Showing posts with label Colorado Rockies. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Colorado Rockies. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/26: San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 955 San Francisco Giants @ 956 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: B. Zito vs J. Nicasio)

Barry Zito will have another start tonight, but he has no business in being a SP right now. He had another chance against Boston and got crushed with six earned runs allowed in 3.2 innings. His 10.26 ERA, 7.17 FIP and 5.43 xFIP on the second half of the season say it all, with a 14.9% K% and 10.3% BB%! Now at Colorado, I can only expect him to be absolutely crushed tonight.

Juan Nicasio will start for the Rockies and after a good stretch of outings after getting called up from AAA, he had poor advanced numbers on his last two outings with 4.79 FIP + 5.18 xFIP and 6.53 FIP + 5.75 xFIP! San Francisco is #6 in the league versus RH pitchers over the last 14 days with .264 BA, so I believe they will put Nicasio in danger tonight as well. Therefore, I expect a super high scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Over.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955/956 Over 10,5 (w/ B. Zito & J. Nicasio) @ -105 / 1.95 on Betonline

Monday, August 26, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/25: Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins

MLB - 903 Colorado Rockies @ 904 Miami Marlins

(Starting Pitchers: J. De La Rosa vs J. Turner)

Jacob Turner will start for Miami today and after a 0/6 K/BB ratio at Kansas City, he faced the Dodgers on his last outing and had a 0/5 K/BB ratio! His FIP of 6.04, 6.64 and 11.24 on his last three outings say it all: he is struggling a lot right now! Colorado has already faced Turner this season and he allowed two earned runs in six innings, but I expect the damage to be much bigger today. 

Colorado will start Jorge De La Rosa and he is coming from allowing three runs (two earned) in 6.1 innings against the Phillies on Wednesday. De La Rosa has been very consistent and he has been able to resist to some tough opposition like facing Pittsburgh twice (#4 vs LHP) or San Diego (#5 vs LHP). He has a 3.22 ERA and 3.62 FIP in August, so I believe he will have another decent outing today against the Marlins' poor offense. I see Colorado having a clear SP and offense edges today, so I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ -107 / 1.93 on Betonline

Saturday, August 24, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/23: Colorado Rockies @ Miami Marlins

MLB - 903 Colorado Rockies @ 904 Miami Marlins

(Starting Pitchers: J. Chacin vs T. Koehler)

Colorado is coming from a 1-3 series at Philadelphia, where they lost all three games by one run. They'll try to bounce back tonight with Jhoulys Chacin, who is coming from a series of solid starts. Baltimore was no easy matchup for him as they have great LH batters (Chacin's main problem: .270 BA + .310 wOBA + 3.58 FIP + 4.28 xFIP against them), while Chacin is good against RH batters with .234 BA, .276 wOBA, 2.81 FIP and 3.55 xFIP! Having in account that Miami's lineup is full of RH hitters and they are the worst team in the league in hitting against RH pitchers, this is an excellent matchup for Chacin tonight.

Tom Koehler will start for the Marlins and he has been struggling with a horrible P/IP ratio, always higher than 17.5 on his last five starts. His command isn't good at all, with 4/4 and 1/2 on his last two starts. Colorado's offense has been decent on this road trip by hitting .273 BA on their last 10 games against RH pitchers, while his best start of Koehler's season was at Colorado with just one earned run allowed in seven innings. This won't happen against tonight, especially with Koehler struggling in August with 4.54 FIP and 4.80 xFIP, besides having a poor 12.1% BB%. I believe Colorado will have both SP and offense edges in here, so I'll take them tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. Chacin) @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/20: Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies

MLB - 951 Colorado Rockies @ 952 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: J. De La Rosa vs T. Cloyd)

Colorado will start Jorge De La Rosa tonight, who after being solid all season long, struggled at Atlanta and at Pittsburgh, just to bounce back at home against the same Pirates and San Diego. This means that De La Rosa faced top teams on hitting versus LH pitchers in all his last four outings, as Atlanta is #7, Pittsburgh #4 and San Diego #5! On the other hand, the Phillies are very far from this level and they are indeed hitting a ridiculous .0805 BA on their last 10 games against LH pitchers! Therefore, this is a great spot for De La Rosa tonight.

Tyler Cloyd was called up from Triple-A Lehigh Valley to start tonight. In a six-outings stint with Philadelphia early on this season, Cloyd didn't impress with a 18/15 K/BB ratio in 34.1 innings. He didn't also impress at Triple-A with a 5-9 record and a 4.89 ERA! Colorado's offense has been much better as of late with .266 BA against RH pitchers on their last 10 games and therefore, I expect them to put Cloyd in some trouble tonight. So, I see a good spot to take the Rockies in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ -106 / 1.94 on Betonline

Sunday, August 11, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/10: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 959 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 960 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: A. Burnett vs J. Nicasio)

Pittsburgh had a no-show yesterday, but things should be different tonight. They'll start A.J. Burnett tonight, who has been amazing lately with 1.38, 1.76, 2.90, 1.81 and 2.34 FIP on his last five outings! He is an extreme ground ball pitcher with 56.1%% GB%, so he should be prone to allow home runs tonight. On the other side, Juan Nicasio will start for the Rockies and he was recently crushed at Pittsburgh with four earned runs allowed in 4.1 innings. He is struggling versus RH batters this season with .277 BA and .332 wOBA, so the Pirates' lineup full of righties should be able to cause him problems. Pittsburgh has also a much better bullpen than Colorado, so I believe the Pirates have a clear pitching edge for tonight, so I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959 Pittsburgh Pirates ML (w/ A. Burnett) @ -133 / 1.75 on 5Dimes

Sunday, August 4, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/03: Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB - 905 Colorado Rockies @ 906 Pittsburgh Pirates

(Starting Pitchers: J. De La Rosa vs F. Liriano)

Colorado finally won a game yesterday, so this is a bounce back spot for Pittsburgh today. They'll be facing Jorge De La Rosa today, who is a LH pitcher, so he will be a good matchup for the Pirates, who are #5 in the league on hitting against LH pitchers, while they are also hitting .333 BA against them on their last 10 games! De La Rosa generally struggles against RH batters (.315 wOBA, 3.72 FIP and 4.02 xFIP), so this is the perfect storm for us to see Pittsburgh scoring a good number of runs tonight.

On the other side, Francisco Liriano keeps dominating the league. He had a bad outing at Cincinnati, but then he bounced back with dominant starts at Washington and then at home against the Cardinals with 8/3 and 8/2 K/BB ratios! Liriano's only problem is on walking batters, but Colorado is #27 in the league over the last 30 days on BB% with 6.8%, so they aren't patient enough to make Liriano struggle. Therefore, I expect an easy win for the Pirates tonight and so, I'll be taking them on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 906 Pittsburgh Pirates RL -1.5 (w/ F. Liriano) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5 Dimes

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/30: Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 909 Colorado Rockies @ 910 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: J. Nicasio vs A. Wood)

Rockies RH Juan Nicasio (6-4, 4.40 ERA) vs. Braves LH Alex Wood (0-2, 3.42)

Juan Nicasio got crushed at Boston and was demoted because of that. But then, he came back and had three good outings in a row while allowing 0, 1 and 0 earned runs in those games! This is especially impressive, as he faced two hot offensive teams during that span in the Dodgers and the Cubs. Therefore, I expect a decent start for Nicasio tonight. On the other side, Atlanta will start Alex Wood tonight, who got crushed against the Mets twice on his two starts in the majors. I believe Colorado will have a clear SP edge for tonight and so, I believe they will be competitive in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 909 Colorado Rockies RL +1 (w/ J. Nicasio) @ +105 / 2.05 on 5Dimes

Tuesday, July 30, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/29: Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 955 Colorado Rockies @ 956 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: J. De La Rosa vs B. Beachy)

Brandon Beachy returns to majors tonight, but he wasn't impressive on his rehab stint, especially because of an alarming 13.9% BB% on AAA over 30 innings, while also having a 4.57 FIP. Colorado's offense seems to have gotten out of their massive slump lately and so, I wouldn't be surprised if they welcome back Beachy tonight with some runs. 

