MLB Premium Play 08/20: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds

MLB - 957 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 958 Cincinnati Reds

(Starting Pitchers: P. Corbin vs T. Cingrani)

We will have on this game two excellent young pitchers, who are quite similar and on a similar form right now as well. Tony Cingrani will start for the Reds and he is coming from a nice win at Milwaukee, where he had a 9/1 K/BB ratio. He had also impressed against San Diego, but he has an issue with high P/IP ratios that prevents him from going deep into the games.  

On the other side, Patrick Corbin will start for the Dbacks and he has been pitching very well lately. He has an impressive 27.7% and 20.0% K%% over the last two months and he is coming to tonight's game will similar numbers to Cingrani's. The key in here is that Arizona's offense is much better in hitting against LH pitchers than Cincinnati's lineup. This is why that Arizona is hitting .284 BA against LH pitchers over their last 10 games, while Cincinnati is just hitting .182 BA! Therefore, I expect a close game and so, I'll take Arizona in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957 Arizona Diamondbacks RL +1 (w/ P. Corbin) @ -119 / 1.84 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/12: Baltimore Orioles @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 971 Baltimore Orioles @ 972 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: S. Feldman vs W. Miley)

Baltimore will start Scott Feldman tonight, who will be rested, as his last start was in August 03. Arizona's lineup was terrible on their series against the Mets, so with the morale down, I believe that Feldman will have a decent outing tonight. 

On the other hand, the Dbacks will start Wade Miley, who allowed just one earned run in seven innings against Tampa Bay last Tuesday. Miley has allowed three runs or fewer in each of his last 12 starts. Miley looked especially impressive on his last three starts, including two outings against the Rays. But the truth is that even though Miley is left-handed, he struggles against LH batters with .300 BA, .345 wOBA and 3.68 FIP allowed! These are great news for Baltimore's LH batters! Miley's zone% has been falling over his last starts, while his velocity is also down a bit. Now against the Orioles, I expect Miley to finally struggle. Baltimore has a better offense and also a better bullpen lately than Arizona, so I don't believe that the Dbacks' SP edge in here will be important enough for Arizona to win tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Orioles in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 971 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ S. Feldman) @ +102 / 2.02 on Bovada

MLB Premium Play 08/10: New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 961 New York Mets @ 962 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: Z. Wheeler vs B. McCarthy)

Zack Wheeler will start for the Mets tonight and he is coming from a very poor outing against the Royals, where he allowed four earned runs in five innings, while walking five batters! His command is nowhere to be seen and his fastball is also losing a lot of speed lately. Now against Arizona, I expect him to struggle once again. Arizona will start Brandon McCarthy, who is coming from two earned runs in 4.1 innings against Boston on his first start after coming from the DL. He limited the damage against the #1 team on hitting versus RH pitchers, while he will now face a team that is #22 in the league in that area and that has been playing without their top hitter David Wright. Therefore, I expect a comfortable win for the Dbacks tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 962 Arizona Diamondbacks RL -1 (w/ B. McCarthy) @ -117 / 1.86 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/09: New York Mets @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 911 New York Mets @ 912 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hefner vs P. Corbin)

Arizona has some momentum for today, as they gave Tampa Bay a two-game sweep and they are now coming from a day off. On the other hand, the Mets took care of Colorado at home due to some solid pitching. Patrick Corbin will start for the Dbacks today and he allowed three runs in six innings against Boston last Saturday. This was Corbin's fifth quality start in a row, with a combined of 40/8 K/BB! His last poor outing was exactly at NY against the Mets, where he allowed five runs in six innings, so this is a revenge game for him tonight.

Jeremy Hefner will start for the Mets tonight and he is coming from three runs allowed in six innings against the Royals last Saturday. He has been having a poor second half of the season, with four subpar starts in a row. He was pounded by Philadelphia and Atlanta, while on his last two starts he allowed three earned runs on each outing, while having a poor command, as proved with his quite high P/IP ratio in those games: 18.3, 20.8, 20.5 and 31.5! The main problem for Hefner is that he struggled on his last two outings, even though he was facing Kansas City and Miami, two teams that are ranked #25 and #30 in hitting against RH pitchers!

