Showing posts with label Toronto Blue Jays. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Toronto Blue Jays. Show all posts

Thursday, August 29, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/28: New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 969 New York Yankees @ 970 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: H. Kuroda vs T. Redmond)
The Yankees will start Hiroki Kuroda tonight, who is coming from his worst start of the season against Tampa Bay. It was the second start in a row where he struggled, but it's important to note that he was unlucky against the Red Sox with a ,500 BABIP, while Kuroda has been struggling against the Rays lately with a 6.11 ERA and .290 BA on three starts against them this season. Kuroda struggles against LH batters (.252 BA, .310 wOBA and 3.91 FIP) and Tampa Bay used six LH batters on the lineup to take advantage of that. Things will be different tonight, as Toronto will be a much easier matchup for him, as he is allowing just .243 BA in 181 AB's against the Blue Jays' roster! Toronto lacks a decent number of LH batters to make Kuroda struggle and so, I expect him to bounce back tonight.

On the other side, Todd Redmond will start for the Blue Jays and he is coming from getting crushed at Houston with eight earned runs allowed in just 3.1 innings! He only has the fastball and the slider on his weaponry and the Yankees are the top 10 team in hitting against both pitches over the last two weeks. Therefore, I expect Redmond to heavily struggle once again tonight, while Kuroda should bounce back, so I'll be taking the Yankees in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969 New York Yankees ML (w/ H. Kuroda) @ -135 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

Thursday, August 15, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/14: Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 969 Boston Red Sox @ 970 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: J. Lester vs E. Rogers)

Boston will start Jon Lester tonight, who is coming from three runs (one earned) allowed against Kansas City last Thursday. This was a good bounce back from Lester, who had a disastrous outing against Arizona, where he was unlucky as well with a .588 BABIP! Toronto's offense is no joke, but they are just #18 against LH pitchers, with .200 BA on their last 10 games against them. Therefore, I believe Lester will have a decent outing tonight.

Esmil Rogers will start for the Blue Jays and he is still on the rotation only because of Josh Johnson's injury. He has been a pure disaster on the second half of the season, with 7, 5, 8, 2 and 4 earned runs allowed! His numbers against LH batters are absolutely terrible with .321 BA, .394 wOBA, 5.47 FIP and 4.96 xFIP! Therefore, Rogers will have a horrible matchup tonight against a Red Sox's lineup that will have five players hitting from the left side:

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
2. Shane Victorino (S) RF
3. Dustin Pedroia (R) 2B
4. David Ortiz (L) DH
5. Jonny Gomes (R) LF
6. Stephen Drew (L) SS
7. Mike Napoli (R) 1B
8. Jarrod Saltalamacchia (S) C
9. Will Middlebrooks (R) 3B

Therefore, I believe Boston will have an easy win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969 Boston Red Sox ML (w/ J. Lester) @ -145 / 1.69 on Betonline

Thursday, August 8, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/07: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners

MLB - 913 Toronto Blue Jays @ 914 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: J. Happ vs A. Harang)

Toronto will be trying to complete a road sweep today, after having surprisingly won the first two games of this series. They'll be facing Aaron Harang today, who allowed seven runs in five innings against Baltimore last Friday. Over his last six outings, Harang only had one good start against Minnesota. The reason for these problems are mostly because of his lack of strikeout punch, which forces him to have high P/IP numbers. So, it's not a surprise that everytime he faces a team that is a top hitting team versus RH pitchers, he gets crushed. This is why he allowed seven runs against Boston, then one run (but 11 hits!) against the LA Angels and also one run against Cleveland, where he was very lucky with a 1.29 ERA in that outing, but with a 5.18 FIP and 5.49 xFIP! Therefore, I expect Harang to heavily struggle today against the power lineup of the Blue Jays.

J.A. Happ will back his comeback start today and he has a favorable matchup in here, as Seattle is just #23 in the league on hitting versus LH pitchers, while hitting just .241 BA versus LH pitchers on their last 10 games. Seattle's struggles against LH pitchers are explained with the fact that their top hitters are also lefties and in fact, most of their lineup is left-handed. Happ won't pitch for a lot of innings today, but Toronto's bullpen isn't overworked and so, they are ready to help Happ today. I believe Happ should be able to have a decent outing today on a good matchup, while Harang should get pounded, so I'll be taking the Blue Jays today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ J. Happ) @ -107 / 1.93 on 5Dimes

Wednesday, August 7, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/06: Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners

MLB - 973 Toronto Blue Jays @ 974 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: J. Johnson vs F. Hernandez)

Toronto won the first game of this series on a pitchers duel, mostly thanks to R.A. Dickey who has been pitching better lately. Things will be much different tonight, as the Blue Jays will start Josh Johnson and he has been a disaster this season. He has allowed 25 earned runs in his last four outings and the truth is that Johnson ended July with a 7.71 ERA, 6.08 FIP and a .279 BA! Seattle's offense has been great against RH pitchers, so Johnson will heavily struggle once again tonight.

On the other side, Felix Hernandez will start for the Mariners tonight and he is coming from dominating the Red Sox on the road, as he allowed just one earned run in seven innings, while having a 8/2 K/BB ratio! Toronto's lineup has a lot of power, but Hernandez dominated the Blue Jays on the road earlier in the season and I expect him to do that once again tonight. With Hernandez having a decent outing and with Johnson struggling once again, I can only expect Seattle to pick up a comfortable win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 974 Seattle Mariners RL -1 (w/ F. Hernandez) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes

Saturday, August 3, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/02: Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels

MLB - 969 Toronto Blue Jays @ 970 Los Angeles Angels

(Starting Pitchers: T. Redmond vs T. Hanson)

Toronto will start Todd Redmond tonight, who is coming from one run allowed over six innings Sunday against Houston. His P/IP ratio has been quite high on his starts, but the truth is that his command has been quite good in fact, with 10/2, 6/1 and 6/1 K/BB! Redmond has been pitching well against RH batters (4.18 FIP and 2.70 xFIP) and this is good news for him, as he will be facing an Angels' lineup that will be full of RH batters as usual. Therefore, I believe Redmond will be able to do a good job tonight.

Tommy Hanson is coming from allowing five earned runs in 4.2 innings against Oakland last Sunday. This was a really poor performance by Hanson and he was actually coming from a decent outing against Minnesota prior to that. Hanson is a flyball pitcher who struggles against RH batters, so he has in the Blue Jays an absolutely terrible matchup. With Redmond having another decent outing tonight and with Hanson being prone to get pounded by the power lineup of Toronto, I see great value on taking the Blue Jays as underdogs tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ T. Redmond) @ +114 / 2.14 on Betonline

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/30: Toronto Blue Jays @ Oakland Athletics

MLB - 925 Toronto Blue Jays @ 926 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: M. Buehrle vs D. Straily)

Mark Buehrle will start for the Blue Jays tonight and he has been very consistent lately. He had just one poor start at Baltimore, where he allowed eight earned runs, but besides that, he has been quite consistent, even though he faced top teams like Tampa Bay twice and Boston. His only issue has been the home runs, but that shouldn't be a problem on a game played in a pitcher-friendly park like Oakland's. Buehrle has a 3.42 FIP and 3.23 xFIP in July and I believe he will do a good job tonight. Dan Straily will start for the A's and he got finally pounded on his last starts against the Angels, with five earned runs allowed in 4.1 innings. Prior to that, he had three "good starts" in a row, where his advanced numbers were in fact quite poor. He is now regressing and so, I believe Toronto's offense should be able to pound him tonight and turn this game into a very competitive one. I'm taking Toronto tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 925 Toronto Blue Jays RL +1 (w/ M. Buehrle) @ -109 / 1.92 on 5Dimes

Tuesday, July 30, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/29: Toronto Blue Jays @ Oakland Athletics

MLB - 965 Toronto Blue Jays @ 966 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: E. Rogers vs A. Griffin)

Oakland will start A.J. Griffin tonight, who is coming from three runs allowed against Houston in 6.1 innings last Wednesday. He is coming from three subpar performances on his last four outings and it's important to note that even though he won his last outing, he still allowed two homeruns to the lowly Astros. Griffin has poor numbers against RH batters (4.86 FIP and 4.29 xFIP), so Reyes, Melky, Bautista and Encarnacion will be ready to pound him today, especially with Toronto's offense being #2 in the league over the last two weeks and #4 over the last month.

