Sunday, November 4, 2012

NBA Premium Play 11/03: Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets


NBA - 507 Toronto Raptors @ 508 Brooklyn Nets

Projected Line: 191 points

I have no doubts that this will be a half court game. Brooklyn was the slowest paced team in the league during the preseason and they didn't also score a lot of fast break points. Toronto has no issues in playing a slow paced game, as we all know coach Dwayne Casey defensive approach as well. 

Brooklyn is yet to play this season and their last game was in October 24th! Due to Hurricane Sandy, this will be the first official game of the new arena and the official debut of the team in Brooklyn. The Nets' biggest problem has been their ball movement, as they dished just 17, 22, 18, 16, 19 and 8 assists during the preseason, while being the league's worst team in assist rate%. 

Toronto won't be an easy opponent for the Nets offense. The Raptors have a good defensive backcourt with DeMar DeRozan, Landry Fields and Kyle Lowry plus the defend the paint very well. So, Brooklyn won't have an easy game on offense tonight. On the other hand, Toronto had some issues on offense against Indiana, with their offense going completely AWOL in some moments of the game. Indiana is a physical team, but so is Brooklyn and with a big effort from the Nets in both ends of the floor, Toronto won't have an easy task in scoring in half court against Brooklyn tonight.

I expect a slow paced game, with both teams performing better on defense than on offense and therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 507/508 Under 195 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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