Wednesday, July 3, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/02: Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB - 901 Philadelphia Phillies @ 902 Pittsburgh Pirates

(Starting Pitchers: J. Pettibone vs B. Cumpton)

Both teams are currently hitting the ball well right now, with Pittsburgh having a 114 wRC+ and Philadelphia an 107 wRC+. Jonathan Pettibone will start for Philadelphia tonight and he has some problems versus LH batters with .371 wOBA allowed, 4.99 FIP and 5.16 xFIP. However, Pittsburgh has a lineup with more RH batters than left-handed and only Pedro Alvarez has been red hot from the LH batters, therefore I expect Pettibone to have a decent outing in here. 

1. Starling Marte (R) LF
2. Russell Martin (R) C
3. Andrew McCutchen (R) CF
4. Garrett Jones (L) 1B
5. Pedro Alvarez (L) 3B
6. Neil Walker (S) 2B
7. Jordy Mercer (R) SS
8. Travis Snider (L) RF
9. Brandon Cumpton (R) P

On the other side, Pittsburgh will start Brandon Cumpton and he had two decent starts. He allowed three earned runs in five innings against the Dodgers, while he controlled the damage against the Reds, as he had a 1.80 ERA in that outing, but a 5.05 FIP! On 21 AB's versus LH batters on these two starts, Cumpton allowed a .350 BA and .422 wOBA against them, while also having a 4.90 FIP. Philadelphia will have five players hitting from the left side tonight, so they should be able to put Cumpton in some trouble tonight.

1. Michael Young (R) 3B
2. Chase Utley (L) 2B
3. Jimmy Rollins (S) SS
4. Ryan Howard (L) 1B
5. Domonic Brown (L) LF
6. Delmon Young (R) RF
7. Ben Revere (L) CF
8. Carlos Ruiz (R) C
9. Jonathan Pettibone (L) P

I don't see Pittsburgh being such a big favorite in tonight's game as the oddmakers are saying and therefore, I'll be taking the Phillies tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 901 Philadelphia Phillies RL +1 (w/ J. Pettibone) @ -101 / 1.99 on 5Dimes

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