigger depth. France will have some edge on offense, but Lithuania's great shooting will also make some damage. I believe this will be a fairly close contest with both teams being effective on offense and so, I'll take both Lithuania and the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 151 @ -105 / 1.952 on Pinnacle
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Lithuania (+7,5) @  -112 / 1.893 on Pinnacle

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