WNBA Premium Play 08/23: Atlanta Dream @ Washington Mystics

WNBA - 651 Atlanta Dream @ 652 Washington Mystics

Projected Line: 159 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Atlanta will be motivated for tonight, as they will be trying to avoid a franchise-worst road losing streak with a defeat tonight. Their offense struggled for most of the season and they averaged an offensive rate of 89.5 over a span of 7 games, but they have since bounced back by averaging a 107.7 offensive rate on their last 5 games! One of the keys for this offensive improvement was the return of Guard Tiffany Hayes, who has been a big boost on the team's shooting, as she is shooting 20-32 FG on the team's last four games! The Dream keep attacking on their usual style of being aggressive to grab FT and also force turnovers to score easy transition points. Therefore, they are a terrible matchup for Washington, so no wonder that Atlanta has won their first three games of the season against the Mystics with all wins coming from double digits points! Washington is #10 in the league in TO/rate and that is the kiss of death against Atlanta, who forced 21, 15 and 17 turnovers on the first three games between these two teams this season.

On the last game between these two teams, Atlanta easily won by 76-58, with Washington showing no aggression and having just 10 FT attempts. I expect the Mystics to be much more aggressive tonight. The first three games between these two teams this season were played on a fast pace and I expect a similar pace for tonight's contest, with Atlanta showing their improved offense and with Washington being much more aggressive at home. The first three games had totals lines of 162.5, 157 and 157 points, so with tonight's line being set at a much lower level, I believe we have great value in taking the Over in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 651/652 Over 152,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

WNBA Premium Play 08/22: Minnesota Lynx @ Connecticut Sun

WNBA - 601 Minnesota Lynx @ 602 Connecticut Sun

Projected Line: Minnesota by 13 points

Minnesota has lost four of their last five games and this has forced their coach Cheryl Reeve to hold a meeting with the team's captains after their last loss against Atlanta on Monday. Minnesota made a comeback against the Dream, but as their starters always play heavy minutes, they didn't have fresh legs down the stretch. The key for the Lynx's loss at Atlanta was the 19 turnovers that they committed, something that resulted in 25 points off turnovers and 24 fast break points to the Dream. 

For tonight, the Lynx will be fired up and they'll crush the lowly Sun. Connecticut lost all their confidence after not being able to beat Chicago, even though they had a 23 points lead at one point. Their key guard Allison Hightower is out for the season, while Kara Lawson is also out due to personal problems. So, Connecticut will only have Tina Charles against the world for tonight's game, but Minnesota is a top paint defense and also an excellent defensive rebounding team. Minnesota's defense will focus on Charles and with that, the Sun's offense will heavily struggle. Therefore, I expect an easy win for Minnesota and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601 Minnesota Lynx (-9) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Premium Play 08/04: Tulsa Shock @ San Antonio Silver Stars

WNBA - 603 Tulsa Shock @ 604 San Antonio Silver Stars

Projected Line: Tulsa by 4 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

San Antonio is a well organized team, but with Becky Hammon and Sophia Young out for the season, they simply lack talent to be competitive. Their problems are mostly on the frontcourt and this will be a huge problem against Tulsa, who is now red hot since they started being able to feed their post players down low. The Shock crushed Los Angeles on the down low with 50 points in the paint, with Liz Cambage having 9-11 FG, 10-11 FT and 28 points and Glory Johnson 7-14 FG and 17 points! Tulsa is also crushing the offensive glass and getting a lot of free throws as well. Their only issue has been the turnovers, but they are also improving on this area since their hyped rookie Skylar Diggins got benched for their other rookie PG Angel Goodrich!

San Antonio's lack of size is a big problem for them and of course, the Shock will have a mega edge against them down low. The Silver Stars are the third worst paint defense in the league with 36.8 ppg allowed and they are also the worst defensive rebounding team in the league. The only edge that San Antonio will have today will be in forcing turnovers, where they are #5 in the league with 17.0% opp TO, but they have been struggling a little on this area lately by averaging just 13.4% on their last six games! Therefore, I believe Tulsa's offense will have a good performance today. On the other side, San Antonio's offense continues to struggle by averaging an offensive rating of 87.7 on their last five games! The Silver Stars will have some edge on their perimeter shooting, as the Shock have the third worst 3pts defense of the league by allowing 33.3% 3pts, but that won't be enough for San Antonio to compensate the massive edge that the Shock will have down low. Therefore, I'll be taking Tulsa in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 603 Tulsa Shock (+1) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Premium Play 08/03: Atlanta Dream @ Phoenix Mercury

WNBA - 655 Atlanta Dream @ 656 Phoenix Mercury

Projected Line: 170 points | Phoenix by 1 point

Atlanta keeps being without two of their key players: Tiffany Hayes and Sancho Lyttle. Their style involved little shooting percentage, but a lot of aggressiveness! They are #1 in the league on paint in the paint with 38.9 ppg and also #1 in the league on offensive rebounding with 31.7%! Now against the Mercury, I believe Atlanta will be able to explore these two edges very well, as Penny Taylor is out for tonight's game, while Britney Griner keeps being physically limited:

"She could only play four minutes a quarter," coach Corey Gaines said."

Therefore, Atlanta's offense won't have problems tonight, with Erika De Souza crushing a limited Britney Grinner, while Angel McCoughtry will have loads of space to easily penetrate into the basket. On the other side, Phoenix's offense will also produce some offense as usual. These two teams are the fastest teams in the league in terms of pace factor, so I expect this game to be a super fast paced game, where both teams will produce some good offense, especially the Dream with their edges down low. Therefore, I'll be taking both Atlanta and the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655/656 Over 166,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655 Atlanta Dream (+4,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

WNBA Premium Play 08/03: Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky

WNBA - 653 Chicago Sky @ 654 Indiana Fever

Projected Line: 138 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

This is a back to back game for Chicago, as they defeated the Mystics at home last night. It was a tough win for the Sky, with all starters playing more than 30 minutes. Washington's defense showed once again that they can't defend the paint and Sylvia Fowles took advantage of that to shoot 10-14 FG, while Tamera Young shot 5-9 FG! The interior edge saved Chicago last night, as they were terrible on the perimeter with 1-14 3pts! Things won't be as easy for Chicago tonight, as Indiana is #3 in the league on paint defense with 29.1 ppg allowed and even though the Fever is an undersized team, the truth is that they work very well on defense with good double teams and smart decisions, so I believe they will do a great job on Chicago's offense tonight.

On this kind of matchup, Elena Delle Donne would be the X factor for the Sky, as with her playing at the PF position, she would crush Indiana, who would be more worried with defending Sylvia Fowles. But with Delle Donne out with a concussion, everything changes. On the other side, Indiana's offense won't be on a great spot neither, as they are coming from a very tough game at Connecticut last Thursday. Indiana needs turnovers to create transition points, but Chicago is #2 in the league in avoiding turnovers with 14.2 TO/rate. Indiana with no depth right now won't be able to be consistent on offense throughout the whole game, while a tired Sky offense will have the same consistency issues. Therefore, I believe this will be a very low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 653/654 Under 145 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Premium Play 08/02: Los Angeles Sparks @ Tulsa Shock

WNBA - 601 LA Sparks @ 602 Tulsa Shock

Projected Line: 168 points | LA Sparks by 6 Points

***TOP PLAY***

The two games already played between these two teams had a pace factor of 72.1 and 76.1. The Sparks are coming from two subpar offensive games before the All Star break, where they scored 65 and 66 points. Of course these two games were against Seattle, a team that is the "Anti-Sparks": dead last in pace & dead last in fast break points per game and so, the Sparks had to play on half court, when they are deadly on transitions by being #1 in the league with 14.9 fast break points per game. Now against Tulsa, the story will be different, as the Shock are dead last in fast break points allowed with 13.8 ppg allowed, they are also turnover prone (#8 in the league) and they are also the worst defensive rebounding team in the league by allowing an offensive rebound rate to their opponents of 31.8%! This is the perfect bounce back scenario for the Sparks and so, I expect them to have a big offensive game in here.

On the other side, Tulsa is also playing much better on offense lately thanks to a good frontcourt offense with Glory Johnson and Liz Cambage scoring a lot of easy points down low. This will be a very tough matchup for the Sparks' defense that is the second worst paint defense in the league by allowing 36.7 ppg! Therefore, I expect both teams to have good offensive outcomes tonight and so, I'll be taking the Over in here in a Double Dime Play! I also believe that this spread of 9 points favoring LA is too much. LA won at Tulsa earlier in the season by 94-78, but the Shock were playing much worse back then in comparison to their current level. Liz Cambage was in the bench at the time, while she is now super motivated and on the starting lineup, forming a deadly frontcourt duo with Glory Johnson. Therefore, I'll be taking the Shock tonight as well on a Single Dime Play.

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 160.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 602 Tulsa Shock (+9) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

WNBA 07/24 Premium Card

WNBA - 605 Connecticut Sun @ 606 Atlanta Dream

Projected Line: 155 points

NOTE: No writeup for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 605/606 Over 151 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Premium Play 07/20: Connecticut Sun @ San Antonio Silver Stars

WNBA - 651 Connecticut Sun @ 652 San Antonio Silver Stars

Projected Line: Connecticut by 4 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 651 Connecticut Sun (+1.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Matchups Sheets 07/20

651 Connecticut vs San Antonio

653 New York vs Chicago

655 Los Angeles vs Seattle

WNBA Premium Play 07/19: Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever

WNBA - 601 Washington Mystics @ 602 Indiana Fever

Projected Line: 152 points

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

We are in front of two teams who have been stepping it up lately. Indiana was a question of getting their players healthy. Their guard Erin Phillips returned and with her on the floor, the Fever has finally their whole starting lineup available that won the WNBA Finals last season. Phillips's presence on the floor helps everything, as some players that weren't used to handle so much the basketball struggled while she was out, but now with her back, they can now focus on their primary strength: shooting the basketball. 

So, it wasn't a surprise to see the Fever scoring 68 points on the first three periods of their game against New York. Then, they scored just 6 points on the last quarter, but they were up by almost 30 points and the whole quarter was a practice, with Tamika Catchings on the bench. The truth is that Indiana's offense is now way improved and I believe we won't see them having again a stretch of six games on the 60's points scored like it happened previously on this season.

On the other side, Washington is getting more and more similar to Connecticut from the previous seasons. The Mystics have assimilated the ideas from their new coach (former coach of Connecticut) well, they have the deepest roster in the league even though they have no star power, but their coach trusts in every single player of the roster. On their last two games, Washington defeated San Antonio due to key runs that came from their bench! The Mystics scored 80 or more points in four of their last five games, as they are using their depth edge to push the ball and wear down their opponents. The Mystics averaged just 8.4 fast break points per game on the first eight games of the season, but they are now averaging 12.8 fast break points per game on their last seven contests! 

The first game between these two teams this season ended with the Mystics winning a super low scoring contest (64-60) in mid-June. Both teams are now playing much better on offense right now than they were at the time and therefore, I actually expect this game to be a relatively high scoring contest. So, I'll be taking the Over in here on a Triple Dime Play!

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 144 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

WNBA Matchups Sheets 07/19

601 Washington vs Indiana

603 Connecticut vs Tulsa

605 Minnesota vs San Antonio

WNBA Premium Play 07/18: Phoenix Mercury @ Los Angeles Sparks

WNBA - 653 Phoenix Mercury @ 654 Los Angeles Sparks

Projected Line: 178 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

This is a rematch from last Sunday's game, where the Mercury lost at home against the Sparks. That game ended with 164 points scored, with the first quarter being by far the quarter with less points scored: 33 points + 47 points + 47 points + 37 points! The explanation in here for such a low scoring first quarter is quite easy to understand: Phoenix's leading scorer Diana Taurasi picked her second foul early in the game (6min to go in the 1Q) and she had to be benched. Phoenix had 7 points in four minutes, but then they scored just 6 points in the final six minutes of the quarter with Taurasi in the bench!

The Sparks played yesterday against Atlanta and they struggled on rebounding by allowing the Dream to grab 17 offensive boards, something that destroyed the Sparks' normally good offensive flow. The Sparks scored just 9 fast break points in the game, mostly because they couldn't grab defensive rebounds to get out in transition. Now against Phoenix, this won't be an issue, as the Mercury is dead last in the league on offensive rebound rate with 25.4%! Phoenix will continue not having Brittney Griner for tonight and without her, the Mercury's interior defense is non-existent and they have allowed 44 and 46 points in the paint on their last two games! With the Sparks having tired legs on the second night of a back to back, I expect Phoenix to push the pace tonight and with Taurasi avoiding fouls this time, Phoenix will score a lot more points tonight than they did last Sunday. Therefore, I believe this game will be a super high scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 653/654 Over 172 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

WNBA Premium Play 07/17: Atlanta Dream @ Los Angeles Sparks

WNBA - 603 Atlanta Dream @ 604 Los Angeles Sparks

Projected Line: LA Sparks by 14 Points

Atlanta played at Seattle without three of their key players and they were able to hang around until halftime. But then, of course, with their coach using basically only six players on the rotation, they had no legs during the second half.

"I thought for the personnel we have on the floor right now, we really generated a lot of energy." said Atlanta Coach Fred Williams. "But in the fourth quarter, we ran out of gas. We had some open shots but didn't put those down."

The Dream were missing Angel McCoughtry with a strained achilles, Sancho Lyttle and Tiffany Hayes. This is worrying for the Dream because they had 7 days off before their game at Seattle, but now the shorthanded Dream will be on a much tougher spot. Besides that, the game against the Storm was played at a really slow pace (70.0) and if they were tired with 7 days of rest and playing at a really slow pace, now imagine how tired they will quickly become on a fast paced game against the Sparks?

Atlanta's defense has been struggling on transition plays and if that wasn't exposed by the slow Storm (who scored just 4 fast break points), Minnesota took advantage of that with 23 fast break points, San Antonio 19 fast break points and Washington 25 fast break points! The Sparks are pure machines on transitions with 16.1 fast break points per game (#1 in the league) and they will pound Atlanta tonight. LA has been crushing everybody at home with an average score of 89.3-66.5 and they will face Atlanta on their worst moment of the season, shorthanded and with their best player banged up. Atlanta will only have Erika de Souza as a big offensive threat today, but with no help on the perimeter, she will also struggle. Therefore, I expect an easy blowout win for the Sparks tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick:3 units (Single Dime Play) on 604 Los Angeles Sparks (-10) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Premium Play 07/17: Tulsa Shock @ Seattle Storm

WNBA - 601 Tulsa Shock @ 602 Seattle Storm

Projected Line: 138 Points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Tulsa will be without Skylar Diggins today and even though the team's shooting won't get worse because of that as Diggins is shooting around 30's% FG this season, the truth is that she is the only player in the team that is averaging more than 3 assists per game with 4.8 assists/game! Tulsa is the worst defensive team in the league and they struggled on their last two games, where they had defensive ratings of 122.6 and 112.9. However, they faced the #1 and #2 offenses in the league in the LA Sparks and Minnesota. The Shock couldn't stop the opponents' explosiveness and allowed 22 and 21 fast break points in those games.

On the other side, Seattle's defense is being phenomenal lately by averaging a 91.2 defensive rating over their last six games! Their offense has been poor as usual (just 8 assists against Atlanta) and they keep playing at a very slow pace by being dead last in pace factor in the league. Therefore, we can expect today's game to be a half court contest as usual in Seattle's games. This will favor Tulsa, as they won't be their awful transition defense being exposed today, as Seattle is dead last on fast break points scored per game. On the other side, Tulsa's offense in halfcourt without their starting PG promises to be a disaster today, especially against Seattle's elite defense. 

This will be the third game of the season between these two teams, with the Shock having won the first two. Both games were slow paced contests with pace factors of 66.7 and 72.6, both below Tulsa's season pace. The first game had just 125 points scored, while on the second game Tulsa had their best offensive game of the season with 92 points scored and 128 offensive ratings, but that was a back to back game for Seattle, who was coming from playing a tough game at San Antonio the day before. Seattle's coach tends to overuse their players and the Storm just couldn't be competitive on the second day of a back to back. This time, I expect today's game to be played at a similar pace, something that puts a lot of pressure on both offenses in order to perform well enough for them to score a combined of 145 points. Tulsa's defense will be better today than they were on the two previous games, as Seattle's offense is very far from the level of the LA Sparks and Minnesota. On the other hand, Tulsa's offense will also struggle today on halfcourt sets and without their starting PG. Therefore, I see this game being a very low scoring contest and so, I'll be taking the Under in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 601/602 Under 145 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

WNBA Matchups Sheets 07/17

601 Tulsa vs Seattle

603 Atlanta vs Los Angeles

WNBA Premium Play 07/14: Los Angeles Sparks @ Phoenix Mercury

WNBA - 603 Los Angeles Sparks @ 604 Phoenix Mercury

Projected Line: LA Sparks by 8 points

There is a lot of rivalry between these two teams, so every time one of the teams has a chance of crush the other, they don't waste the opportunity. The LA Sparks had a mental block on road games this season, but they crushed Tulsa on the road on their last game to crush that mental block. The Sparks lost at Phoenix early on the season by 81-97, so this is a big revenge game for them. They will face Phoenix at the right time, as their center Brittney Griner won't play tonight and she is the key for the team's defensive scheme that is already quite poor even with her on the field. Phoenix has the second worst defense in the league with a defensive rate of 107.6 and that was quite visible on their last game when San Antonio went to Phoenix and scored 88 points. The Silver Stars have no inside presence, but they were still able to score 44 points in the paint against the Mercury! Therefore, I expect the Sparks to take advantage of their edge down low with Candace Parker and Nneka Ogwumike to dominate tonight's game, picking up a comfortable win for them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 603 Los Angeles Sparks (-4,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Premium Play 07/14: San Antonio Silver Stars @ Connecticut Sun

WNBA - 601 San Antonio Silver Stars @ 602 Connecticut Sun

Projected Line: 159 points

*NOTE: Bovada has a 154 points line, but I know that some sportsbooks have higher totals line. I would take the Over in here until a 156 points line!*

We can expect a fast paced game between these two teams, but they both play undersized featuring some small ball lineups. Connecticut has been struggling a lot on offense due to the injuries of their guards. Tina Charles keeps dominating, but without a consistent outside shooting, the Sun can't produce offense. But for today's game, not only Tina Charles will completely dominate San Antonio's undersized frontcourt, as Kara Lawson returned on the team's last game against Chicago and she's the team's best SG. The Sun's offense is much more efficient at home and today against the #3 worst defensive team in the league, I expect Connecticut to have a nice offensive game. On the other side, Connecticut's defense struggled a lot on their last two games on 3pts defense with 10-23 (43%) 3pts and San Antonio is one of the most unselfish teams in the league. We have in here a 154 points line, when my projected line is 159 points, so I see good value in here to take the Over.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 154 @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

WNBA Premium Play 07/13: Indiana Fever @ New York Liberty

WNBA - 651 Indiana Fever @ 652 New York Liberty

Projected Line: Indiana by 4 points

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

Even though they lost their last game against Minnesota, Indiana was finally able to present their starting five from the 2012 Finals (Erin Phillips, Briann January, Shavonte Zellous, Tamika Catchings and Erlana Larkins) for the first time this season. After a poor start of the season with a lot of injuries, Indiana has won three of their last four games and on their last game against Minnesota, they saw one of their key players Erin Phillips returning to action. Indiana was able to hand around with Minnesota all game and they were just down by 2 points with five minutes to go. The key lineup that won the championship last year is now finally back together and so, it's natural that the Fever will get closer to closer to the level that they had last season very soon.

I believe Indiana will face New York at the right time for them. The Liberty have been struggling badly with turnovers all season and they are dead last in the league on that department with 19.9% TO/rate. Due to this, their head coach Bill Laimbeer has decided to put Cappie Pondexter at the PG position.

"I think in the long term, whether the long term is this year or for sure next year, I think that is her position." Bill Laimbeer said. "I think she learned in the last few games, in games that were out of control. She did very well in her first time."

Pondexter played at the PG position on the team's last game against Seattle, but things didn't improve as New York still committed 18 turnovers. Indiana is a great team on pressuring the opposing ball handler and they are clearly #1 in the league in creating turnovers to their opponents with 20.1 opp TO/game. Therefore, I expect the Fever to have a huge edge on this department tonight. I believe the Fever will come very confident for today's game and with Erin Phillips back, they are a better team than New York, who is currently trying to learn a new system with Pondexter at the PG position. I believe Indiana should have favored on this game and so, with the current line, I'll be taking the Fever tonight on a Triple Dime Play!

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 651 Indiana Fever (+3) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Matchups Sheets 07/13

651 Indiana vs New York

653 Minnesota vs Tulsa

WNBA Premium Play 06/12: Washington Mystics @ San Antonio Silver Stars

WNBA - 603 Washington Mystics @ 604 San Antonio Silver Stars

Projected Line: pk line

Washington is a poor matchup for San Antonio due to their size edge down low. They have Monique Currie, Crystal Longhorne and Michelle Snow in the frontcourt and therefore the Mystics will have a clear edge down low against the Silver Stars, who use a 3-guards lineup. This is why San Antonio is dead last in the league in points in the paint allowed per game with 39.7 ppg, having allowed 44.6 points in the paint per game on their last seven contests! The Silver Stats are coming from a nice win at Phoenix, but they were lucky that Brittney Griner didn't play due to injury, so Phoenix didn't have anybody available to pound the Silver Stars in the paint in that game. 

The Mystics with their new coach are improving fast and despite they lost their last three games against Phoenix, Atlanta and Chicago, they were competitive in all these games where they faced very tough opposition. They know how to feed the ball to their big players and so, they averaged 34.7 points in the paint per game on their last six contests, while they had just average 26.9 ppg in the paint on their first seven games of the season. 

San Antonio is a jump shooting team by being #4 in the league in 3pts attempts, but they are just #9 in efficiency with 32.3% 3pts. Washington's perimeter defense has been amazing as of late by allowing just 20-72 (27.7%) 3pts on their last three games, so I expect them to shut down the Silver Stars' offense tonight. I believe the Mystics will do a nice defensive job tonight, while pounding the undersized Silver Stars down low in here, so I'll be taking Washington tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 603 Washington Mystics (+3) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes