Sunday, March 17, 2013

NBA Premium Play 03/16: Indiana Pacers @ Philadelphia 76ers


NBA - 503 Indiana Pacers @ 504 Philadelphia 76ers

Projected Line: Indiana by 2 points

Indiana will play their third game in four nights tonight, after losing at home yesterday against the Lakers. That game was very physical, but also due to the foul trouble that the Pacers's players had, nobody played more than 40 minutes. However, four of their starters played at least 36 minutes, so they aren't in a good spot tonight. On this kind of spots, Indiana's offense is horrible. On their last back to back games, Indiana averaged an offensive rating of 102.5! 

On the other hand, Philadelphia is coming from two great performances in a row, something that they hadn't been able to do in a while. They comfortably defeated Brooklyn at home with great offensive numbers and on their last contest, they fought toe-to-toe with Miami, something impressive for the Sixers, considering Miami's current form. Thaddeus Young has been amazing lately with huge numbers in almost every single game. Jrue Holiday struggled with a bad hamstring for a while, but he seems healthy now and he absolutely schooled Mario Chalmers with 9-18 FG, 21 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists. Finally Coach Collins decided to give some minutes to Dorell Wright, who is by far the team's most consistent shooter. Philadelphia is on a good physical spot for tonight and they will take advantage of Indiana's subpar pick and roll defense to have good offensive numbers, especially from Jrue Holiday.

On the last game played between these two teams, Indiana defeated Philadelphia on the road by 88-69, in a game where Thaddeus Young didn't play due to injury and where Coach Collins was crazy enough to put Spencer Hawes and Kwame Brown together in the starting lineup! This won't happen tonight, as Philadelphia has everybody healthy and they have their rotations well set. The public is heavily riding the superior team in here and so, we have extra value with Philadelphia, who is playing well and has a much better spot than the Pacers for tonight. Therefore, I expect the Sixers to be super competitive tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 504 Philadelphia 76ers (+6) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

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