NBA - 807 San Antonio Spurs @ 808 Detroit Pistons
Projected Line: 193 points
Detroit has been having some normal problems on offense lately. Jose Calderon has arrived to the team and obviously the chemistry isn't still the best between him and the rest of the team. At the same time, some other players lost space in the rotation and so, they are lacking a bit of confidence. For example, Rodney Stuckey is coming from a poor game against Brooklyn, where he shot 2-7 FG. Detroit's offensive ratings over the last six games (97.33; 84.07; 121.97; 97.53; 98.07; 101.64) really indicate that their offense isn't at their best right now. Of course they had that great offensive game against Cleveland, but in the other five games, their performances were clearly subpar. It seems that Andre Drummond won't play tonight due to a back injury and his plays with Will Bynum were the most efficient kind of play the Pistons's offense have right now.
San Antonio's defense has been great even without Tim Duncan. Their interior defense has been amazing and they are coming from a game where they only allowed the Wolves to shoot 15-34 (44.2%) FG at the rim! In fact, the Spurs have been allowing just 58% FG at the rim over their last 10 games! Therefore, I expect Greg Monroe to struggle on offense tonight and in consequence, the entire Pistons's offense will simply collapse, as they have been indeed struggling.
However, the Spurs's offense won't be at their best neither. Without Tim Duncan, San Antonio doesn't have their best post up players on the field that would get a lot of attention from their opponents and give more space to the team's shooters. Also with Manu Ginobili out, the team loses their playmaker coming off the bench. San Antonio is still able of having some good offensive games, but they are lacking consistency right now. They scored 104 points against Minnesota on their last game, but that was due to a 36 points explosion in the fourth quarter!
I believe this contest will then be a relatively low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 807/808 Under 197,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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