Tuesday, July 2, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/01: Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals

MLB - 951 Milwaukee Brewers @ 952 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: Y. Gallardo vs J. Zimmermann)

Milwaukee will start Yovani Gallardo tonight, who allowed five runs (three earned) in four innings against the Cubs. This was a clear regression after Gallardo hadn't allowed a single earned run in three games in a row. However, he faced Houston, Cincinnati and Miami, three teams either outright poor on offense and/or currently struggling at the time. He will now face the Nationals, a team that is starting to hit a bit better lately with .271 BA versus RH pitchers on their last 10 games. Having in account Washington's improved offense lately, I expect them to put Gallardo in some trouble tonight.

Washington will start Jordan Zimmermann tonight and he is coming from an outing where he allowed two earned runs against Arizona. Zimmermann struggled at Cleveland and at Baltimore, two tough parks, but he has been dominating against NL teams this season. He is especially good versus RH batters with just .176 BA and .224 wOBA allowed, 3.28 FIP and 3.50 xFIP. Milwaukee is currently struggling and their lineup is full of RH batters, so they will heavily struggle tonight against the dominant Zimmermann. I see Washington completely dominating the Brewers tonight due to a clear SP edge and so, I'll be taking the Nationals in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 952 Washington Nationals RL -1 (w/ J. Zimmermann) @ -136 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

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