NBA - 711 Utah Jazz @ 712 New Orleans Hornets
Projected line: 182 points
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
These two teams are coming from high scoring games on their first game of the season and after the totals line opened at 187.5 points, the line quickly moved to 189 points. However, I believe we have a great chance of having a low scoring game in here due to the matchup of these two teams.
Utah crushed Dallas last Wednesday in the way I expected them to do it, as I took both the Jazz and the Over. Utah's game plan was extremely easy: they simply ran and pushed up the pace every single time on the first half. When the third quarter arrived, Dallas simply didn't have legs anymore as they were on a tough spot and they got crushed by 58-31 in the second half due to their lack of depth. I had mentioned Dallas' problems on the frontcourt with no depth and with Elton Brand coming from heavy minutes in the previous night and by the middle of the third quarter, Utah was leading Dallas in second chance points by 17-0 and on offensive rebounds by 16-1!!! The final numbers also represent Utah's aggressiveness, as they grabbed 60% of the rebounds, had 20 offensive rebounds, went 42 times to the FT line and scored 27 fast break points! Utah's gameplan for tonight will naturally be different, as New Orleans has little similarities with Dallas.
New Orleans was a great defensive rebounding team last season and during the preseason, they led the league on that stat. Their frontcourt is big with Robin Lopez, Anthony Davis and Al-Farouq Aminu, so it will be tough for Utah's frontcourt to dominate like they did against the undersized Mavericks. Utah's problems in dominating down low against Monty Williams' defensive system is well documented, as even though the Hornets were a lowly team last season, they won the series against Utah by 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS! The Hornets might struggle with turnovers that could lead to Utah scoring transition points, but I'm not worried as Monty Williams thought about that (http://videos.nola.com/times-
New Orleans doesn't have a lot of offensive talent down low, so they will dependent from their outside shooting that isn't good without Eric Gordon: 4-17 3pts against the Spurs! I expect this game to turn into a relatively slow paced game with the Hornets wanting that as much as possible. With Utah struggling to score down and with New Orleans having expected offensive problems, I expect this game to turn into a low scoring affair, something that the public isn't expecting to happen in here. I'll take the Under in here on a Double Dime Play!
NOTE: The line of this game was at 190 points and now we have 191.5 points. I will personally take Under 192 @ -115 / 1.87 on Pinnacle, a soli
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 711/712 Under 191,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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