Projected line: 161 points
I really love the Under on this contest. Nigeria loves to play on a super slow pace and they are a good rebounding team, while their shooting is catastrophic. Unlike Tunisia who took advantage of the US laziness on defense by making 3pts shots, Nigeria is a very poor shooting team and they near to score close to the basket via offensive rebounding or easy shots, an area where the US team is very strong, so I really believe Nigeria will heavily struggle in scoring a remotely decent number of points today.
So, the question is to know how the US team will perform on offense. The pace of this game being surely slow and Nigeria has a good defense in both the paint and the perimeter, with Aminu and Diogu playing very hard, with a lot of hustle. So, this won't be a walk in the park for the US team and they will be involved in a very physical contest. After two games where the US team saw their games go over quite easily, this line was clearly set way too high for the kind of contest this game will be. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here in a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on Under 170 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes
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