Jorge De La Rosa is coming from six shutout innings against Miami last Wednesday. He has been very consistent lately and with the Braves' offense being just average over the past two weeks and coming off a big win last night against the Cardinals, I believe this is a good spot for De La Rosa to dominate. I see Colorado actually having a nice shot of pulling the upset in here, so I'll be taking the Rockies tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ +126 / 2.26 on 5Dimes

Saturday, July 27, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 907 Milwaukee Brewers @ 908 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: W. Peralta vs T. Chatwood)

Wily Peralta will start for the Brewers tonight and he has been great lately with 0, 1, 0 and 0 earned runs allowed on his last four outings! He had an easy schedule, but the truth is that the Rockies' offense is currently slumping so much that tonight's game shouldn't be a tough one for Peralta neither. On the other side, Tyler Chatwood will start for Colorado tonight and he is coming from allowing just two runs (one earned) against the Cubs last Sunday. However, he was lucky in that game as even though he had a 1.50 ERA in that outing, the advanced numbers tell another story with 6.55 FIP and 4.85 xFIP! Therefore, I believe the super red hot Peralta will give Milwaukee some SP edge tonight and considering how much the Rockies' lineup has been struggling, I believe the Brewers should make this contest a close one. Therefore, I'll be taking Milwaukee on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907 Milwaukee Brewers RL +1 (w/ W. Peralta) @ -116 / 1.86 on 5Dimes

Saturday, July 20, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/19: Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 961 Chicago Cubs @ 962 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs J. De La Rosa)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Colorado struggled during the last few days prior to the All Star break. Their offensive production collapsed and their offensive rankings over the last 14 and 30 days aren't good. But then again, it's tough to be productive on offense without three key players: Dexter Fowler, Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki. The good news is that these three players are now fully recovered and they played already on the last game before the break, where they had 11 hits (.314 BA) against the red hot Ricky Nolasco. The Rockies will face Jeff Samardzija, who is struggling right now. He was a top pitcher in terms of control early in the season, but he is currently with a poor 1.14 ratio in July, while having 5/3, 3/5 and 5/2 K/BB ratios on his last three starts. Now at Colorado, on a hitter-friendly park, against the Rockies on a good spot, I believe Samardzija will heavily struggle tonight.

Jorge De La Rosa will start for Colorado tonight and he has been super consistent lately. De La Rosa improved this season behind a great groundball rate of 47.1% that has been allowing him to have an awesome 6.7% HR/FB rate, something remarkable considering he plays half of his games at Colorado! I expect a solid outing for him tonight against a Cubs team that is just #19 in the league versus LH pitchers this season and who has been hitting a poor .184 against LH pitchers on their last 10 games. With Samardzija struggling and De La Rosa having a nice outing, I believe Colorado will pick up an easy win tonight. So, I'll be taking them in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 962 Colorado Rockies RL -1 (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ -107 / 1.94 on 5Dimes

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/09: Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres

MLB - 961 Colorado Rockies @ 962 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: J. Chacin vs E. Stults)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Jhoulys Chacin will start for the Rockies tonight and he keeps winning games! His command has been poor this season and it has only gotten worse on his last two outings with 4/3 and 3/3 K/BB ratios! On the other hand, Eric Stults will start for the Padres tonight and he allowed four runs last Thursday over 4.1 innings at Boston. Stults didn't show his nice strikeout punch on his last two starts, but this is a nice spot for him to bounce back, as he is back at home while facing a struggling offense. We have in here two subpar offenses and two pitchers with numbers that tell us that they are likely to regress soon. However, the pitchers will be protected by the pitcher-friendly park of San Diego. So, I believe the offense will be the difference in here. Colorado won't have Carlos Gonzalez, Troy Tulowitzki and Dexter Fowler on their lineup tonight and these are their top three batters. Therefore, I believe San Diego will have an excellent opportunity to end their losing streak tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 962 San Diego Padres ML (w/ E. Stults) @ -127 / 1.79 on Bovada

Monday, July 1, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/30: San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 909 San Francisco Giants @ 910 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: M. Bumgarner vs D. Pomeranz)

Both offenses are struggling right now, even though San Francisco is currently struggling a bit more. So, the key in here will be on the pitching, where I believe the Giants will have a considerable edge. San Francisco will start Madison Bumgarner today and after struggling at the end of May, including a poor outing at Colorado with seven runs allowed in 4.2 innings, he is now cruising, so I expect him to get revenge over the Rockies today.

