Wednesday, March 13, 2013

NBA Free Premium Play 03/13: Milwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards

  
Milwaukee  at Washington 
 
 
NBA - 601 Milwaukee Bucks @ 602 Washington Wizards


Projected Line: 199 points

The Bucks are now playing in an insane fast pace. They are clearly the only run and gun team in the East, while at the same time their offense has improved behind the good play of Monta Ellis and with the arrival of J.J. Redick. The problem is that they keep struggling a lot on rebounding on their own basket, while it is really easy to attack their guards and get easy shots against them. Larry Sanders is a great defender, but he can't do everything on his own.

This can be problematic for Milwaukee tonight against the speed of John Wall, while at the same time the Wizards also have Nene Hilario and Emeka Okafor to give them easy points down low. Washington's defense has been a consistent unit, but they have been regressing a lot in pick and roll ball handler defense with 0.88 PPP allowed on their last 10 games and that's the bread and butter of the Bucks's offense. I don't expect both teams to have great FG% numbers in here, however with this game having a very fast contest, we don't need such great numbers to beat this 195 points line. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 195 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

No comments:

Post a Comment