NBA - 811 Milwaukee Bucks @ 812 New York Knicks
Projected Line: 210 points
The Knicks are coming from an easy home win against Orlando. They crushed Orlando on the down low with Tyson Chandler shooting 10-11 FG and Amare Stoudemire 7-7 FG. The Knicks shot as a team 22-24 FG at the rim and 5-7 FG from 3-9 feet! They were also super sharp on the pick and rolls, while with their good ball movement, they also shot very well from the outside. Orlando had a nice inside game with Jameer Nelson and J.J. Redick penetrating well into the basket, but they struggled from the outside with 7-26 3pts!
They will host the Bucks tonight and it looks like Jason Kidd will be playing tonight, so the Knicks are back into their full force. After three games where they struggle on offense against Brooklyn, Boston and Philadelphia, they are now coming from two great offensive games against Atlanta and Orlando, where they had an offensive rating of 126.2 and 139.2 against Atlanta and Orlando respectively. With Raymond Felton back, their pick and roll ball handler plays got crisp again with 1.13 and 1.14 PPP, with a huge improvement on their pick and roll roll man plays!
The main problem with the Knicks is that Raymond Felton, Jason Kidd and even Iman Shumpert aren't being able to recover well defensively. This is why Orlando had Jameer Nelson and J.J. Redick shooting 8-17 FG and 9-14 FG against them respectively, Atlanta had Jeff Teague shooting 9-15 FG and Philadelphia had Jrue Holiday shooting 16-25 FG! Now the NY team will be facing Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings plus a solid backcourt second unit with Beno Udrih and Mike Dunleavy. So, Milwaukee's offense will have a good edge on transitions against the Knicks's slow footed guards! Milwaukee has been playing at a super fast pace and it won't be different today, as even on their last game against the halfcourt kings of the Bulls, the pace of the game was 90.3!
On a fast paced game, we will have the Knicks with a good ball movement and a nice inside game, while the Bucks's guards having a nice offensive edge as well on the other side. It will be also interesting to see what Ersan Ilyasova can do tonight on a good matchup for him as well. I see this game as being a super high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 811/812 Over 205,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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