Monday, March 11, 2013

NBA Premium Play 03/10: Detroit Pistons @ Los Angeles Clippers


NBA - 817 Detroit Pistons @ 818 Los Angeles Clippers

Projected Line: LA Clippers by 17 points

This is a really poor spot for Detroit, who had a make a huge trip from their home to play at LA tonight, after facing Dallas last Friday night. The Clippers are coming from a road loss at Denver, but they had 2 days off to rest prior to tonight's contest. Jamal Crawford and Eric Bledoe are questionable for tonight, but Bledsoe has been a non-factor recently with just 0, 13, 15, 9, 16 and 15 minutes played on the team's last six contests!

After a good run immediately after the trade that gave them Jose Calderon, the Pistons are now playing at a poor level once again. Their offense looks stagnant and they had just 19 assists against Dallas on their last game. Their pick and roll ball handler game has been horrible with just 0.61 PPP on their last 10 games and with Greg Monroe alone on the down low, teams have quickly figured out how to stop their offense: just don't let the Pistons feed Monroe down low, even if that means give space to the Pistons's backcourt on the perimeter, as they aren't great shooters from the outside. The Clippers won't have problems in limiting Monroe today with their powerful frontcourt unit. On the other hand, with Chris Paul having a huge offensive edge over Jose Calderon, the Clippers should have a good offensive game today.

The LA team is coming from a loss at Denver on a big game for them. With the Grizzlies's win yesterday, the Clippers went sent into the #4 seed in the West. They are angry and so, we can expect them to put on a show tonight. They have some huge edges on the offensive end over Detroit's poor defense, as Chris Paul will take advantage of Jose Calderon's lack of speed, while Jason Maxiell is undersized to stop Blake Griffin, while the Pistons's bench has been looking hapless on their last few games. Rodney Stuckey has shot 0-5 FG, 0-5 FG and 0-1 FG on the team's last three games, Andre Drummond is still injured and the Pistons don't really have a reliable big man to help them on the down low. These flaws are just too much for Detroit to overcome tonight against an elite team playing at home and coming off a loss, therefore I'll be taking the Clippers tonight on an easy blowout win for them.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 818 Los Angeles Clippers (-14) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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