Projected Line: New Orleans by 14 points
Buffalo is coming from a mega phony win at Miami. Their offense is completely depleted right now with them being forced to start QB Thad Lewis, while their #1 RB C.J. Spiller is also out for today's game. Even their OL is clearly underperforming in comparison to the previous seasons and they are just #24 on pass protection. They keep playing at a very fast tempo, but with so many problems on offense, I don't see how they will be productive today against an underrated Saints defense that isn't no longer that terrible unit from the past season.
On the other hand, Buffalo's defense is yet to face a top offense like the Saints. They faced the Patriots without receivers available, the Panthers and their terrible playbook, the Jets, the one-dimensional Ravens, the terrible Browns offense, the also one-dimensional Bengals and finally, the poor Dolphins offense. Things will be completely different today and New Orleans won't have problems in scoring at home against the Bills, even if Jimmy Graham can't play today. Therefore, I'll be taking the Saints in here for an easy blowout win.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 218 New Orleans Saints (-10) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 8 - 221 New York Jets @ 222 Cincinnati Bengals
Projected Line: 38 points
Cincinnati is coming from two road wins at Buffalo and at Detroit. Their game against the Bills (#1 fast paced team) went to overtime and then, they faced the Lions, a good pass offense team that saw Calvin Johnson have a Godlike second half in that game. On the other hand, the Jets are coming from a mega win on overtime against the Patriots, where they showed once again their conservative offense, with 33 pass plays and 52(!) rushing plays! Chris Ivory carried the football 34 times last week, so I believe he will struggle to make an impact today after such an effort last week. As usual, Cincinnati's defense is a top 10 team against both the pass and the run and so, I believe the Jets' offense will struggle in here, in a clear emotional letdown for them.
On the other hand, I don't expect the Bengals' offense to cause any issues to the Jets' defense on the running game. The main reason for that is the fact that the Jets' run defense has been insanely good this season, with a defensive rush DVOA of -46.9%, -50.1%, -52.5%, -35.9%, -23.7%, -27.6% and +11.1% on their games this season! A.J. Green is Cincinnati's main and almost unique target on offense and the Jets with Antonio Cromartie should limit Green decently today. Therefore, I believe this game will be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 221/222 Under 41,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 8 - 223 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 224 Oakland Raiders
Projected Line: 44 points
Terrelle Pryor is expecting to bounce back after a poor game at Kansas City. The spot is good for him, as he is coming from facing the best DL in the league and he will face the Steelers' defense that is the second worst in league in sacks. With pretty much everybody available on the Raiders' offense, I expect them to pick up a decent amount of points on a Steelers defense that isn't as good in the past, especially in handling mobile quarterbacks as Pryor. The Steelers are also just #23 on run defense, so Darren McFadden might have a big game today as well.
On the other hand, Pittsburgh's offense is starting to show some life signs. Ben Roethlisberger is starting to connect some good passes, while even the team's running game showed some production against the Ravens last week. Oakland's pass defense is quite poor by being #24 in the league and I expect the Steelers to pick up some huge passing plays in here. Therefore, I expect this game will be a relatively high scoring game like last season's game between these two teams was and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 223/224 Over 40,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 8 - 225 Washington Redskins @ 226 Denver Broncos
Projected Line: 54 points
I believe it's today that a game involving Denver will finally go Under the total posted. Peyton Manning is currently dealing with sprains in both ankles, including a right high-ankle sprain. He will now face a Redskins defense that is #8 in the league on sacks, so I believe the Broncos' passing game might have some surprising problems today.
On the other hand, Denver's defense might be struggling a lot overall right now, but they are still #5 in the league on run defense, something that will neutralize most of the Redskins' offense. Also after losing for the first time this season, I expect the Broncos to make a bigger effort on defense today and eventually stopping Washington's offense will some success today. Therefore, I can't agree with such totals line in here and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 225/226 Under 59 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
NFL Week 8 - 215 Cleveland Browns @ 216 Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Week 8 - 229 Green Bay Packers @ 230 Minnesota Vikings
***2-TEAM 6,5PTS TEASER***
Cleveland's offense is currently a disaster and the situation won't get any better while facing the Chiefs' elite defense. Jason Campbell will now start at QB, but he isn't a mobile QB and so, I expect the Chiefs' great pass rush to be all over him today. On the other hand, the Browns' running game continue to be poor as well, so I don't see how Cleveland will score a decent amount of points today. On the other hand, Cleveland's defense is a good unit, but with their offense lacking any kind of production today, this will allow Kansas City to start their drives in great positions to eventually score a decent amount of points and get another win for them.
Minnesota is another team that is struggling big time right now. Adrian Peterson is struggling since the team's bye week and Christian Ponder will now be back under center, as Josh Freeman is out with a concussion. The Vikings' offense was horrible last Monday and scored 0 points on offense (their points came from on a punt return) and I don't expect them to get a lot better tonight. On the other hand, the Vikings' defense is also struggling with their pass rush being quite ineffective, while their secondary is struggling with Harrison Smith. Aaron Rodgers and the rest of the Packers' offense won't have problems in picking up the necessary amount of points to beat their divisional rivals on National TV tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 216 Kansas City Chiefs (-0,5) x 229 Green Bay Packers (-1) @ -130 / 1.77 on Bookmaker
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