With Corbin ready to get revenge against the Mets and with Hefner likely to struggle once again tonight, I expect the Dbacks to pick up an easy win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here on the runline.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 912 Arizona Diamondbacks RL -1.5 (w/ P. Corbin) @ +115 / 2.15 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/02: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox

MLB - 977 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 978 Boston Red Sox

(Starting Pitchers: R. Delgado vs J. Lester)

This isn't a good spot for Boston, who is coming from a 15 innings marathon and then a huge 9th inning comeback win in back to back days, but Arizona has an even worse spot, as they played a series at Tampa Bay, then played a make-up game at Texas yesterday, just to travel to Boston to start a new series tonight! Jon Lester will start for the Red Sox tonight and he allowed two runs in 6.1 innings against Baltimore last Sunday. After some struggles, Lester made some adjustments during the All Star break and he dominated his last two outings against the tough Rays and Orioles, with a combined of 16/2 K/BB! Arizona will be on a horrible spot tonight, their offense is struggling (#22 L7 days), so I believe Lester will dominate once again tonight.

The Dbacks will start Randall Delgado tonight, who is coming from a complete game three-hit shutout against San Diego last Friday. Delgado has been pitching well, but he has the problem of being too hittable (.271 BA) and this should be problematic against the Red Sox tonight, who are #2 in the league on BA with .273! I expect Lester to absolutely dominate the tired Dbacks tonight, while Boston will eventually make some damage on Delgado, so I believe the Red Sox will pick up a comfortable win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 978 Boston Red Sox RL -1 (w/ J. Lester) @ -143 / 1.70 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/01: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers

MLB - 921 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 922 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: Z. Spruill vs Y. Darvish)

Arizona has called up Zeke Spruill to the rotation, as Ian Kennedy was traded to San Diego. Spruill doesn't seem like he has been impressive in the minors this season, as a 34/24 K/BB ratio over 72.1 innings at Reno isn't exactly great, even though his 3.24 ERA is decent. I don't believe Spruill will be able to handle the suddenly red hot Rangers, who got a mega confidence boost by sweeping the Angels at home. On the other side, Texas will start Yu Darvish, who seemed tired right before the All-Star break by allowing five runs to Houston, but since the second half of the season started, Darvish allowed 0 and 1 earned runs to Cleveland on the road and the Yankees at home, while striking out 15 batters! Darvish had a stellar 14/0 K/BB on an outing in Arizona earlier in the season and I believe he will have another good performance tonight. Therefore, I believe the Rangers will continue their sudden good run with an easy win tonight. So, I'll be taking the Rangers on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 922 Texas Rangers RL -1.5 (w/ Y. Darvish) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 07/24: Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 911 Chicago Cubs @ 912 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs I. Kennedy)

We have a huge pitching edge for the Cubs on this matchup. Jeff Samardzija used the extra rest on the All Star break to make some mechanic tweaks on his pitches and he owned Colorado on his first start of the second half of the season. He allowed just one earned run in 7.1 innings, with six strikeouts and ten groundballs. Arizona had a big offensive night yesterday, but they are a below average offense right now by being #24 in the league over the last 14 days and #26 over the last month.

On the other side, Ian Kennedy is on fade alert right now. I successfully faded him on his last outing at San Francisco and even though he allowed just two earned runs in that game, his command was poor with a 3/3 K/BB ratio. This problem with his command has been recurrent and I believe the Cubs with their young kids on the rotation will pound him today, as the Cubs are hitting .352 wOBA on their last 7 games (#5 in the league)! I believe the Cubs will be competitive tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911 Chicago Cubs RL +1 (w/ J. Samardzija) @ -127 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/19: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants

MLB - 963 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 964 San Francisco Giants

(Starting Pitchers: I. Kennedy vs C. Gaudin)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Arizona has been winning some games lately, but always thanks to good pitching, as they had five games on their last seven where they hit below .200 BA, while on the other two they hit .200 and .250 BA! That was good enough to win three games out of four against Milwaukee, which is a terrible road team, but the truth is that Arizona's offense is #23 in the league over the last 14 days and #28 over the last 30 days! The Dbacks will face Chad Gaudin tonight, who has been excellent as SP for the Giants. He is 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through 24 appearances (six starts) this season. Gaudin had just one bad start at Atlanta, where his tendency for fly ball pitching (38.8%) was explored by the Braves with two home runs. The good news for him is at San Francisco's park is pitcher-friendly and Arizona's lineup lacks the power of Atlanta's as well (Atlanta #5 on ISO with .162; Arizona is #25 with .134 ISO). Therefore, I expect a solid outing for Gaudin tonight.

On the other side, San Francisco's offense took advantage of their last series at San Diego to get some offensive groove by hitting .308, .395 and .270 BA in three of the four games of the series. They will face Ian Kennedy tonight, a pitcher who has been struggling a lot with his command lately, with a combined 18/11 K/BB ratio on his last four outings! Normally the All Star break is used for the players to slow down, but Kennedy will start tonight with a regular rest, as his last start was last Sunday! So, we have San Francisco fired up to recover some grain on the NL West and with their current best SP on the mount, so I expect them to pound the struggling Kennedy tonight and pick up a comfortable win in here. I'll be taking San Francisco in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 964 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ C. Gaudin) @ -121 / 1.83 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 07/10: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 909 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 910 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: H. Ryu vs T. Skaggs)

The Dodgers just keep winning and they are 2-0 on this series. They will start Hyun-Jin Ryu tonight, who allowed two runs in 6.2 innings against the Giants last Friday. He got away from this outing with success, but his advanced numbers weren't good once again due to a poor 3/3 K/BB ratio. This was the fifth time in a row that he had subpar starts and Philadelphia was the only opponent that came to face him while being on a good offensive run! I believe the rookie Ryu is starting to struggle and therefore, I believe he will have some problems tonight against Arizona.

Tyler Skaggs will start for the Dbacks and he has been impressive lately! After a great 13-strikeout outing in AAA, he crushed Colorado in the majors on an eight-innings shutout! Skaggs has been showing some super stuff lately and even though the Dodgers are red hot on offense right now, I believe that Skaggs is in great form and that he will be able to slow down the Dodgers tonight. Therefore, I believe the Dbacks are underrated for tonight's game. I believe Ryu is currently on fade alert, while Skaggs has been very impressive lately and so, I'll be taking Arizona in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 Arizona Diamondbacks ML (w/ T. Skaggs) @ -103 / 1.97 on Bovada

MLB Premium Play 07/09: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 959 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 960 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: R. Nolasco vs I. Kennedy)

Ricky Nolasco will start for the Dodgers for the first time after being traded from Miami. He is coming from a great start at Atlanta and according to my numbers, he has pitched quite well in all his last four outings, with two of those games being against red hot offenses: Atlanta and St Louis! Nolasco is in nice form right now and I believe he will be able to have a positive outing on his first game with the Dodgers' uniform. 

On the other hand, the Dbacks will start Ian Kennedy tonight, who is coming from a nice outing at NY against the Mets, where he allowed two earned runs in seven innings, while having a 8/2 K/BB ratio. Even though Kennedy had a nice outing against the Mets, he threw 116 pitches in that game and he had just 4 days of rest between games, so this isn't a good spot for him. The Dodgers are #1 in the league on offense over the last 14 days and #3 in over the last 30 days, so I believe they will eventually make Kennedy struggle tonight. The LA team has a SP + offense edges in here, so I believe they have great value as underdogs tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959 Los Angeles Dodgers ML (w/ R. Nolasco) @ +105 / 2.05 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/08: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 907 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 908 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: Z. Greinke vs R. Delgado)

Arizona absolutely crushed Colorado over the weekend with three wins in three games, while outscoring the Rockies by 22-2! The Dbacks' showed some good hitting in all three games with .303, .343 and .344 BA! They will face Zack Greinke tonight, who struggled at Coors Field last Wednesday by walking seven batters and allowing five runs in five innings. Greinke is currently struggling and he had 8.27, 5.78, 6.27 and 5.21 FIP in four of his last five games! One of those starts was against Arizona, where he had a nice 2.57 ERA, but with the advanced numbers telling another story with 5.21 FIP! That game was played at LA on a pitcher-friendly park, while Arizona's offense was struggling. Things tonight will be very different in Arizona and I believe Greinke is going to struggle today.

On the other hand, Randall Delgado will start for the Dbacks and he is coming from his first win of the season over the Mets last Wednesday, on an outing where he allowed two runs in seven innings. Delgado's 3.24 ERA might look good, but he has two clear red flags: .296 BA allowed and a 19.2% HR/FB rate! Thanks to these two factors, his advanced numbers are much worse than his ERA: 4.39 FIP! Delgado will pitching tonight against the red hot Dodgers, who are #5 in ISO with .183 over the last 14 days, so I wouldn't be surprised if Delgado gets punished with some home runs tonight. I believe both pitchers will struggle tonight against two very confident offenses and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907/908 Over 8,5 (w/ Z. Greinke & R. Delgado) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker

MLB Free Premium Play 07/02: Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Mets

Arizona  at New York Mets

MLB - 905 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 906 New York Mets (Starting Pitchers: P. Corbin vs J. Hefner) Jeremy Hefner is starting for the Mets tonight and he is coming from a great outing at Colorado. In fact, he allowed just 1, 2, 1, 1 and 1 earned runs on his last five starts! Hefner has been having some luck with the opponents, as he has only faced one red hot offense at the time: the Cardinals, where he allowed six runs, but with just one earned run. Just like it happens with Shaun Marcum, Jeremy Hefner is also much worse versus LH batters. However, the Dbacks will just have two good players (Jason Kubel, Didi Gregorius) hitting from the left side tonight, so Hefner has a good chance of having another good outing tonight: 1. A.J. Pollock (R) CF 2. Aaron Hill (R) 2B 3. Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B 4. Miguel Montero (L) C 5. Cody Ross (R) RF 6. Jason Kubel (L) LF 7. Martin Prado (R) 3B 8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS 9. Patrick Corbin (L) P On the other side, Arizona will start Patrick Corbin, who allowed two runs in seven innings against Washington. He is yet to lose a decision this season, but he has been struggling a bit with home runs allowed on his last three games. However, considering his 6.3% HR/FB rate, Corbin is likely to bounce back from this particular fact tonight and pitching at NY against the Mets will only help him in that. Therefore, I expect Corbin to have another good outing tonight. Considering the good form of both starting pitchers, the poor spot for both offenses and the poor weather (60% chance rain), I see this game being a very low scoring contest. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905/906 Under 7 (w/ P. Corbin & J. Hefner) @ +105 / 2.05 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 06/30: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 907 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 908 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: T. Cahill vs P. Maholm)

***ADDED PLAY***

Atlanta is looking for a series sweep today, but the spot is actually good for the Dbacks today, as they will be on a bounce back spot, after a terrible 8th inning yesterday. Arizona will start Trevor Cahill today, who allowed six runs in five innings against Washington on his last outing. Cahill is being super inconsistent this season, but he has been consistently poor lately with six, eight and five runs allowed in three of his last five starts! He is currently with a 4.83 FIP and 3.88 xFIP in June, with a very poor 1.33 HR/9 rate! I believe that the Braves will certainly put him in trouble today.

On the other hand, Atlanta will start Paul Maholm today, who had just one really good start on his last six outings and that was "curiously" against a subpar offensive team: the Mets. I faded him last Sunday against the Brewers, but he won that game thanks to a great run support, as his start wasn't good at all with 5.66 FIP and 3.90 xFIP! Arizona has been a much better team on hitting versus RH pitchers this season than against LH pitchers, but things have been different as of late with the Dbacks hitting .327 BA versus LH pitchers on their last 10 games, so they should be able to put Maholm in trouble today as well. With both pitchers struggling, I expect this game to be a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. This is a nice bounce back spot for the Dbacks today against a struggling Maholm, so I'll take the Dbacks in here as well.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907/908 Over 7.5 (w/ T. Cahill & P. Maholm) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker

***ADDED PLAY***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907 Arizona Diamondbacks ML (w/ T. Cahill) @ +138 / 2.38 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 06/29: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 953 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 954 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: I. Kennedy vs T. Hudson)

Ian Kennedy returns today after getting suspended by 10 games for the brawl against San Diego. I don't know if this forced stop was good for him. He was struggling in June, with a 5.59 FIP and 4.24 xFIP, and as he is a flyball pitcher, he needs to be careful with homeruns and this was one of the main reasons for his struggles, as he allowed at least one homerun in all of his last five starts. Kennedy will face the Braves today, whose roster has great numbers against him: .288 BA and .830 OPS in 59 AB's!

Atlanta will start Tim Hudson today and they lost the last four games where Hudson was in the mount. However, he was competent in all those games! On his last outing at Milwaukee, he allowed just two runs in six innings. Hudson is particularly good against RH batters with a 2.95 FIP and 2.81 xFIP, but he struggles a bit against LH batters with 4.37 FIP and 4.48 xFIP. Arizona normally has four LH batters in the lineup, but they haven't been hitting well as of late: Parra .603 OPS, Montero .748 OPS, Kubel .669 OPS and Gregorius .548 OPS! Only Montero has been good lately, so Hudson should have a good outing today, allowing his team to pick up an easy win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Atlanta Braves RL -1 (w/ T. Hudson) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 06/26: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals

MLB - 901 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 902 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: W. Miley vs J. Zimmermann)

Washington will have a huge mismatch on SP favoring them in here. Wade Miley may have started the season well, but he has been struggling lately, while being homerun prone, with 1, 2, 1, 0 and 3 homeruns allowed on his last five starts. His strikeout numbers also don't impress me and he is really struggling right now. I believe he is on a clear fade spot in here, as he is coming for tonight's game with just 4 days of rest and with 105 pitches thrown on his last start. The last two times he threw +100 pitchers on a game, he allowed five runs against Atlanta and three runs against St Louis on the following outings.

On the other hand, Washington is starting Jordan Zimmermann on 5 days rest. He is coming from a great bounce back outing against Colorado, as he allowed just one run to the Rockies (9/1 K/BB ratio), after struggling at Cleveland. He had three good starts against Arizona in 2011 and with Miley getting pounded today, I believe Zimmermann will also do a good job in here, allowing the Nationals to pick up an easy win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 902 Washington Nationals RL -1 (w/ J. Zimmermann) @ -107 / 1.94 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 06/23: Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 959 Cincinnati Reds @ 960 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: M. Latos vs R. Delgado)

Cincinnati will start Mat Latos today and he is fresh for today, as he threw only 88 pitches on his last start. His last start wasn't impressive at first sight with a 5.40 ERA, but the advanced stats tell another story with 1.24 FIP and 2.09 xFIP! He struggled due to a very high .333 BABIP! On the other hand, Arizona will start Randall Delgado, who will make his second start for the Dbacks. His first start was against Miami at home and he looked good with two runs allowed in seven innings, while having a 6/0 K/BB ratio! However, it's obvious that Cincinnati's lineup will be a much tougher task than the Marlins were. Over the last seven days, Miami is #29 in the league with .599 OPS, while Cincinnati is much better with .696 OPS! The Reds are currently 0-2 on this series and so, considering the good SP edge they have in here, I expect them to bounce back today and pick up the win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ M. Latos) @ -139 / 1.72 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 06/21: Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 957 Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: J. Cueto vs W. Miley)

Arizona is on a nice spot, as they had a day off yesterday, while Cincinnati played an early game yesterday and then had to travel to Arizona. The Reds are starting Johnny Cueto, who returned from the DL and then had some problems against the Mets, with three runs allowed in five innings, while showing some rust. But since then, he has dominated both the Pirates and the Brewers with dominant performances with a combined of just one run allowed on these two outings! The Dbacks' lineup has been struggling as of late, so I expect Cueto to have another good outing tonight.

On the other hand, Wade Miley will start for Arizona and he is currently on fade alert mode. He started the season very well with 3.25 FIP in April, but he has since regressed with 5.32 FIP in May and 4.61 FIP in June. On his last outing, he allowed six runs on six innings against San Diego. Miley has been struggling against RH batters and this is especially worrying against the Reds' lineup who is full of righties plus the left-handed top hitters Shin-Soo Choo, Joey Votto and Jay Bruce. So, it's no surprise that Cincinnati is #8 in the league versus LH pitchers this season. Cincinnati has a clear SP edge tonight and the Reds' lineup is a patient one and they will give a lot of work to Miley, who has been struggling in striking out batters. Therefore, I expect Cincinnati to take advantage of their edges in here to pick up a nice road win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ J. Cueto) @ -108 / 1.93 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 06/15: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

MLB - 963 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 964 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: W. Miley vs J. Marquis)

Both offenses were terrible last night, but it's important to note that the Dbacks had a poor matchup against the in-form Eric Stults, while Trevor Cahill had a season high 10 strikeouts, on a really nice outing for him as well. But I expect both lineups to have better matchups tonight, especially as both starting pitchers are really struggling right now. Arizona will start Wade Miley, who has been terrible lately, with 3, 3, 7 and 7 runs allowed on his last four starts. He has been showcasing command problems, while he is also being very hittable, with 9, 11, 7 and 7 hits allowed in those four games. San Diego seems to be a terrible matchup for Miley as usual, as the Padres's current roster is hitting .304 BA and .864 OPS against him on 112 At Bats, while scoring 7 and 4 runs on the last two games against him.

On the other side, Arizona's lineup has also a good opportunity to bounce back after yesterday's disaster. Jason Marquis's command is terrible (4/5, 6/2, 6/4, 2/4, 3/4 and 3/4 K/BB ratios on his last six starts), while he has allowed a homerun on each of his last four starts! He is being lucky on June due to a really low BABIP (.167!) or he would have been getting pounded game after game right now. Arizona has been hitting well against RH pitchers and they have pounded Marquis with four and three runs on the last two games where they faced him, while the Dbacks' roster is hitting .344 BA and 1.117 OPS on 96 AB's against him! If we combine the problems that both pitchers will have with the low totals line of 7.5 runs, it is clear to me that we have good value on the Over and so, I'll be taking it in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963/964 Over 7,5 (w/ W. Miley & J. Marquis) @ +105 / 2.05 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 06/14: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres

MLB - 913 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 914 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: T. Cahill vs E. Stults)

Arizona is coming for tonight's game without their coach who is suspended. San Diego is currently very confident, as they have just swept the Braves at home. Both teams had a day off yesterday, so they will be fresh for tonight's game. The Dbacks are starting Trevor Cahill, who has been struggling as of late. He has been struggling all season long on walking batters and his lack of a strikeout punch only worsens this issue with 3/1, 0/1, 4/2 and 0/1 K/BB ratios on his last four starts. Even considering the fact that he is a GB pitcher, he has allowed a one home run in three of these four games! He will now face the red hot Padres and I simply don't trust him right now!

On the other side, San Diego will start Eric Stults tonight and he is currently on a roll with 19 strikeouts and 0 walks on his last three starts! Note that his last two games were at LA against the Dodgers (good team vs LH pitchers) and at Colorado (hitter-friendly park), but Stults was still able to have quality outings! He has already faced Arizona this season and he wasn't impressive with four runs in 6.1 innings. Having in account that Arizona's offense is struggling more versus LH pitchers, I believe Stults will now have a much better outing against the Dbacks. If we combine this with the problems that Cahill will likely have tonight, I can only expect San Diego to pick up a comfortable home win tonight. 

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 914 San Diego Padres ML (w/ E. Stults) @ -122 / 1.82 on Bovada

MLB Premium Play 05/24: San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 959 San Diego Padres @ 960 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: E. Stults vs B. McCarthy)

Arizona will start Brandon McCarthy, who has been slightly improving lately after a terrible start of the season. He didn't allow a single run on his last two outings, where he pitched for eight and nine innings! However, I can't ignore the fact that he faced Miami, Philadelphia and the LA Dodgers on his last three starts, the three teams that are exactly in the bottom three this season in hitting versus RH pitchers! He will now face San Diego, who is #18 in the league against RH pitchers with .712 OPS this season and with a decent .278 BA on their last 10 games! McCarthy's go-to-pitch is the cutter and San Diego is #5 in the league in hitting against those. Therefore, I believe McCarthy will go back to struggling tonight in my opinion. 

On the other side, San Diego will start Eric Stults who is coming from an outing against Washington, where he allowed just one run in eight winnings. This was another good outing from him, who has allowed just seven runs on his last four starts on a span of 26.1 innings. Stults has been solid lately, but his season numbers aren't that great: 4.05 ERA, 3.81 FIP and 4.32 xFIP! Stults struggled against Tampa Bay and San Francisco earlier on the season and these two teams are #11 and #24 respectively on hitting against LH pitchers this season. On the other hand, Arizona is #20 with .672 OPS, while showing some improvements on this area lately. Stults is likely to struggle tonight, as he has a flyball rate a bit high. Therefore, I see this game turning into a shootout and so, I'll be taking the Over tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959/960 Over 9 (w/ E. Stults & B. McCarthy) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker