NBA Free Premium Play 10/29: Orlando Magic @ Indiana Pacers

Orlando  at Indiana

NBA - 501 Orlando Magic @ 502 Indiana Pacers Play #1 We will have a lot of games this season with double digits lines, but a top team like Indiana won't be just a -11.5 points favorite many times against a lowly team like Orlando. I have no doubt that the Pacers will be once again a top team this season. I watched some of their preseason games and their defense will be once again a top 3 unit, while they are more inconsistent on offense but with Luis Scola and C.J. Watson coming off the bench, Indiana will also be a better offensive team than they were last season, especially considering how much Roy Hibbert struggled on offense during the first half of the past season. Matchup wise, Orlando couldn't have a worse matchup than Indiana on their season debut. The Magic will have a lot of problems on offense not only due to lack of talent, but also because their best player Nikola Vucevic will face the best defensive frontcourt in the league. This is why Vucevic could only have the following numbers against Indiana last season: @ IND 3/19: 31min, 4-12 FG 9pts and 11reb vs IND 03/08: 34min, 6-11 FG 12pts and 6 reb vs IND 01/16: 35min, 7-13 FG 16 pts and 15 reb I know we can't take the preseason very seriously, but Orlando committed 20.6 turnovers per game in those games and they will now face the best defensive team in the league. So, I don't expect things to work well for the Magic at all. On the other side, Indiana will have a clear mismatch at the PF position that they will explore without much problems. Orlando has both Glen Davis and Tobias Harris out for this game, so Moe Harkless and Andrew Nicholson will be the two available players that can play at the PF position. So, these two players will have to defend David West and then Luis Scola, good luck with that! Indiana showed in the preseason that they are already focused and that they are ready to play faster and more aggressive in order to force turnovers to their opponents. On their last three preseason games, they forced, 22, 20 and 25 turnovers that led to almost 20 fast break points per game in those games. This is something that should also happen in here, as Orlando doesn't have good ball handlers, something that makes them turnover prone. I have Indiana winning this game by at least 15 points and so, I'll be taking them in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 502 Indiana Pacers (-11.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes