NBA - 723 Los Angeles Clippers @ 724 Los Angeles Lakers
Projected Line: LA Clippers by 5 points
I expect the Lakers to have a lot of problems tonight. Steve Nash is doubtful for tonight a shin injury and this will only raise the problems for the Lakers tonight. Their offensive flow is very far from being good right now, with Steve Nash needing more ball than he has been getting. The Lakers are also prone in committing a lot of turnovers and the preseason was a disaster in this stat. They improved against Dallas with just 14 turnovers, but then they went back to the poor ball movement and committed 25 turnovers against Dallas. Without Steve Nash, the scenario only gets worse, especially when the Clippers showed against Memphis that they have a super aggressive defense in pressuring the ball handler, with Eric Bledsoe being amazing in that. Memphis committed 21 turnovers that led to 29 fast break points to the Clippers. The Lakers also had a similar situation in Portland, as the Blazers scored 19 fast break points against them.
Of course the Lakers still have a great frontcourt with Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol, however the Clippers have a lot of frontcourt depth with Blake Griffin, DeAndre Jordan, Ronny Turiaf. Ryan Hollins and Lamar Odom ready to be physical and foul Howard if necessary. The Clippers have edge on the second unit against the Lakers, as if we look to the Lakers +/- numbers against Portland, we see that Kobe Bryant had +9, Pau Gasol +6, Metta World Peace +10 and Steve Nash +0. So, the problem was really when these players weren't on the court. It's ridiculous to see Pau Gasol playing 40 minutes and the Lakers being +6 with him on the court, but in the 8 minutes that he didn't play, the Lakers were outscored by 16 points!
The Clippers' bench was the key for their great win over Memphis in the first game of the season, with the highlight being Jamal Crawford, Eric Bledsoe and Lamar Odom. Today the scenario will be similar against a very good Lakers' second unit. Therefore, I expect the Clippers to take advantage of a rare chance to beat the Lakers and comfortably beat them tonight. I'm taking the Clippers in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 723 Los Angeles Clippers (-1,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
4-Team Parlay:
Even though we have no enough edge to take any of those spreads on Double Dime Plays, the truth is that I feel very confident that all these four teams will be winning their games tonight and so, I'll be taking them parlayed.
NOTE: Parlay also available on Pinnacle at +273 / 3.73
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 703 Denver Nuggets ML x 706 Atlanta Hawks ML x 708 Boston Celtics ML x 717 Miami Heat ML @ +257 / 3.57 on Betonline
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