NBA - 801 New York Knicks @ 802 Washington Wizards
Projected Line: 190 points | NY Knicks by 6 points
Nene Hilario didn't play in the Wizards's last game against Detroit and it was clear that Washington missed him. They were okay on offense with 47.6% FG and 8-19 3pts, but they were little aggressive with just 10 free throw attempts and poor offensive rebounding numbers as well. Nene won't play tonight as well, so the Wizards's offense will have the same problems on this contest. We have in here a contrast of styles with Washington trying to set a fast tempo, while the Knicks will want to set this game as a halfcourt battle. So, in order to try to guess the kind of pace this game will have, we need to check the previous game between these two teams in February with John Wall already playing. Washington defeated the Knicks by 106-96, in a high scoring game that had a super slow pace of 86.5, so it's clear that the Knicks were able to impose the slow pace they wanted for the contest. Washington won that game because they had one of their best offensive performances of the season with 53.2% FG and 11-20 3pts! Trevor Ariza, who is shooting 41% FG and 33.1% 3pts this season, shot 7-11 FG and 5-7 3pts for 20 points on that game! As the game was played on a very slow pace, the Wizards were only able to score 13 fast break points, as they didn't have a lot of transition chances.
With this scenario of another slow paced contests between these two teams, I really don't believe that Washington's offense will be successful once again on halfcourt basketball against the Knicks. Their great numbers in the previous game against the Knicks were very far from their season averages and they were just an abnormality and they won't be able to do the same thing tonight. On the other hand, the Knicks's offense has been very stagnant lately. They are currently on a 8-games sequence where they fail to reach the 20 assists mark! This is problematic for them, as Washington has been an elite defensive team all season long, with a great perimeter defense and a solid frontcourt unit. Therefore, I expect a low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. With the Wizards missing Nene tonight, I don't believe they will be able to hung around with the Knicks down the stretch, who have a lot more solutions than Washington. So, I'll be taking the Knicks in here as well.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801/802 Under 193.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801 New York Knicks (-3) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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