NBA - 509 Portland Trailblazers @ 510 Sacramento Kings
I like Portland's spot tonight to have a strong start on this game. They had a very poor start of the game against Atlanta, with a lot of turnovers that led to easy transition points to the Hawks. However, Portland's defense was much better on the second half without committing turnovers and Atlanta struggled at the end, with the Blazers actually leading the game at a certain time of the 4th quarter. At the end, Atlanta won the game, but Portland left the game with a good feeling and I expect them to enter the game tonight with some confidence.
The only reason why I'm taking Portland on the first half and not on full time is because of their possible poor physical spot for this contest. The Blazers have a decent starting lineup that is capable of going toe-to-toe against most NBA team, but as soon as the key players go to the bench to rest, they struggle. This was exactly what happened on their home game against San Antonio, where Wesley Matthews ended the game with +14 on +/- team points, J.J Hickson +15 and LeMarcus Aldridge +19!
Sacramento may not have DeMarcus Cousins for tonight due to a suspension, but I know that the Kings offense is struggling big time with or without Cousins. Sacramento's offensive game without Cousins is almost exclusively perimeter-based and they don't have a good ball movements, something that leads to a poor perimeter shooting. Portland has been good on their post up game so far with LeMarcus Aldrdige and J.J. Hickson and with Sacramento possibly not having DeMarcus Cousins on court, they will struggle big time on this area. Sacramento will have some edge on transition, but Portland has a good mindset and a good matchup on this game, therefore I'll be taking the Blazers in here on a first half moneyline.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 509 Portland Trailblazers HALFTIME ML @ +115 / 2.15 on 5Dimes
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