Colorado will see Drew Pomeranz having his season MLB debut today, but he didn't impress on Triple-A earlier on this season with 4.20 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on 15 starts! San Francisco has better numbers versus LH pitchers, so I believe they will bounce back today with a nice win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 909 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Bumgarner) @ -127 / 1.79 on Betonline

Sunday, June 30, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/29: San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 955 San Francisco Giants @ 956 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: M. Cain vs J. De La Rosa)

San Francisco couldn't make Jhoulys Chacin struggle yesterday with just four runs and with their run scored being against the bullpen. The Giants will try to bounce back today with Matt Cain, who has been pitching well as of late with 2.72 FIP and 3.13 xFIP! He had just two bad starts over his last 10 starts, with one of them being exactly at Colorado, where he allowed three homeruns. As Cain is a flyball pitcher, this detail is an important one in games played in Colorado, but it looks like the humidity in Colorado will be very low and with the wind being low as well, with the same thing happening with temperatures. Therefore, Cain should be helped with the weather and have a nice outing today.

On the other hand, Jorge De La Rosa will start for the Rockies today and he has been pitching well lately, even though the 3+3+3 walks on his last three outings are certainly a reason for concern. Also the fact that he faced Washington twice on the last three games helped him, as the Nationals are the worst team in the league on hitting versus LH pitchers! De La Rosa faced also the Blue Jays during this stretch of games, a team that is also just #25 in the league versus LH pitchers! Therefore, I believe he is coming overrated for today's game. He had two starts against San Francisco earlier on the season and he struggled in both games, with five and three runs allowed. One of the reasons why De La Rosa struggled was because he isn't a good pitcher versus RH hitters with .306 wOBA, 3.77 FIP and 4.17 xFIP allowed to them. The Giants' lineup consists mostly of RH batters, so they should be able to pound De La Rosa today and get a nice bounce back win for the Giants in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Cain) @ -101 / 1.99 on Betonline

Friday, June 28, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/27: New York Mets @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 967 New York Mets @ 968 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hefner vs T. Chatwood)

This is a make up game, where the Mets will on a tough mental spot, as they will return tomorrow to host Washington, while the Rockies will continue their home stretch tomorrow with a series against San Francisco. The NY team will start Jeremy Hefner, who is coming from four games where he allowed two or less runs per game. However, three of these four games were against subpar offensive teams such as Philadelphia, the Cubs and Washington. On his last start, he struggled with 10 hits allowed on six innings, but he got away with that. Now at Colorado, he won't get away with such performance. The Rockies will start Tyler Chatwood, who has been phenomenal at home with 2.22 ERA, 2.56 FIP and 3.39 xFIP! The Mets' offense has been horrible and they will be without their best hitter David Wright today. Therefore, I expect Chatwood to dominate, while the Rockies put Hefner in trouble, so I believe will pick up an easy home win today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 Colorado Rockies RL -1 (w/ T. Chatwood) @ -134 / 1.75 on 5Dimes

Sunday, June 16, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/15: Philadelphia Phillies @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 961 Philadelphia Phillies @ 962 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Pettibone vs T. Chatwood)

These two teams faced each other yesterday on an explosive game, with offenses producing 13 hits each, but with the Phillies having a great comeback win by scoring the last six runs of the game! Philadelphia will start Jonathan Pettibone and I faded him successfully on his last outing at Philadelphia, where he allowed four runs in five innings. He has been struggling as of late and his advanced numbers show that he is prone to regress even more: 3.70 ERA, but 4.64 FIP and 4.59 xFIP! Over his last four outings, he had just a quality outing against Miami, the worst team in the league in hitting against a RH pitcher! On the other hand, he allowed four runs at Milwaukee, four runs against Boston and even three runs on nine hits to Washington! Pettibone is struggling against LH batters with .314 BA allowed, while having a 4.97 FIP and 5.17 xFIP against them! Even though Troy Tulowitzki is injured, Colorado was still able to have 13 hits yesterday and their lineup is full of guys who hit on the left side, ready to pound Pettibone, especially as this will be his first start at Colorado and his command is quite awful as well.

Colorado will start Tyler Chatwood and he has been pitching well since he returner to the rotation in May. He is being correcting his walk problem and as he is a groundball pitcher, he has a great GB/FB ratio of 2.84. His advanced numbers are also great with 2.26 FIP and 3.05 xFIP, so I expect him to dominate the Phillies today. With Chatwood containing the Phillies' lineup and with Colorado pounding Pettibone, I can only expect an easy win for Colorado and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 962 Colorado Rockies RL -1 (w/ T. Chatwood) @ -119 / 1.84 on 5Dimes

Friday, June 7, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/06: San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 907 San Diego Padres @ 908 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: A. Cashner vs J. Chacin)

Colorado is coming from an offensive burst yesterday at Cincinnati, where they won the last two games of the series and so, they are returning home tonight with good momentum. I believe that they will have a favorable matchup against Andrew Cashner, who after having some command problems that he seemed to have solved by not allowing any walks on his last two outings, the truth is that he is likely to have developed another problem: homeruns! He has allowed homeruns on his last four games, including three homeruns against Seattle and when a pitch allowed three homeruns against the Mariners at the pitching-friendly park of San Diego, this smells like huge trouble, especially when the following start is at Colorado! The Rockies showed once again yesterday that their offense is hitting well against RH pitchers, so we can expect them to crush Cashner tonight. He had a start against Colorado last year and it was a disaster with 10 hits and 6 runs allowed on 3.2 innings. 

On the other hand, Jhoulys Chacin had some problems on his last start against the Dodgers, but I expect him to bounce back today to continue a trend of bounce backs. He allowed five runs against the Rays, but bounced back at St Louis with just two runs allowed. He struggled at San Francisco with eight runs allowed, just to bounce back against Arizona with three runs allowed. He has already faced San Diego twice this season and he looked good with just one and two runs allowed. With Chacin bouncing back and with Cashner getting pounded by a red hot Rockies' lineup, I expect an easy win for Colorado tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. Chacin) @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes

Saturday, May 25, 2013

MLB Premium Play 05/24: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

MLB - 963 Colorado Rockies @ 964 San Francisco Giants

(Starting Pitchers: T. Chatwood vs T. Lincecum)

This is a rematch from six days ago, with these two teams faced each other in Colorado, while starting these two pitchers as well. Tim Lincecum got absolutely crushed in that outing by allowing six runs and seven hits in five innings, while having a 4/2 K/BB ratio. Lincecum has been pitching better at home than on the road this season mostly due to a much better HR/9 mark: 0.68 vs 1.33 on the road! However, winds will be blowing out to center field at 10-15 mph tonight, so he should get into trouble even though this game will be played at San Francisco. This will be Lincecum's third start of the season against the Rockies and he allowed six runs each on the first two games!

On the other hand, the Rockies will start Tyler Chatwood and even though that he won the decision six days ago, he was quite lucky with just one run allowed in 5.2 innings, as he allowed seven hits and had a 4/4 K/BB ratio! With him having his second start of the season against the Giants tonight, who happens to be #7 in the league in hitting against RH pitchers this season with a .764 OPS, I believe he will struggle much more than he did at Colorado last week. Therefore, I see this game being a relatively high scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963/964 Over 8 (w/ T. Chatwood & T. Lincecum) @ +100 / 2.00 on Betonline

Thursday, May 23, 2013

MLB Premium Play 05/22: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 955 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 956 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: T. Cahill vs J. De La Rosa)

Yesterday Colorado took a nice lead, but they allowed Arizona to comeback, just to beat them anyway on extra innings. Trevor Cahill is coming from a strong performance last Friday, where he allowed just one run on five hits, but he walked four batters on his start against Miami. Cahill is then coming from a nice start and he has been impressive with 1, 1, 2, 1 and 1 runs allowed on his last five outings, but his command has some issues. He had a 4/4 K/BB ratio against Miami, while he had a 5/4 and a 2/3 prior to that. That's a 11/11 K/BB ratio on his last three outings! The worst part for Cahill was that these three starts were against Miami, Philadelphia and the LA Dodgers, three teams that are #28, #29 and #30 in hitting against RH pitchers this season! He has already played at Colorado this season and he was really lucky. He threw 105 pitches in just 5 innings, he walked 4 batters, but he allowed just 1 run! Of course, the advanced numbers were much worse than his ERA in that outing: 1.80 ERA, 3.63 FIP and 3.63 xFIP! Now I expect the Rockies to put Cahill in some trouble today.

On the other hand, Arizona is much weaker on offense against LH pitchers (#22) than against RH pitchers (#11)! This is easily explained with the fact that only Goldschmidt is a RH batter from their top hitters. Jorge De La Rosa dominated the Cardinals on the road, as he had a no-hitter until the 7th inning, while he got pounded against San Francisco with a 9.00 ERA, but a 3.23 FIP and 4.67 xFIP! Just like Cahill, he has already faced the Dbacks twice this season and De La Rosa looked quite good in both outings. I expect the same to happen today, with him helping his team in getting another nice home win today. 

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 956 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ -128 / 1.78 on 5Dimes

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

MLB Premium Play 04/23: Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies


MLB - 909 Atlanta Braves @ 910 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Teheran vs J. Garland)

Julio Teheran is a top prospect, but he has been disappointing on the majors after dominating on the minors. Scouts say that his change up was supposed to be his dominant pitch, but he hasn't been able to throw strikes with them. So, he has been struggling on his command with 7 walks in 21 innings! This is very problematic, as he is flyball pitcher and he is going to be facing the #2 ranked team in the league in hitting against RH pitchers on a hitting-friendly park like Colorado's. 

On the other side, Joe Garland has been a nice surprise this season and his ability to generate ground balls has been the key for him to have nice numbers at home. With a 57% GB% rate, he has been able to be quite decent this season. Atlanta has a power lineup, who has been crushing flyball pitchers, but Garland with his groundballs will be a tough matchup for them. Therefore, I see Colorado getting revenge tonight from their loss earlier today on the first game of this doubleheader, with a nice win over the Braves tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. Garland) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bovada

Friday, April 5, 2013

MLB 04/05 Free Premium Play: San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies

  
San Diego  at Colorado 
 
 
MLB - 901 San Diego Padres @ 902 Colorado Rockies


(Starting Pitchers: J. Marquis vs J. Francis)

Colorado will play today their first home game of the season and so, they will be fired up. We know that the Rockies will struggle this season with their bad pitching, but their offense can be a major force if their main batters remain healthy. In their first series of the season at Milwaukee, Colorado hit better than .300 BA in the three games of the series, something that shows how good their hitting can really be. Fortunately for them, they will face Marquis today. He was horrible at the start of the past season until he joined the Padres in the second half of the season and looked decent. However, we know that pitching home games at San Diego helps any pitcher in improving. However, Marquis is a contact pitcher, who need impeccable command if he wants to be decent on an outing. The problem is that Marquis's command was wild during the Spring Training with a 15/15 K/BB ratio! If we add the fact that he will be pitching at Colorado today against the Rockies's roster who is hitting .303 BA and .961 OPS against him, things will be really tough for him today.

On the other side, Jeff Francis will have an easier task today against the putrid offense of the Padres, who is really missing their power guy Chase Headley. Francis had a good workload during Spring Training with 29.1 innings, where he showed good command with a 15/3 K/BB ratio. Like Marquis, Francis is a contact guy, but Francis has been showing good command during this early season, unlike Marquis. Looking at their spot for today, their huge edge on offense and their edge on the SP for today, I can only expect an easy win for the Rockies today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 902 Colorado Rockies RL -1 (w/ J. Francis) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes