Showing posts with label Atlanta Braves. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Atlanta Braves. Show all posts

Thursday, August 29, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Cleveland Indians @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 979 Cleveland Indians @ 980 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: J. Masterson vs P. Maholm)
Paul Maholm will start for Atlanta and he is coming from an outing at St Louis, where he allowed four earned runs in 5.1 innings, with a 4/3 K/BB ratio! After a strong start, Maholm is now struggling and Cleveland is a top offense against LH pitchers by being #4 in the league with .747 OPS! Therefore, I expect Maholm to struggle once again tonight.

The Indians will start Justin Masterson, who is coming from back to back quality starts at Oakland and at LA against the Angels, where he allowed one and three earned runs respectively. He walked five batters against the Angels, but he is coming for tonight's game with six days of rest and that resulted on an average ERA of 1.38 in the two times that this has already happened this season. On this good spot for him, I expect Masterson to have a good outing against Atlanta's lineup that is hitting just .213 BA against RH pitchers on their last 10 games. I believe Cleveland has a SP and offensive edges tonight, therefore I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 979 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ J. Masterson) @ -108 / 1.92 on Bookmaker

Saturday, August 24, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/23: Atlanta Braves @ St Louis Cardinals

MLB - 907 Atlanta Braves @ 908 St Louis Cardinals

(Starting Pitchers: K. Medlen vs A. Wainwright)

St Louis will start Adam Wainwright tonight and he is coming from a couple of series where he wasn't fully dominant: @Atlanta; @Pittsburgh; vs LA Dodgers; vs Pittsburgh. These are four playoff contenders. Nevertheless, he had a good command against Pittsburgh, but he allowed two home runs. On his start at Atlanta, he allowed three earned runs in seven innings, but with an excellent 8/1 K/BB ratio. His last start was excellent with one earned run allowed and a 11/1 K/BB, so I expect him to have a good outing tonight as usual.

Kris Medlen will start for Atlanta tonight, who his start was push back to tonight, as Saturday's extra-inning game forced him into relief. He has already faced the Cardinals this season and he allowed two earned runs in six innings, while having a 4/1 K/BB ratio. However, it's important to note that Medlen's last three starts were against poor teams (Philadelphia x2 and Washington), with him being much better at home (3.04 ERA, 3.14 FIP and 3.60 xFIP) than on the road (4.38 ERA, 4.67 FIP and 4.40 xFIP)! Also Medlen's best pitch is the change up and the Cardinals are hitting against them very well lately by being #3 in the league over the last 30 days and #1 over the last 14 days! Therefore, I see a clear SP edge for St Louis tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ A. Wainwright) @ -145 / 1.69 on 5Dimes

Sunday, August 11, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/10: Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 953 Miami Marlins @ 954 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: N. Eovaldi vs A. Wood)

Miami will start Nate Eovaldi tonight, who is coming from one run allowed in seven innings against Cleveland last Sunday. He is coming from a nice outing indeed, but his command isn't nothing special, as in fact he has a 10.5% BB% and he is unable to strikeout opponents. He hasn't been pitching badly lately, but Atlanta's lineup is so fired up right now that eventually the Braves will have a chance of a big inning tonight. Atlanta will start Alex Wood, who is coming from one earned run allowed in six innings against Philadelphia last Sunday. Wood's last two starts were excellent, just like he was when he was coming off the bullpen earlier in the season. Miami is hitting .210 BA against LH pitchers on their last 10 games, so I believe Wood will have no problems in dominating them. This should be an easy win for Atlanta, so I'll take them in the runline.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Atlanta Braves RL -1.5 (w/ A. Wood) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/30: Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 909 Colorado Rockies @ 910 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: J. Nicasio vs A. Wood)

Rockies RH Juan Nicasio (6-4, 4.40 ERA) vs. Braves LH Alex Wood (0-2, 3.42)

Juan Nicasio got crushed at Boston and was demoted because of that. But then, he came back and had three good outings in a row while allowing 0, 1 and 0 earned runs in those games! This is especially impressive, as he faced two hot offensive teams during that span in the Dodgers and the Cubs. Therefore, I expect a decent start for Nicasio tonight. On the other side, Atlanta will start Alex Wood tonight, who got crushed against the Mets twice on his two starts in the majors. I believe Colorado will have a clear SP edge for tonight and so, I believe they will be competitive in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 909 Colorado Rockies RL +1 (w/ J. Nicasio) @ +105 / 2.05 on 5Dimes

Tuesday, July 30, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/29: Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 955 Colorado Rockies @ 956 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: J. De La Rosa vs B. Beachy)

Brandon Beachy returns to majors tonight, but he wasn't impressive on his rehab stint, especially because of an alarming 13.9% BB% on AAA over 30 innings, while also having a 4.57 FIP. Colorado's offense seems to have gotten out of their massive slump lately and so, I wouldn't be surprised if they welcome back Beachy tonight with some runs. 

Jorge De La Rosa is coming from six shutout innings against Miami last Wednesday. He has been very consistent lately and with the Braves' offense being just average over the past two weeks and coming off a big win last night against the Cardinals, I believe this is a good spot for De La Rosa to dominate. I see Colorado actually having a nice shot of pulling the upset in here, so I'll be taking the Rockies tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ +126 / 2.26 on 5Dimes

Monday, July 29, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/28: St Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 905 St Louis Cardinals @ 906 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: S. Miller vs K. Medlen)

St Louis will start Shelby Miller tonight, who is coming from six scoreless innings against Philadelphia last Tuesday. It was clear that Miller ended the first half of the season without any gas left in the tank (allowing 3, 2, 5 and 4 earned runs on his last four games prior to the break), but with 12 days of rest between games, he was able to bounce back and get back into his best form with a total domination against Philadelphia. He will have a good spot for tonight, he is an elite SP and his 9.63 K/9 ratio make him a tough matchup for Atlanta's lineup who is the #3 worst team in the league on K% with 22.5% K%!

Kris Medlen will start for Atlanta and he is coming from four runs allowed against the Mets last Tuesday. It's clear that Medlen has been struggling this season and if it wasn't for Hudson's season-ending injury and Medlen would probably be out of the rotation soon with Brandon Beachy ready to return. Over his last 27.2 innings, Medlen has posted a 6.51 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and a strikeout rate of just 14.7%! He seems to be lacking confidence right now and so, I expect him to struggle against the Cardinals tonight. St Louis will be looking to bounce back tonight after losing the first two games of this series and with such SP edge for tonight's game, I expect them to do exactly that. Therefore, I'll be taking the Cardinals in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ S. Miller) @ -111 / 1.90 on 5Dimes

Thursday, July 25, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/24: Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets

MLB - 903 Atlanta Braves @ 904 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: T. Hudson vs J. Hefner)

This is a nice bounce back spot for Atlanta on a favorable matchup. They will face Jeremy Hefner tonight, who was on a nice streak, until he got pounded on his first start after the All-Star break, where he pitched for just two innings against Philadelphia with eight earned runs allowed. Hefner has some issues with home runs with a 11.6% HR/FB rate and I believe Atlanta's power lineup will cause him problems in here. Hefner struggles versus LH batters (.377 wOBA, 5.79 FIP and 4.87 xFIP) and so, Heyward, Freeman and McCain are likely to make Hefner struggle tonight.

On the other hand, Atlanta will start Tim Hudson tonight, who has been struggling here and there, but he has been consistent lately. Hudson is coming from three great outings (2.77, 2.48 and 1.90 FIP L3 starts), including a dominating outing against Philadelphia with just one earned run allowed in seven innings. I believe Atlanta will have a pitching, hitting and spot edge tonight over the Mets, so I'll be taking the Braves in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Atlanta Braves ML (w/ T. Hudson) @ -135 / 1.74 on Betonline

Saturday, July 20, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/19: Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox

MLB - 979 Atlanta Braves @ 980 Chicago White Sox

(Starting Pitchers: T. Hudson vs J. Danks)

Atlanta is still banged up and they won't have both Upton brothers, Heyward and Freeman for tonight's game. They will face John Danks, who had some inconsistent starts after coming the DL, something normal, but he is now in cruise control once again. All his four starts were quality ones, according to my numbers. In fact, he faced the #1 team on hitting versus LH pitchers in Tampa Bay and Danks was able to have a decent outing with 3.86 ERA, 2.49 FIP and 3.89 xFIP. Therefore, I believe Danks will have another good outing tonight against the shorthanded Braves.

