MLB - 907 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 908 Arizona Diamondbacks
(Starting Pitchers: Z. Greinke vs R. Delgado)
Arizona absolutely crushed Colorado over the weekend with three wins in three games, while outscoring the Rockies by 22-2! The Dbacks' showed some good hitting in all three games with .303, .343 and .344 BA! They will face Zack Greinke tonight, who struggled at Coors Field last Wednesday by walking seven batters and allowing five runs in five innings. Greinke is currently struggling and he had 8.27, 5.78, 6.27 and 5.21 FIP in four of his last five games! One of those starts was against Arizona, where he had a nice 2.57 ERA, but with the advanced numbers telling another story with 5.21 FIP! That game was played at LA on a pitcher-friendly park, while Arizona's offense was struggling. Things tonight will be very different in Arizona and I believe Greinke is going to struggle today.
On the other hand, Randall Delgado will start for the Dbacks and he is coming from his first win of the season over the Mets last Wednesday, on an outing where he allowed two runs in seven innings. Delgado's 3.24 ERA might look good, but he has two clear red flags: .296 BA allowed and a 19.2% HR/FB rate! Thanks to these two factors, his advanced numbers are much worse than his ERA: 4.39 FIP! Delgado will pitching tonight against the red hot Dodgers, who are #5 in ISO with .183 over the last 14 days, so I wouldn't be surprised if Delgado gets punished with some home runs tonight. I believe both pitchers will struggle tonight against two very confident offenses and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907/908 Over 8,5 (w/ Z. Greinke & R. Delgado) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker
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