Projected Lines: 38 points | Kansas City by 6 points
Kansas City is 5-0 right now, but they don't have the level of the other 5-0 teams, New Orleans and Denver. On their last game at Tennessee, the Chiefs struggling on offense with 1-12 on third downs, while Alex Smith had a poor game with 20/39 245 yds 0/1 TD/INT. They compensated the lack of efficiency on offense with a stellar defense and with a great reliability in avoiding turnovers. For such a conservative offense like Kansas City's, they will struggle today due to their issues at the TE position. Donnie Avery is probable but banged up with a shoulder injury, while Anthony Fasano is doubtful with an ankle injury and Travis Kelce is out with a knee injury. Oakland's defense has been much better against the run than against the pass and so, they will have a nice matchup today against the run-oriented Chiefs.
On the other side, Oakland has been solid on offense with Terrelle Pryor. The Raiders had a disastrous game against Washington, but Pryor didn't play that game. The Raiders' biggest worry have been their running game that has been below league average over the last three games. However, Darren McFadden is probable for today's game and this is excellent news for Oakland. Of course the Chiefs' defense is an elite unit and will limit Oakland's offense in here, however I expect the Raiders to make this game closer than most people expect. I believe this will be a close low-scoring contest and so, I'll be taking both Oakland and the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 203/204 Under 41,5 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 203 Oakland Raiders (+9) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bovada
NFL Week 6 - 209 Detroit Lions @ 210 Cleveland Browns
Projected Line: 39 points
I expect Cleveland's offense to struggle in here, as Brian Hoyer is out for the season, with the struggling Brandon Weeden returning to be the team's starting QB. As the Browns don't trust Weeden, I expect them to run the football a lot today, something that will burn a lot of time on the clock. This is why I predict this game to be a pretty boring one.
On the other hand, Cleveland's elite defense should also limit Detroit's offense quite well. The Lions' offense looked horrible last week without Calvin Johnson and even though he will play today, he is limited and he will be very well guarded by star CB Joe Haden. With no other reliable options on offense, Detroit will struggle once again to put points on the scoreboard today. Therefore, I believe this game will be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 209/210 Under 43.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 6 - 215 Pittsburgh Steelers @ 216 New York Jets
Projected Line: Pittsburgh by 5 points
Pittsburgh is coming from a bye week (even though they played in London the week before), while the Jets are coming from a MNF road win at Atlanta. The difference between spots gives the Steelers a great opportunity to score their first win of their season today. The Jets defense has been brilliant against the run (#1 in the league), but they have been just average (#18) against the pass. Pittsburgh's offense is super pass-oriented, so they have a decent matchup today against the Jets.
On the other hand, the Jets pass offense has been extremely inconsistent, with some decent performances against Buffalo and Atlanta (two poor defenses) and some other poor showings from Geno Smith. Pittsburgh's defense isn't an elite unit anymore, but they are still quite decent and I expect the super experienced Steelers defense to take advantage from Geno's rookie errors and help Pittsburgh in grabbing a much-needed win today. Therefore, I'll be taking the Steelers in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 215 Pittsburgh Steelers (-1) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
NFL Week 6 - 219 Tennessee Titans @ 220 Seattle Seahawks
Projected Line: Seattle by 16 points
Tennessee is currently without Jake Locker due to a hip injury, so Ryan Fitzpatrick will be their starting QB today and he was a complete disaster last week against Kansas City. Now at Seattle with the Seahawks coming from a loss, I expect Fitzpatrick and consequently the Titans offense to struggle big time today against an elite Seahawks defense that will face an easy matchup today.
Seattle's offense is always very good at home, especially Russell Wilson and the team's passing game. Tennessee's defense is overrated as they faced some unimpressive offenses early in the season such as Pittsburgh, the NY Jets and Kansas City. This isn't the case today, with the fired up Seahawks scoring a considerable number of points today, good enough for them to pick up a clear blowout win today. I'm taking the Seahawks in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 220 Seattle Seahawks (-11,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 6 - 223 Arizona Cardinals @ 224 San Francisco 49ers
NFL Week 6 - 225 New Orleans Saints @ 226 New England Patriots
***2-Team 7pts Teaser***
I believe San Francisco won't have a lot of problems in taking out Arizona today. The Cardinals might look a bit impressive on paper, but they faced weak opposition in almost every game on this early season and when they faced a top team, they got crushed by the Saints. San Francisco has too much resources on both offense and defense to have problems against an improved-but-not-good-enough Cardinals team.
New Orleans has been playing extremely well on this early season not only on offense, but also on their pass defense as well. Therefore, I expect the Saints defense to actually cause some issues to Tom Brady, especially with Rob Growkowski still out and with the Patriots' running backs unit being full of banged up players. On the other hand, the red hot Jimmy Graham should be a horrible matchup for the Patriots defense, something that will cause them to struggle on defense all game long. I believe New Orleans will at the very least make this game a really close one.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 224 San Francisco 49ers (-3) x 225 New Orleans Saints (+9) @ -140 / 1.71 on Bookmaker
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