MLB - 973 Cleveland Indians @ 974 Kansas City Royals
(Starting Pitchers: S. Kazmir vs J. Guthrie)
Kansas City is starting Jeremy Guthrie tonight, who has been slumping lately, even though he had a somewhat decent start at Minnesota on his last game with three earned runs allowed on 6.1 innings. But the truth is that his numbers have been horrible lately: 15.0% HR/FB rate, 4.38 K/9, 1.36 K/BB ratio and terrible numbers versus LH batters with .389 wOBA, 6.40 FIP and 5.60 xFIP! Cleveland will have six players hitting from the left side tonight, so I expect them to pound Guthrie in here:
1. Michael Bourn (L) CF
2. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS
3. Jason Kipnis (L) 2B
4. Nick Swisher (S) 1B
5. Michael Brantley (L) LF
6. Carlos Santana (S) DH
7. Mark Reynolds (R) 3B
8. Ryan Raburn (R) RF
9. Yan Gomes (R) C
On the other hand, Scott Kazmir will start for Cleveland tonight, even though he has been struggling with a back injury. Kazmir is very inconsistent, but he is coming from two good outings in a row, where he allowed 0 and 1 earned runs at Baltimore and against Minnesota at home. However, the best hitters of these two teams are left-handed and this helped Kazmir a lot. Kansas City's lineup is full of RH batters, so Kazmir will have a tougher matchup tonight:
1. Alex Gordon (L) LF
2. Alcides Escobar (R) SS
3. Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
4. Billy Butler (R) DH
5. Salvador Perez (R) C
6. Lorenzo Cain (R) CF
7. Miguel Tejada (R) 3B
8. Johnny Giavotella (R) 2B
9. David Lough (L) RF
The Royals are #13 in the league versus LH pitchers and just #27 versus RH pitchers. Kazmir has a great 2.06 FIP versus LH batters, but a terrible 5.98 FIP versus RH batters! I don't trust both pitchers tonight, so I believe tonight's game will be a high scoring contest. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 973/974 Over 8,5 (w/ S. Kazmir & J. Guthrie) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker
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