Wednesday, July 3, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/02: Cleveland Indians @ Kansas City Royals

MLB - 917 Cleveland Indians @ 918 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: C. Kluber vs L. Mendoza)

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

Cleveland's offense is back at their best and they are #1 in the league over the last 14 days! They will start Corey Kluber tonight and he is coming from an outing where he allowed seven runs (six earned) in 4.2 innings against Baltimore. Still, Kluber had a fairly solid month of June with 3.64 FIP and 3.00 xFIP! He struggled a bit against Minnesota and a lot against Baltimore on his last two starts, however these two teams have been hitting the ball extremely well as of late. Kansas City isn't at this level on offense at all and the truth is that Kluber dominated the Royals earlier on the season with just two earned runs allowed on seven innings, while having a 6/0 K/BB ratio.

On the other side, the Royals will start Luis Mendoza, who is coming from a game against Atlanta, where he allowed two runs and five hits on 6.2 innings. Even though Mendoza hasn't been terrible this season, he isn't pitching at the level of Kluber neither. More important than that are the struggles that Mendoza has versus LH batters, with .352 wOBA allowed, 5.12 FIP and 4.55 xFIP! Mendoza played at Cleveland earlier on the season, on an outing where he allowed four runs in five innings, with a 3/3 K/BB ratio. The Indians inserted 7 players hitting on the left side against Axelrod and I expect something similar tonight, in order to take advantage of Mendoza's struggles against LH batters. 

Cleveland has a clear SP edge in here, they have a much better offense, they are coming from an off day, so I expect the Indians to dominate tonight's game. Therefore, we have massive value on Cleveland in here and so, I'll be taking the Indians in here on a Triple Dime Play!

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 917 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ C. Kluber) @ +101 / 2.01 on Betonline

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