Showing posts with label Phoenix Mercury. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Phoenix Mercury. Show all posts

Friday, August 23, 2013

WNBA Free Premium Play 08/23: Seattle Storm @ Phoenix Mercury

WNBA - 657 Seattle Storm @ 658 Phoenix Mercury

Projected Line: 154 points

Seattle is currently 3-0 against Phoenix this season, with the third win costing the job of Corey Gaines as the Mercury's Head Coach. So, we can consider tonight's game as a big revenge game for Phoenix. The Mercury's offense has been more dynamic lately with an intention to play inside out with Brittney Griner and Candice Dupree on the frontcourt, while Diana Taurasi leads the backcourt. Thanks to this, Phoenix scored 42, 44 and 46 points in the paint on their last three games! On the other side, on their last game against Seattle, Taurasi had a terrible game with 2-11 FG and 6 turnovers. She'll be fired up tonight and so, I expect Phoenix to have a good offensive game in here.

On the other side, Phoenix's defense started their new era with a new coach in good form by allowing just 67, 56 and 58 points, but they have already allowed 88 and 86 points on their last two games, including allowing 88 points to the terrible offense of the Silver Stars! The current totals line of 150.5 seems too low for the fired up Mercury that will try to push up the pace against the slow footed Storm. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 657/658 Over 150,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

Sunday, August 4, 2013

WNBA Premium Play 08/03: Atlanta Dream @ Phoenix Mercury

WNBA - 655 Atlanta Dream @ 656 Phoenix Mercury

Projected Line: 170 points | Phoenix by 1 point

Atlanta keeps being without two of their key players: Tiffany Hayes and Sancho Lyttle. Their style involved little shooting percentage, but a lot of aggressiveness! They are #1 in the league on paint in the paint with 38.9 ppg and also #1 in the league on offensive rebounding with 31.7%! Now against the Mercury, I believe Atlanta will be able to explore these two edges very well, as Penny Taylor is out for tonight's game, while Britney Griner keeps being physically limited:

"She could only play four minutes a quarter," coach Corey Gaines said."

Therefore, Atlanta's offense won't have problems tonight, with Erika De Souza crushing a limited Britney Grinner, while Angel McCoughtry will have loads of space to easily penetrate into the basket. On the other side, Phoenix's offense will also produce some offense as usual. These two teams are the fastest teams in the league in terms of pace factor, so I expect this game to be a super fast paced game, where both teams will produce some good offense, especially the Dream with their edges down low. Therefore, I'll be taking both Atlanta and the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655/656 Over 166,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655 Atlanta Dream (+4,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

Friday, July 19, 2013

WNBA Premium Play 07/18: Phoenix Mercury @ Los Angeles Sparks

WNBA - 653 Phoenix Mercury @ 654 Los Angeles Sparks

Projected Line: 178 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

This is a rematch from last Sunday's game, where the Mercury lost at home against the Sparks. That game ended with 164 points scored, with the first quarter being by far the quarter with less points scored: 33 points + 47 points + 47 points + 37 points! The explanation in here for such a low scoring first quarter is quite easy to understand: Phoenix's leading scorer Diana Taurasi picked her second foul early in the game (6min to go in the 1Q) and she had to be benched. Phoenix had 7 points in four minutes, but then they scored just 6 points in the final six minutes of the quarter with Taurasi in the bench!

The Sparks played yesterday against Atlanta and they struggled on rebounding by allowing the Dream to grab 17 offensive boards, something that destroyed the Sparks' normally good offensive flow. The Sparks scored just 9 fast break points in the game, mostly because they couldn't grab defensive rebounds to get out in transition. Now against Phoenix, this won't be an issue, as the Mercury is dead last in the league on offensive rebound rate with 25.4%! Phoenix will continue not having Brittney Griner for tonight and without her, the Mercury's interior defense is non-existent and they have allowed 44 and 46 points in the paint on their last two games! With the Sparks having tired legs on the second night of a back to back, I expect Phoenix to push the pace tonight and with Taurasi avoiding fouls this time, Phoenix will score a lot more points tonight than they did last Sunday. Therefore, I believe this game will be a super high scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 653/654 Over 172 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

Monday, July 15, 2013

WNBA Premium Play 07/14: Los Angeles Sparks @ Phoenix Mercury

WNBA - 603 Los Angeles Sparks @ 604 Phoenix Mercury

Projected Line: LA Sparks by 8 points

There is a lot of rivalry between these two teams, so every time one of the teams has a chance of crush the other, they don't waste the opportunity. The LA Sparks had a mental block on road games this season, but they crushed Tulsa on the road on their last game to crush that mental block. The Sparks lost at Phoenix early on the season by 81-97, so this is a big revenge game for them. They will face Phoenix at the right time, as their center Brittney Griner won't play tonight and she is the key for the team's defensive scheme that is already quite poor even with her on the field. Phoenix has the second worst defense in the league with a defensive rate of 107.6 and that was quite visible on their last game when San Antonio went to Phoenix and scored 88 points. The Silver Stars have no inside presence, but they were still able to score 44 points in the paint against the Mercury! Therefore, I expect the Sparks to take advantage of their edge down low with Candace Parker and Nneka Ogwumike to dominate tonight's game, picking up a comfortable win for them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 603 Los Angeles Sparks (-4,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Friday, June 7, 2013

WNBA Premium Play 06/06: Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx

WNBA - 601 Phoenix Mercury @ 602 Minnesota Lynx

Projected Line: 176 points

Minnesota showed on their season debut why they are one of the best teams in the league. Their offense just crushed the tired Sun with 50% FG, 24 assists, 15 fast break points and 44 points in the paint! Minnesota will easily score against teams that will want to run with them and Connecticut attempted that and got crushed! Minnesota scored "only" 90 points because they cooled off a bit on the fourth quarter with 12 points scored due to the fact that they had a massive lead already.

Luckily for the Lynx, they will be facing another team that will want to run with them once again. Phoenix lost their first two games of the season, while showing their usual defensive problems, with a lack of rebounding as well. The Mercury try to outscore the opponents, but they need a bit more time to install Brittney Griner on their system, but they have already improved on their last game against Seattle by shooting 49.2% FG! The problem for Phoenix was that game was played on half court and that benefited the Storm and not them, as they scored just 4 fast break points and shot just 1-4 3pts!

I expect a pure run and gun game today, with Minnesota having no problems to score tonight, while the Mercury should also have a good offensive performance as well. Brittney Griner has a favorable matchup against Janel McCarville, who isn't a good defensive player. Therefore, I expect a very high scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Over.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 173 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker