NBA - 703 Milwaukee Bucks @ 704 Philadelphia 76ers
Projected Line: 192 points
Milwaukee played two games against Philadelphia last season after the Monta Ellis trade and those games were fast paced games, so I expect tonight's game to be also fast paced. What improved in Philadelphia on their last two games in comparison to the start of the season was that they improved on transitions and spot up plays, with their two guards Jrue Holiday and Evan Turner taking better decisions while attacking the rim. They are coming from a road win in Toronto, where they shot 9-10 FG and had a 1.82 PPP on transition plays! They also played well in terms of spot up plays and we have to give merit as well to Thaddeus Young and Dorell Wright, who are now playing better on offense. Jason Richardson is also probable for tonight, so the Sixers will have one more good shooter available to have a good offensive night against the poor perimeter defense of the Bucks.
Milwaukee is coming from a close loss at home against Boston, where Monta Ellis played well in terms of attacking the rim with 7-10 FG! The problem was Brandon Jennings who didn't do the same and decided to shoot from the perimeter and quite poorly, as he shot 0-1 FG at the rim, 0-2 FG from 10-15 feet, 0-1 FG from 16-23 feet and especially 1-7 3pts! Mike Dunleavy was also in foul trouble and he had little impact on the game with 1-4 FG in 14 minutes. Milwaukee penetrated and performed kick out plays to the perimeter, but they just couldn't shoot well with 3-19 3pts, as besides Brandon Jennings, also Ersan Ilyasova keeps struggling. With Mike Dunleavy struggling coming off the bench, the Bucks super potent on offense second unit simply didn't work well.
Today, I expect a bounce back from Brandon Jennings and Mike Dunleavy, while helping the Bucks in having a good offensive night. Philadelphia is playing well on offense right now and with both teams having good offensive nights on a fast paced game, I see value on the Over and I'll take it in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 703/704 Over 190 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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