Monday, March 11, 2013

NBA Premium Play 03/10: Milwaukee Bucks @ Sacramento Kings


NBA - 815 Milwaukee Bucks @ 816 Sacramento Kings

Projected Line: 222 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Milwaukee had a nice win last night at Golden State, despite playing without Ersan Ilyasova. Coach Boylan's gameplan was simple: play fast and small! Milwaukee played extremely small all in the game with four of their most used players last night being guards: Brandon Jennings, Monta Ellis, J.J. Redick and Mike Dunleavy! With Ilyasova doubtful for tonight, I have no doubt that the gameplan will be similar, especially when their opponent tonight is Sacramento! By the way, it's interesting how Golden State and Houston were both flat last night. On my recap of the Warriors/Rockets game, I mentioned how tired both teams looked down the stretch and they indeed carried their fatigue in their games on the following day, with Houston losing at Phoenix as 7-points favorite, while Golden State lost at home against Milwaukee as a 3-points favorite!

The Kings have been a quite dangerous team lately, especially at home. They don't care about defending, but fortunately for them, they are really clicking on the offensive end right now. There isn't a team that is more red hot than them behind the arc right now, as they shot 43.8% 3pts on their last 10 games! As they have a lot of depth on their roster and no injuries, Sacramento is playing in an insane fast pace and they are attacking in transition extremely well with 21.1 fast break points per game on their last 12 games! I remember that Milwaukee will play most of the game with a 4-guards rotation, so I don't expect to see the Bucks stopping the Kings's guards off the dribble today. Larry Sanders is a beast, but he can't perform miracles alone on the frontcourt!

Sacramento with their depth and while facing a team on a back to back spot, they will push the pace and their typical game. Curiously, on the game played these two teams at Milwaukee earlier on the season, Sacramento scored just 85 points, but this Kings team has nothing to do with the team that played against the Bucks in December 12th. Not only the Kings won't shoot 3-19 3pts this season, as their backcourt won't be formed by Travis Outlaw, Francisco Garcia and Aaron Brooks, while DeMarcus Cousins and Marcus Thornton will play tonight, unlike what happened in the game at Milwaukee. We will watch in here a fun run and gun game in a complete shootout battle and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 815/816 Over 214.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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