Saturday, March 9, 2013

NBA Premium Play 03/08: Memphis Grizzlies @ Cleveland Cavaliers


NBA - 809 Memphis Grizzlies @ 810 Cleveland Cavaliers

Projected Line: Memphis by 8 points

The Grizzlies made a huge comeback against Portland at home, as they were down by 17 points during the third quarter. This was possible due to their small ball play, as Coach Hollins stayed small throughout the fourth, even when the Blazers brought their starters back in and the Grizzlies ended up closing the game on a 36-19 run over the final 15 minutes with Prince joining Marc Gasol up front, Mike Conley and Bayless manning the backcourt, and Pondexter and Tony Allen splitting up small forward minutes. Marc Gasol was a monster in this contest! On defense, he limited LaMarcus Aldridge to 2-13 FG in 37 minutes, while he had 10-17 FG, 23 points, 12 rebounds and 3 assists on offense!

Memphis will now play at Cleveland, on a game against a Cavaliers team that will have a lot of problems on offense against the Grizzlies's aggressiveness, especially without Kyrie Irving. If Marc Gasol crushed J.J. Hickson and LaMarcus Aldrdige, he won't have problems in doing the same tonight against the Cavaliers's terrible interior defense. Rookie Tyler Zeller will be easily outplayed, while Marreese Speights's defensive skills are also non-existent. This is why the Cavaliers is #30 in the league on post up defense. Dion Waiters will return to the lineup today, but he is coming from illness and I doubt that he will be physically at 100%. Memphis's defense with their pressure on the ball handlers will create a lot of turnovers, especially with the Cavaliers playing without Kyrie Irving. 

On the Cavaliers's last game, they couldn't cope with Utah's size all game long until the Jazz had a mega choke down the stretch. This also happened due to Irving's offense via scoring and passing, but without him tonight, the Cavaliers will struggle especially against the elite Grizzlies defense. Therefore, I expect an easy win for Memphis and so, I'll be taking them in here tonight.

NOTE: Irving will play tonight, the line is now MEM-4.5 which is good enough for me for a play.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 809 Memphis Grizzlies (-4,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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