Thursday, October 2, 2014

Soccer Premium Card 09/29

Soccer Pick #1 & #2: Stoke City vs. Newcastle United
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Stoke City (-0.25) @ -115 / 1.87 on SBOBet (OR -116 / 1.86 on Betonline)
Pick: Over 2.25 Goals @ -103 / 1.97 on SBOBet (OR -109 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes))
Detailed Write Up:

Newcastle’s situation is a mess, here some news from them:

“On Friday night, the billionaire club owner’s lawyers, insisted those comments, which were made late on Thursday night in a London bar, were a joke and intended to be tongue in cheek.

But the strength of the remarks will still shock Newcastle fans, whose team are bottom of the Premier League.

“He’s got one more game,” Ashley said. “If we lose against Stoke on Monday night then he’s gone. I have had enough.”

Making a throat-cutting gesture, Ashley added: “Dead. Finished. Over. One more game then that’s it. What would you do? I have spent a lot of money on that club, it’s cost me a lot. I won’t put up with it any more. Honestly, answer me, what would you do? One more loss and he’s gone, he’s over, finished.””

Obviously, these "reports" were denied but this is a good image of what is happening w/ Newcastle lately!

In this contest we are dealing w/ two teams that aren't scoring goals early on the season but they are creating chances! I have Newcastle ranked #5 in total shots w/ 15.0 per game & Stoke City ranked #6 w/ 14.6 shots/game! Obviously, both teams haven’t been efficient but sooner or later the goals will appear. I have discussed this Stoke City a few times saying that they struggle against packed defenses because they lack the proper talent on the midfield to create solid build up chances. That’s why they have been poor at home (losses vs. Aston Villa & Leicester) – they have the urgency to attack but their opponents are happy in sitting down and make some counter attacks. Well, this is not the mantra of Newcastle for today… they will be looking to get a win and more importantly, their defensive organization is awful while Stoke City is a great defensive team – ranked #1 in the league in avoiding shots on target per game.

I think that we should be dealing w/ Stoke City -0.5 line @ +100 / 2.00 odds while my handicapped totals line = 2.5 goals!

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