Saturday, July 6, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/05: Miami Marlins @ St Louis Cardinals

MLB - 959 Miami Marlins @ 960 St Louis Cardinals

(Starting Pitchers: J. Turner vs J. Westbrook)

Miami is now 8-2 on their last 10 games! They are playing with a lot of confidence, while showing good pitching and offense! Miami's offense is #15 over the last 7 days and #14 over the last 14 days, something that contrasts a lot with their season stats, where they are dead last on offense! The Marlins' lineup will face Jake Westbrook tonight, who has been struggling a lot since coming back from the DL. In four starts, Westbrook allowed 6, 4, 0 and 3 earned runs, but worse than that is his command with a combined of 8/8 K/BB! The first of those starts was at Miami, where he allowed three runs in five innings, while having poor advanced numbers: 4.27 FIP and 4.55 xFIP! Westbrook isn't at his best at all right now and therefore, the "red hot" Marlins should be able to put him in trouble tonight.

On the other side, Jacob Turner will start for Miami and he is coming from a complete game against San Diego! His excellent groundball rate allows him to be able to go deep in the games without much trouble and his advanced numbers are confirming that he is really in great form right now with 2.93 FIP and 3.86 xFIP since he joined the Majors in May 31! His 0.22 HR/9 right now is simply amazing and I expect him to continue his nice run with a positive outing against the Cardinals tonight. I believe Miami will be underrated until the end of the season and when we have decent pitching from them like in tonight's game, I believe they should be able to remain competitive against almost everybody. Therefore, I'll be taking the Marlins tonight on the runline.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959 Miami Marlins RL +1.5 (w/ J. Turner) @ -140 / 1.71 on 5 Dimes

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