WNBA Premium Play 08/03: Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky

WNBA - 653 Chicago Sky @ 654 Indiana Fever

Projected Line: 138 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

This is a back to back game for Chicago, as they defeated the Mystics at home last night. It was a tough win for the Sky, with all starters playing more than 30 minutes. Washington's defense showed once again that they can't defend the paint and Sylvia Fowles took advantage of that to shoot 10-14 FG, while Tamera Young shot 5-9 FG! The interior edge saved Chicago last night, as they were terrible on the perimeter with 1-14 3pts! Things won't be as easy for Chicago tonight, as Indiana is #3 in the league on paint defense with 29.1 ppg allowed and even though the Fever is an undersized team, the truth is that they work very well on defense with good double teams and smart decisions, so I believe they will do a great job on Chicago's offense tonight.

On this kind of matchup, Elena Delle Donne would be the X factor for the Sky, as with her playing at the PF position, she would crush Indiana, who would be more worried with defending Sylvia Fowles. But with Delle Donne out with a concussion, everything changes. On the other side, Indiana's offense won't be on a great spot neither, as they are coming from a very tough game at Connecticut last Thursday. Indiana needs turnovers to create transition points, but Chicago is #2 in the league in avoiding turnovers with 14.2 TO/rate. Indiana with no depth right now won't be able to be consistent on offense throughout the whole game, while a tired Sky offense will have the same consistency issues. Therefore, I believe this will be a very low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 653/654 Under 145 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Premium Play 07/12: Chicago Sky @ Connecticut Sun

WNBA - 601 Chicago Sky @ 602 Connecticut Sun

Projected Line: 155 points

Connecticut is struggling due to several injury problems with their guards: Kara Lawson is questionable for tonight, while Tan White and Renee Montgomery remain injured. Thanks to this, the potential edge that Connecticut would have against Chicago on 3pts offense disappears, as these injured guards are exactly the Sun's top shooters. So, it isn't a surprise that Connecticut shot just 19-55 (34.5%) 3pts on their last five games, with just one good performance against the terrible Tulsa defense, where they shot 8-14 3pts.

Sylvia Fowles is playing at an impressive level and she will have a great duel tonight against the reigning MVP Tina Charles. Thanks to that, Connecticut's offense will also struggle near the rim, as Charles won't have an easy task tonight. Chicago won't need to double team her, so the Sun's shooters won't have the space that they are used to have. On the other hand, I believe Connecticut will be able to do a decent defensive job tonight as well. I expect this game to be a well-fought contest, where both teams will eventually struggle a bit on offense. Therefore, I don't agree with the current high totals line and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601/602 Under 159,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline