NBA - 501 Orlando Magic @ 502 Brooklyn Nets
Projected Line: 187 points
This is the second game between these two teams in just three days, with Brooklyn having crushed Orlando by 107-68 last Friday! The Magic were a mess defensively and they weren't better on offense. They didn't go to the free throw line, they had a ridiculously amount of poor shots and they had a lot of turnovers. They will pass the ball to Glen Davis, Brooklyn would double team him and then, the Magic wouldn't just be able to rotate the ball. Jameer Nelson's absence is really making them struggle.
Brooklyn is being terrible on defending on the inside by being just #25 on post up defense, while they also can't stop the cuts from their opponents (#26). But they aren't getting exposed on that against Orlando, as the Magic don't have a good player that can pound them on the inside. Well, they have Glen Davis, but the Nets can easily double team team. Without Jameer Nelson and Hedo Turkoglu, Orlando is terrible on pick and rolls and with the Nets being #1 on pick and roll defense, nothing is working for the Magic offensively on this matchup. That's why they scored 68 points last Friday.
Of course Orlando will come to this game with more aggressiveness and they won't have just 8 free throw attempts this time. However, they won't be able to be competitive via their offense, so they will need to put a lot of effort on their defense. Brooklyn dominated the rebounds with 15 offensive rebounds and 6-8 FG on offensive rebound shots last Friday, however the Nets offense is still a work in progress and even though they had such an easy game last Friday, the truth is that they only had 21 assists for an assists rate of just 51.22%! They scored a lot of points because they shot extremely well from the outside with 2-2 FG from 10-15 feet, 8-18 FG from 16-23 feet and 9-23 3pts. With Orlando having a bigger defensive effort today and with Brooklyn not having a great ball movement, I expect the Nets to struggle more on offense today.
I believe Orlando will be making a good defensive effort today, while they can't really do anything on offense against the Nets, so I expect a low scoring game in here. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under on this contest.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 191 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
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