NBA - 501 Washington Wizards @ 502 Charlotte Bobcats
Projected Line: 192 points
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY - SPLIT THE WAGER***
Washington is coming from their fifth loss in five games against Indiana, but where for the second straight game, their starting lineup was productive. All their starters scored double digit points, while A.J. Price was excellent on the PG position with 12 points, 14 assists and zero turnovers! There are two curious facts about the Wizards: they have little volume of their shots near the basket and so, they aren't aggressive, as they attempt just 22.8 shots at the rim per game plus they rank last in FT attempts with 14.6 per game! That was clear with their 4-5 FG at the rim and 5-7 FT on this game against the Pacers. On the other side, their ball movement is excellent, as they dished 26 assists, while shooting 12-25 FG from 16-23 feet and 10-24 3pts on 15 assisted FG made! Washington is a good team on spot ups, off screens and cuts, while showing a great perimeter offense, as well a respectable 1.06 PPP (points per possession) on pick and rolls!
The Wizards will now play in Charlotte, on a good matchup for them. The Bobcats use a high pressure defense that is quite susceptible to get exposed against teams with good ball movement! That's why they are allowing 52% FG from 16-23 feet and 43.7% from 3pts, while being dead last in the league in these two stats! Even though Washington was poor on offensive rates, they also demonstrate good ball movement, as they had 26, 20, 25, 23 and 26 assists on their five games, while having a very good 69.22% assist rate! So, with Washington passing well the ball and exposing Charlotte's high pressure defense, the Wizards have an excellent matchup in here to have a great offensive game.
The Bobcats offense is based on their PG's and their ability in attacking the rim and grabbing offensive rebounds. Their outside shooting is very inconsistent and even though they have a high volume on shots taken in the paint, they are dead last in FG% at the rim. In fact, the Bobcats shot 17-30 FG on their last game against Dallas, but they had a big edge in offensive rebounds by grabbing 21! Charlotte is also quite good on pick and roll ball handler by being #6 in the league with 0.86 PPP, however Washington's defense on this kind of plays is very good (#3) by allowing just 0.59 PPP! Still, I believe the Bobcats won't be completely shutdown by the Wizards defense, as they aren't good enough to handle an in-form Kemba Walker, who has been in excellent form at the start of the season.
I believe both teams will at least have a quite decent offensive game tonight, therefore I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Over 188 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
***ADDED PLAY***
As I've said, I believe Washington has an excellent matchup tonight to have a great offensive night, while they had some tools to somewhat limit Charlotte's offense as well by being a good pick and roll ball handler defense, besides being also #6 on defensive rebounding and so, they won't allow the Bobcats to grab a lot of offensive rebounds, one of the main strengths. Therefore, I'll be taking Washington in here as well on a Double Dime Play! Split the wager!
NOTE: I had planned to take Washington in here since last night when I sent the over play, but I delayed the release of this play in order to get extra value on the line.
Pick: 1 unit on 501 Washington Wizards ML @ +115 / 2.15 on 5Dimes
Pick: 3 units on 501 Washington Wizards (+2) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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