NBA Free Premium Play 03/09: Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

Brooklyn  at Atlanta

NBA - 501 Brooklyn Nets @ 502 Atlanta Hawks Projected Line: 185 points This is a really tough spot for Atlanta, as they played a 6-game road trip in the West, then they returned home to beat Philadelphia and yesterday, they went to Boston where they lost on overtime. The Hawks used their starters a lot in Boston, with Jeff Teague, Josh Smith and Al Horford playing 44 minutes each. Now, they will play a back to back game at home against Brooklyn, on a really tough spot for them. As the Nets have a huge frontcourt unit, I don't believe Coach Drew will use Josh Smith and Al Horford on their own on the frontcourt. Therefore, I expect him to repeat the same lineup from yesterday, with Johan Petro as the starting center. I also believe that Deshawn Stevenson will be the starting SG in order to defend Joe Johnson. Devin Harris starting tonight would be a big mistake for Atlanta tonight. With these changes, Atlanta loses a lot of their transition game, as Johan Petro and Deshawn Stevenson prevent them from running early on the shotclock. The Hawks scored just 9 fast break points against Boston in 53 minutes and this lineup and Brooklyn's style, I expect this contest to be a halfcourt game. Brooklyn is coming from a home win against Washington, where Deron Williams was amazing with 15-24 FG and 11-16 3pts! However, the rest of the team shot just 16-57 (28%) FG, while dishing just 14 assists! Joe Johnson is playing banged up, while Deron Williams isn't at 100% from his ankle as well, so the Nets are likely to suffer a lot on a back to back spot with these two players banged up. On a half court battle and with this configuration of the Hawks, Brooklyn will have a lot of problems on their offensive flow. Therefore, I see this game being a low scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 189,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker