Thursday, July 4, 2013

MLB Free Premium Play 07/04: Chicago Cubs @ Oakland Athletics

  
Chicago Cubs  at Oakland 
MLB - 927 Chicago Cubs @ 928 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: T. Wood vs D. Straily)


Oakland will start Dan Straily today due to Jarrod Parker's hamstring injury. Straily struggled in his last start Friday for Triple-A Sacramento, where he allowed six runs (two earned). In the majors, Straily had already struggled at Texas and at Seattle, with six earned runs allowed in 4.2 innings against the Rangers and two earned runs against the Mariners, but with just 3.1 innings played (23.4 P/IP). The worst part for Straily was that both Texas and Seattle were struggling offensively at the time! It seems clearly that Straily is struggling right now and therefore, the Cubs should have a good number of opportunities to pound him today, as they are hitting well on this road trip by being the #11 ranked offense in the league over the last two weeks.

Travis Wood will be the Cubs' SP for today and he is coming from his sixth consecutive quality start, where he allowed two runs in 6.1 innings against the Mariners last Friday. Wood has a great 2.85 Season ERA, but with 3.59 FIP and 4.40 xFIP, I believe a regression will happen sooner or later. Wood looked excellent against the Cardinals, while he struggled a bit against subpar offenses in three of his last four outings. Oakland is #4 in the league in hitting versus LH pitchers, therefore I expect the A's to be able to put Wood in some trouble today. I believe today's game will be a high scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 927/928 Over 8 (w/ T. Wood & D. Straily) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

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