On the other side, Tim Hudson has been very inconsistent lately by alternating good starts with terrible ones. The only consistent trend is that he has been great at home with 2.83 ERA and .252 wOBA, but terrible on the road with 5.19 ERA and .333 wOBA! The White Sox's offense showed some signs of life right before the All Star break by winning two of the three games played at Detroit, while scoring 11, 5 and 6 runs. Even though they lost their last series before the break by 1-2, both losses happened in extra innings. I believe the White Sox have a lot of value as home underdogs tonight due to an edge on pitching and offense, so I'll be taking the White Sox in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 980 Chicago White Sox ML (w/ J. Danks) @ +110 / 2.10 on Bovada

Monday, July 15, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/14: Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 905 Cincinnati Reds @ 906 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: T. Cingrani vs J. Teheran)

Tony Cingrani will start for the Reds today and he is coming from allowing two earned runs on three hits in seven innings at Milwaukee. He was great in that outing with a 2,57 ERA, 2.92 FIP and 2.67 xFIP and even though he has been a bit inconsistent lately, the truth is that I expect him to limit damages in here. Atlanta is quite banged up right now, their hitting in inconsistent and they will also be without Freddie Freeman and Brian McCann today. Therefore, I expect Cingrani to do a decent job today against a depleted Braves' lineup.

On the other hand, Julio Teheran will start for Atlanta today and he is coming from four runs (one earned) allowed on 7.1 innings against the Marlins last Tuesday. This was the third time in four games that Teheran struggled and I believe fatigue is the problem for him. The All-Star break will do wonders for him, but for now I expect him to struggle today, with the Reds taking advantage of his struggles in here. I see Cincinnati having a slight SP + offense edges today due to Atlanta's absences, therefore I'm taking the Reds as valuable underdogs in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ T. Cingrani) @ -105 / 1.95 on Betonline

Saturday, July 6, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/05: Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

MLB - 953 Atlanta Braves @ 954 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: T. Hudson vs C. Lee)

Philadelphia is currently having a good run on offense. They are coming from a series win at Pittsburgh, where they hit .265, .289 and .368 BA on the three games! On the other side, Atlanta struggled at home against Miami by losing the last two games of the series. The Braves will start Tim Hudson today and he is coming from allowing four runs on 5.2 innings against Arizona last Saturday. He had a solid June with 2.45 ERA, 3.29 FIP and 3.83 xFIP, however he had a 2/3 K/BB ratio on his last outing against the Dbacks. In fact, his command on his last three outings was quite poor: 2/3, 4/4 and 6/3 K/BB! Therefore, the in-form Phillies have a shot at making Hudson struggle today. Hudson has problems versus LH batters, especially in comparison with RH batters: 19.4% vs 15.3% K%; 4.5% vs 9.0% BB; 3.41 vs 4.20 FIP; 3.09 vs 4.47 xFIP! The Phillies' lineup is led by LH batters, so Hudson is a nice matchup for them.

On the other hand, the Phillies will start their ace Cliff Lee, who keeps going very deep on his outing. Lee has played at least seven innings on his last 10 starts, while showing an impeccable command! Having in account Atlanta is a K% machine, this is a great spot for Lee to have another nice outing. Lee has already dominated the Braves this season with no runs allowed in eight innings, while having a great 8/0 K/BB ratio! Philadelphia is currently hitting quite well and with their ace on the mount, I expect them to pick an easy win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Philadelphia Phillies RL -1 (w/ C. Lee) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

Monday, July 1, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/30: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 907 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 908 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: T. Cahill vs P. Maholm)

***ADDED PLAY***

Atlanta is looking for a series sweep today, but the spot is actually good for the Dbacks today, as they will be on a bounce back spot, after a terrible 8th inning yesterday. Arizona will start Trevor Cahill today, who allowed six runs in five innings against Washington on his last outing. Cahill is being super inconsistent this season, but he has been consistently poor lately with six, eight and five runs allowed in three of his last five starts! He is currently with a 4.83 FIP and 3.88 xFIP in June, with a very poor 1.33 HR/9 rate! I believe that the Braves will certainly put him in trouble today.

On the other hand, Atlanta will start Paul Maholm today, who had just one really good start on his last six outings and that was "curiously" against a subpar offensive team: the Mets. I faded him last Sunday against the Brewers, but he won that game thanks to a great run support, as his start wasn't good at all with 5.66 FIP and 3.90 xFIP! Arizona has been a much better team on hitting versus RH pitchers this season than against LH pitchers, but things have been different as of late with the Dbacks hitting .327 BA versus LH pitchers on their last 10 games, so they should be able to put Maholm in trouble today as well. With both pitchers struggling, I expect this game to be a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here. This is a nice bounce back spot for the Dbacks today against a struggling Maholm, so I'll take the Dbacks in here as well.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907/908 Over 7.5 (w/ T. Cahill & P. Maholm) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker

***ADDED PLAY***

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907 Arizona Diamondbacks ML (w/ T. Cahill) @ +138 / 2.38 on 5Dimes

Sunday, June 30, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/29: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 953 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 954 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: I. Kennedy vs T. Hudson)

Ian Kennedy returns today after getting suspended by 10 games for the brawl against San Diego. I don't know if this forced stop was good for him. He was struggling in June, with a 5.59 FIP and 4.24 xFIP, and as he is a flyball pitcher, he needs to be careful with homeruns and this was one of the main reasons for his struggles, as he allowed at least one homerun in all of his last five starts. Kennedy will face the Braves today, whose roster has great numbers against him: .288 BA and .830 OPS in 59 AB's!

Atlanta will start Tim Hudson today and they lost the last four games where Hudson was in the mount. However, he was competent in all those games! On his last outing at Milwaukee, he allowed just two runs in six innings. Hudson is particularly good against RH batters with a 2.95 FIP and 2.81 xFIP, but he struggles a bit against LH batters with 4.37 FIP and 4.48 xFIP. Arizona normally has four LH batters in the lineup, but they haven't been hitting well as of late: Parra .603 OPS, Montero .748 OPS, Kubel .669 OPS and Gregorius .548 OPS! Only Montero has been good lately, so Hudson should have a good outing today, allowing his team to pick up an easy win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Atlanta Braves RL -1 (w/ T. Hudson) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes

Monday, June 24, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/23: Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers

MLB - 955 Atlanta Braves @ 956 Milwaukee Brewers

(Starting Pitchers: P. Maholm vs A. Figaro)

Atlanta's offense has been terrible as of late with .562 OPS and 22.5 K% over the last 7 days! They suffered two shutouts in a row, even though they faced subpar pitchers like Wily Peralta and Donovan Hand. The Braves will now be facing Alfredo Figaro, who has been showing good command with 3/2, 4/0, 6/0 and 4/1 K/BB ratios! He is an extreme groundball pitcher and against a struggling Atlanta, I expect him to have a nice outing today.

On the other hand, the Braves will be starting Paul Maholm, who is being much worse on the road than at home this season. He had three favorable matchups on his last three outings: vs NYM (#23 vs LHP) and before that, he played at San Diego and at LA against the Dodgers, in two pitchers-friendly parks. Things will be much tougher for him at Milwaukee, a team that is #8 in the league on hitting against LH pitchers. On Maholm's last three starts at Milwaukee, he allowed six, four and three earned runs, so things should be tough for Maholm today. With the Braves' lineup and Maholm struggling today, I believe Milwaukee has great value as a home underdog today and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 956 Milwaukee Brewers ML (w/ A. Figaro) @ +128 / 2.28 on Bovada

Sunday, June 16, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/15: San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 957 San Francisco Giants @ 958 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: C. Gaudin vs M. Minor)

San Francisco absolutely dominated Atlanta yesterday, with Madison Bumgarner dominating the struggling Braves' lineup, while the shorthanded Giants' lineup is now red hot with .297 BA, .395 BA and .375 BA on their last three games! Chad Gaudin will start for them today and this will be his first start this season, after having come out of the bullpen early on the season. His first two starts were also on the road and he looked really good at St Louis and Arizona, who are #7 and #10 in the league versus RH pitchers! Gaudin has a great 22.7% K% rate, so he will have a good matchup against Atlanta's lineup who is #29 in the league on K% with 23.8%!

Atlanta will start Mike Minor today and he has been great since early May! However, his advanced numbers are a bit worse than his 2.44 ERA and he won't have an easy matchup today, as the Giants are hitting .360 BA on their last 10 games versus LH pitchers! San Francisco was able to score runs against Liriano, Skaggs and Corbin, so they should also be able to put Minor in trouble today. Considering how well Gaudin is currently pitching and how the Giants' have some firepower to put Minor in trouble, I expect San Francisco to be competitive today. Therefore, I'll be taking them in here as underdogs on the runline.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957 San Francisco Giants RL +1.5 (w/ C. Gaudin) @ -130 / 1.77 on Bovada

Saturday, June 15, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/14: San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 909 San Francisco Giants @ 910 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: M. Bumgarner vs K. Medlen)

Even though the Giants are currently shorthanded, they are coming from back to back games at Pittsburgh where their offense exploded with .375 and .395 BA! Therefore, they are coming to this series at Atlanta with some momentum and hot bats! On the other hand, the Braves is coming from a series at San Diego, where they got swept! San Francisco will start Madison Bumgarner, who had a good bounce back on their last start at Arizona, with three runs allowed in five innings. He had five days off for tonight's outing, so he will fresh tonight. Atlanta's offense is currently struggling and they have been poor this season against LH pitchers by being just #17 on the league! So, no wonder that Bumgarner dominated the Braves earlier on this season with 1 run allowed in seven innings, while having a 11/2 K/BB ratio!

Atlanta will start Kris Medlen tonight, who has been improving lately with strong back to back outings against Pittsburgh and the Dodgers at LA, after struggling a lot early on the season. He didn't allow a single run on these two outings, while having a 6/1 and 6/0 K/BB ratios! But note that Pittsburgh is #23 on the league versus RH pitchers with .684 OPS, while the Dodgers are #25 in the league with a .678 OPS! So, Medlen had great matchups on his last two starts, something that won't happen tonight, as San Francisco is #13 versus RH pitchers with a .727 OPS! Unlike Bumgarner, Medlen has already faced the Giants twice this season and he struggle in both games. In fact, the Giants' roster is hitting .357 BA and 1.176 OPS against Medlen on 42 At Bats! Looking at San Francisco's good momentum, a pitching edge and a better matchup, I expect the Giants to pick up a nice road win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 909 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Bumgarner) @ +124 / 2.24 on Bovada

Saturday, May 18, 2013

MLB Premium Play 05/17: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves


MLB - 907 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 908 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: H. Ryu vs P. Maholm)

Hyun-Jin Ryu has a nice spot against the Braves tonight, as he is being a strikeout machine and Atlanta's batters are prone to getting stroke out with a 24.6% K%! On the other hand, Paul Maholm had a super start of the season, but he has been struggling since. His strikeout numbers are decreasing, while the walks are increasing with 3, 2, 2, 3 and 3 walks on his last five starts. The Dodgers' offense has been surprisingly well in hitting against LH pitchers with a .789 OPS (#5 in the league), with a .274 BA on their last 10 games! With Maholm struggling tonight and with Ryu striking out a lot of hitters tonight, I see the Dodgers having a nice chance for the upset tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907 Los Angeles Dodgers ML (w/ H. Ryu) @ +117 / 2.17 on Bovada

Saturday, May 4, 2013

MLB Premium Play 05/03: New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves


MLB - 907 New York Mets @ 908 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: S. Marcum vs M. Minor)

Shaun Marcum will start for the Mets tonight and he is coming from a 28-pitch bullpen appearance last Monday. His first start of the season didn't go well, with just 71 pitches thrown in 4.0 innings, while allowing three runs. His velocity is also down 1 mph in comparison to last season (86.5 to 85.4). His inability of throwing strikes with his slower fastball makes me believe that he is completely on fade alert right now. Atlanta's offense hasn't been awesome lately, after a great start of the season, but this is a golden opportunity for them to bounce back tonight.

On the other hand, Atlanta will be starting Mike Minor, who is coming from an outing where he got crushed at Detroit. He pitched for 6.2 innings against the Tigers, while allowing six earned runs on six hits. He was actually pitching well until he ran into trouble on the six inning in Detroit. His ERA ballooned from 1.80 into 3.13, but I believe he will be able to get back on track tonight. He had four great starts in a row against the Cubs, Miami, Kansas City and Colorado. His letdown against the Tigers doesn't worry me, as they are a top offensive team and it was a Sunday Night Baseball game, so Detroit was fired up and ended up pounding Minor. The Mets started the season red hot against LH pitchers, but they have completely regressed lately and they are already just #19 in the league with .665 OPS against them this season. Therefore, I believe Minor has a nice matchup tonight to bounce back and so, I'll be taking the Braves tonight for a comfortable win for them.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Atlanta Braves RL -1 (w/ M. Minor) @ -136 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

MLB Premium Play 04/23: Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies


MLB - 909 Atlanta Braves @ 910 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Teheran vs J. Garland)

Julio Teheran is a top prospect, but he has been disappointing on the majors after dominating on the minors. Scouts say that his change up was supposed to be his dominant pitch, but he hasn't been able to throw strikes with them. So, he has been struggling on his command with 7 walks in 21 innings! This is very problematic, as he is flyball pitcher and he is going to be facing the #2 ranked team in the league in hitting against RH pitchers on a hitting-friendly park like Colorado's. 

On the other side, Joe Garland has been a nice surprise this season and his ability to generate ground balls has been the key for him to have nice numbers at home. With a 57% GB% rate, he has been able to be quite decent this season. Atlanta has a power lineup, who has been crushing flyball pitchers, but Garland with his groundballs will be a tough matchup for them. Therefore, I see Colorado getting revenge tonight from their loss earlier today on the first game of this doubleheader, with a nice win over the Braves tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. Garland) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bovada

Thursday, April 11, 2013

NBA Premium Play 04/10: Atlanta Hawks @ Philadelphia 76ers

NBA - 703 Atlanta Hawks @ 704 Philadelphia 76ers

Projected Line: Atlanta by 6 points

Philadelphia showed no resistance yesterday on their game against the Nets. Brooklyn's gameplan was to pound down low, while using their superior size on the frontcourt and Philadelphia simply folded. This is why Reggie Evans had 24 rebounds on his own, while the Sixers as a team had 34 rebounds. On the other hand, Brooklyn made 21 shots at the rim, while the Sixers made 30 shots overall! The Hawks had 3 days off to rest prior to tonight's game and on their last game, Atlanta showed little interest in San Antonio, as they rested Al Horford, Josh Smith and Kyle Korver, even though they ended up just losing that contest by two points. On the previous game to that one, they had clearly lost at home against Philadelphia, so this is a revenge game for them tonight. Atlanta is also still fighting for a good playoff seeding, they are healthy and so, I expect them to play better tonight than they did on their last game against the Sixers. In that game, Atlanta showed no effort and allowed Philadelphia to score 40 points in the first quarter! The Sixers were deadly from the 3pts line, while Atlanta shot just 5-17 3pts. Jeff Teague struggled in that game, while Devin Harris was out due to injury. With Harris back tonight, I expect Atlanta to get their revenge over Philadelphia and pick up a comfortable win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 703 Atlanta Hawks (-3) @ -115 / 1.87 on Betonline

Friday, April 5, 2013

MLB Premium Play 04/04: Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 957 Philadelphia Phillies @ 958 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: C. Lee vs K. Medlen)

The first two games of this series were a slugest, with bad pitching and lots of walks. In fact, the 4 SP's involved in these two games combined a total of 8 walks and with so many batters on bases, the pitchers ended up getting crushed. That's something I find it very unlikely to happen tonight, as we will have two excellent pitchers in terms of command on the mount tonight. We know that Spring Training exists to make some experiences and adjust some stuff, but Cliff Lee had a 24/4 K/BB ratio in the preseason, while Kris Medlen had a 17/3 K/BB ratio. Tonight's game will be played under cold weather and with the wind helping both pitchers and it will blow from ENE with about 10mph. Therefore, I expect a very low scoring game tonight and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957/958 Under 6,5 (w/ C. Lee & K. Medlen) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes