WNBA Premium Play 08/23: Atlanta Dream @ Washington Mystics

WNBA - 651 Atlanta Dream @ 652 Washington Mystics

Projected Line: 159 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Atlanta will be motivated for tonight, as they will be trying to avoid a franchise-worst road losing streak with a defeat tonight. Their offense struggled for most of the season and they averaged an offensive rate of 89.5 over a span of 7 games, but they have since bounced back by averaging a 107.7 offensive rate on their last 5 games! One of the keys for this offensive improvement was the return of Guard Tiffany Hayes, who has been a big boost on the team's shooting, as she is shooting 20-32 FG on the team's last four games! The Dream keep attacking on their usual style of being aggressive to grab FT and also force turnovers to score easy transition points. Therefore, they are a terrible matchup for Washington, so no wonder that Atlanta has won their first three games of the season against the Mystics with all wins coming from double digits points! Washington is #10 in the league in TO/rate and that is the kiss of death against Atlanta, who forced 21, 15 and 17 turnovers on the first three games between these two teams this season.

On the last game between these two teams, Atlanta easily won by 76-58, with Washington showing no aggression and having just 10 FT attempts. I expect the Mystics to be much more aggressive tonight. The first three games between these two teams this season were played on a fast pace and I expect a similar pace for tonight's contest, with Atlanta showing their improved offense and with Washington being much more aggressive at home. The first three games had totals lines of 162.5, 157 and 157 points, so with tonight's line being set at a much lower level, I believe we have great value in taking the Over in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 651/652 Over 152,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

WNBA Premium Play 07/19: Washington Mystics @ Indiana Fever

WNBA - 601 Washington Mystics @ 602 Indiana Fever

Projected Line: 152 points

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

We are in front of two teams who have been stepping it up lately. Indiana was a question of getting their players healthy. Their guard Erin Phillips returned and with her on the floor, the Fever has finally their whole starting lineup available that won the WNBA Finals last season. Phillips's presence on the floor helps everything, as some players that weren't used to handle so much the basketball struggled while she was out, but now with her back, they can now focus on their primary strength: shooting the basketball. 

So, it wasn't a surprise to see the Fever scoring 68 points on the first three periods of their game against New York. Then, they scored just 6 points on the last quarter, but they were up by almost 30 points and the whole quarter was a practice, with Tamika Catchings on the bench. The truth is that Indiana's offense is now way improved and I believe we won't see them having again a stretch of six games on the 60's points scored like it happened previously on this season.

On the other side, Washington is getting more and more similar to Connecticut from the previous seasons. The Mystics have assimilated the ideas from their new coach (former coach of Connecticut) well, they have the deepest roster in the league even though they have no star power, but their coach trusts in every single player of the roster. On their last two games, Washington defeated San Antonio due to key runs that came from their bench! The Mystics scored 80 or more points in four of their last five games, as they are using their depth edge to push the ball and wear down their opponents. The Mystics averaged just 8.4 fast break points per game on the first eight games of the season, but they are now averaging 12.8 fast break points per game on their last seven contests! 

The first game between these two teams this season ended with the Mystics winning a super low scoring contest (64-60) in mid-June. Both teams are now playing much better on offense right now than they were at the time and therefore, I actually expect this game to be a relatively high scoring contest. So, I'll be taking the Over in here on a Triple Dime Play!

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 144 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

WNBA Premium Play 06/12: Washington Mystics @ San Antonio Silver Stars

WNBA - 603 Washington Mystics @ 604 San Antonio Silver Stars

Projected Line: pk line

Washington is a poor matchup for San Antonio due to their size edge down low. They have Monique Currie, Crystal Longhorne and Michelle Snow in the frontcourt and therefore the Mystics will have a clear edge down low against the Silver Stars, who use a 3-guards lineup. This is why San Antonio is dead last in the league in points in the paint allowed per game with 39.7 ppg, having allowed 44.6 points in the paint per game on their last seven contests! The Silver Stats are coming from a nice win at Phoenix, but they were lucky that Brittney Griner didn't play due to injury, so Phoenix didn't have anybody available to pound the Silver Stars in the paint in that game. 

The Mystics with their new coach are improving fast and despite they lost their last three games against Phoenix, Atlanta and Chicago, they were competitive in all these games where they faced very tough opposition. They know how to feed the ball to their big players and so, they averaged 34.7 points in the paint per game on their last six contests, while they had just average 26.9 ppg in the paint on their first seven games of the season. 

San Antonio is a jump shooting team by being #4 in the league in 3pts attempts, but they are just #9 in efficiency with 32.3% 3pts. Washington's perimeter defense has been amazing as of late by allowing just 20-72 (27.7%) 3pts on their last three games, so I expect them to shut down the Silver Stars' offense tonight. I believe the Mystics will do a nice defensive job tonight, while pounding the undersized Silver Stars down low in here, so I'll be taking Washington tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 603 Washington Mystics (+3) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes