NBA - 805 Orlando Magic @ 806 Boston Celtics
Projected Line: 187 points
Orlando without Glen Davis and Arron Afflalo is just too limited offensively. They only have left Jameer Nelson, J.J. Redick and Nikola Vucevic down low. Against the Knicks on their last game, Nelson and Redick played well and combined for 17-31 FG, but still Orlando had just 14 assists! On this matchup against the Celtics, Orlando may struggle on the backcourt against Avery Bradley and Courtney Lee! Orlando shot 9-19 FG on pick and roll ball handler plays against the Knicks, but Boston's defense is #3 on pick and roll ball handler plays by allowing just 0.70 PPP! With their backcourt being limited by Boston's defense, the Magic's offense that has been terrible not only on free throw attempts, but also on free throw percentage will heavily struggle tonight.
The problem for Orlando's defense is especially on their interior defense, but if we exclude Kevin Garnett, Boston's frontcourt doesn't have a lot of weapons. They are pretty much a jump shooting team and so, Orlando won't get crushed on the down low tonight. Boston will try to get out and run early, but while this worked well against Sacramento, Orlando will be a much tougher opponent to do something like that against them, as they have been allowing just 12.5 fast break points per game (#8). I see this game being a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 805/806 Under 191 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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