On the other side, Esmil Rogers is being Toronto's best pitcher. He had two poor outings against Tampa Bay over his last six games, but he dominated in his other four games, even though he faced the LA Dodgers, Cleveland, Detroit and Boston! Oakland is coming from a good offensive game yesterday against the Angels with 10 runs scored, but they have been average as of late on offense. With Toronto having a nice pitching and offensive edges tonight, I can see them making this game at least quite competitive and so, I'll be taking them tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 965 Toronto Blue Jays RL +1 (w/ E. Rogers) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes

Saturday, July 27, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 915 Houston Astros @ 916 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: J. Lyles vs R. Dickey)

Houston will start Jordan Lyles tonight, who started the season well, but he is now struggling big time with a 4.64 FIP, 10.0% K% and 8.8% BB% in July. He is more than likely to get pounded tonight by Toronto's lineup. On the other side, R.A. Dickey has finally a nice matchup to bounce back, after a very tough schedule, where he faced Tampa Bay, Cleveland, Detroit, Tampa Bay against and Baltimore in five of his last six games. With a clear SP and offensive edges tonight, I expect Toronto to pick up an easy win tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Blue Jays on the runline tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 916 Toronto Blue Jays RL -1.5 (w/ R. Dickey) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker

Friday, July 19, 2013

MLB Free Premium Play 07/19: Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays

  
Tampa Bay  at Toronto 
MLB - 965 Tampa Bay Rays @ 966 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: D. Price vs E. Rogers)


We have Toronto being clearly underrated in here, especially regarding the pitching matchup. Since he returned from the DL, David Price allowed 2, 1 and 0 earned runs on his three starts. That seems really good, but he faced Houston twice and the White Sox! This means that he had the 4th easiest schedule for a SP on the last three starts! Price dominated struggling offenses that are also below the league average in K% and BB%. Now at Toronto, things will be much tougher for Price and I expect him to struggle a lot more tonight.

On the other hand, Esmil Rogers will start for the Blue Jays and he has been the best SP of the team for a while, with great advanced numbers (3.67 FIP + 3.38 xFIP)! He faced Cleveland, Detroit and Boston on his last three outings and these are exactly the three best offenses in the league! Rogers struggled against Detroit, but he dominated at Cleveland and Boston! With James Loney and Yunel Escobar out of Tampa Bay's lineup, I believe Toronto has a great chance to be highly competitive tonight and perhaps even win the game outright. Therefore, I'll be taking the Blue Jays on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 Toronto Blue Jays RL +1.5 (w/ E. Rogers) @ -135 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

Monday, July 15, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/14: Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles

MLB - 921 Toronto Blue Jays @ 922 Baltimore Orioles

(Starting Pitchers: J. Johnson vs S. Feldman)

Toronto will start Josh Johnson today, who is coming from allowing two runs on three hits in seven innings against Cleveland last Tuesday. This was another good performance from Johnson, who is definitely pitching quite well right now with a 2.57 ERA, 2.20 FIP and 3.21 xFIP outing! Josh has been having a horrible schedule lately by facing Cleveland, Detroit, Boston and Baltimore on his last four outings! Even though he faced four top teams in a row, Johnson only had one poor start at Boston, as he was impressive on the other three games. In fact, Johnson has been great on the road this season with a 2.79 FIP and 3.45 xFIP, while amazing an amazing 0.48 HR/9 ratio! Today at Baltimore, I believe Johnson will have another good outing today, even though he will be facing another tough opponent in here.

Scott Feldman will start for the Orioles today and he is coming from allowing seven runs in 5.1 innings against the Rangers last Monday. He has been struggling on adjusting to the AL and Toronto will be a tough matchup for him. Feldman is allowing .299 BA and .879 OPS in 77 AB's against the current Blue Jays' roster, so I believe Feldman will get into trouble once again today. As Toronto will have a clear SP edge in here, I believe the Blue Jays have a lot of value as underdogs today and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 921 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ J. Johnson) @ +112 / 2.12 on Betonline

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/09: Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Indians

MLB - 971 Toronto Blue Jays @ 972 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: J. Johnson vs U. Jimenez)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

This isn't a good spot for Cleveland, as they are coming from a big series against Detroit and they will play against Toronto with no days off between series. The spot for the Indians is even worse, as they had to play extra innings last night, on a game that also had a small rain delay as well. On the other hand, Toronto had a day off yesterday, so they will be on a much better spot for tonight. Cleveland will start Ubaldo Jimenez tonight and he has been struggling lately with his control, as he has walked 5, 4, 2, 4 and 4 batters on his last five games! Of course he isn't allowing a lot of hits, but with so many free passes, the risk of getting pounded with so many players on base is high and this is what happened on his last game at Kansas City, where he allowed a grand slam. Toronto is #4 in the league on BB% with 9.2% over the last 14 days and they hit well versus RH pitchers, so they should be able to pound Jimenez tonight.

John Johnson will start for Toronto and he had bad luck last Wednesday, where he allowed six runs against the Tigers, even though just one of those runs was earned! He has been quite unlucky, as the Blue Jays can't stop committing errors every time Johnson is on the mount. Johnson faced Detroit, Boston and Baltimore on his last three outings, three teams that are #3, #1 and #5 versus RH pitchers respectively, so he is coming to this game very well tested. Johnson has been pitching well and with the Indians on a poor spot, I expect Johnson to have a nice outing tonight. I believe Toronto has a spot edge and a clear SP edge for tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 971 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ J. Johnson) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes

Monday, July 8, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/07: Minnesota Twins @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 967 Minnesota Twins @ 968 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: S. Diamond vs T. Redmond)

Toronto is coming from getting shutout Mike Pelfrey yesterday, so they will be fired up today to pound Simon Diamond. He is coming from three runs (two earned) allowed against the Yankees last Monday. He hasn't been impressive lately and as a ground ball pitcher, it is a huge concern that he has allowed 2, 1 and 2 homeruns on his last three starts! Diamond has no strikeout punch (11.6% K%) and with the Blue Jays being fired up today, I expect him to struggle big time.

On the other side, Toronto is starting Todd Redmond today, who pitched three innings in relief last Wednesday against Detroit. Redmond was on Triple-A and his 5.06 ERA on 26.2 innings there aren't great at all. He seems to be picked for today's game because he was the only guy available and not for his quality to be a MLB SP. Therefore, I believe he will eventually struggle today against a Twins' underrated lineup. Therefore, we have all the right ingredients to have a high scoring game today and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 967/968 Over 9,5 (w/ S. Diamond & T. Redmond) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Thursday, July 4, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/03: Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 963 Detroit Tigers @ 964 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: M. Scherzer vs J. Johnson)

Toronto will start Josh Johnson tonight, who was starting to show his best baseball lately, until he faced two elite offensive teams on his last two starts and struggled. However, even on those games, he had decent advanced numbers with 1.86 FIP + 3.98 xFIP and 4.06 FIP + 3.07 xFIP! Thanks to this, Johnson ended June with a 3.27 FIP and 3.14 xFIP! Excellent numbers! Johnson faced the Tigers on the road in early April and he got crushed with six runs allowed in just 1.1 innings! He has some weird numbers versus RH batters (.326 BA, .418 wOBA, 5.43 FIP and 4.48 xFIP), but it's true that he is underrated right now with a 5.21 ERA, but a 3.82 FIP! Therefore, I expect him to be able to have a decent outing tonight.

On the other side, Max Scherzer will start for the Tigers tonight and he has been simply amazing this season. According to my metrics, he faced four above average offensive teams on his last six starts and his average FIP- on these four games was 56 (100 is the average; the less a pitcher has, the better)! Of course Toronto is a very strong hitting team at home, but Max seems ready to face any opponent this season! Therefore, I can only expect Scherzer to have another good outing in here. Considering we will have on this game a top 3 pitcher in the league and a very underrated Josh pitching on this matchup, I expect tonight's game to be a much lower scoring affair than the offensive explosions that happened on the first two games of the series. Therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963/964 Under 8,5 (w/ M. Scherzer & J. Johnson) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes

Wednesday, July 3, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/02: Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 913 Detroit Tigers @ 914 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: D. Fister vs C. Wang)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY - SPLIT THE WAGER***

Toronto crushed Detroit yesterday on Canada Day, on a game where the Blue Jays had an evident SP edge. Things will be very different tonight. Toronto will start Chien-Ming Wang, who had two great starts at Texas and against Baltimore, but then he exploded at Boston. Wang is allowing .322 BA this season and with just a 4.35 K/9 rate, I don't see how he will avoid getting crushed by the Tigers today. Detroit is #2 on wOBA with .338 and they are #1 in the league on K% with 16.7%, so they are a horrible matchup for Wang.

On the other side, Doug Fister will start for the Tigers tonight and he had an excellent bounce back against the Angels, after struggling against Boston. The Tigers lost that game against the Angels, but Fister allowed just one earned run in seven innings. Fister faced four good offenses on his last five starts and his last three outings were indeed against elite offenses over the last month: LA Angels #3, Boston #2 and Minnesota #6. Therefore, we can sat that Fister will be well tested to face the Blue Jays tonight. We have a clear SP edge in here favoring Detroit, with a slight offensive edge favoring the Tigers as well. So, I'll be taking Detroit tonight on a Double Dime Play. Split the wager.

Pick: 2 units on 913 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ D. Fister) @ -147 / 1.68 on 5Dimes
Pick: 2 units on 913 Detroit Tigers RL -1 (w/ D. Fister) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes

Monday, July 1, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/30: Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox

MLB - 915 Toronto Blue Jays @ 916 Boston Red Sox

(Starting Pitchers: M. Buehrle vs R. Dempster)

Toronto will start Mark Buehrle today and he finally struggled on an outing on his last start, where he allowed four runs in five innings against the Rays, with a poor 2/4 K/BB ratio. However, it's important to note that Tampa Bay is #1 in the league in hitting versus LH pitchers this season, so this was a very tough matchup for Buehrle. The truth is that the Blue Jays' pitcher has been great in June with a 3.72 FIP and 4.46 xFIP, much better than he did in April and May.

On the other hand, Ryan Dempster is coming from six quality starts in a row, but the advanced numbers tell a different story. In fact, all six starts have an adjusted FIP of higher than 100 (higher than league average), something that shows that Dempster wasn't that impressive after all. Dempster is homerun prone and Toronto is #3 on ISO in June with .166, so the Blue Jays should be able to expose that today. I believe this game should have had a 50/50 line, so I see great value on Toronto today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ M. Buehrle) @ +130 / 2.30 on Bovada

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/25: Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

MLB - 965 Toronto Blue Jays @ 966 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: M. Buehrle vs M. Moore)

We have a clear mismatch on pitching in here favoring Toronto. Mark Buehrle is dominating, even though he faced tough opponents on his last three outings: Texas (x2) and Colorado! He is currently super confident. After a 5.41 FIP in April, he posted a 4.50 FIP in May and he is currently having a 3.41 FIP in June. On the other hand, Matt Moore will start for the Rays. His command problems continue, but he got away with that on his last outing, where he posted a win at NY against the Yankees. However, he had a 4/3 K/BB ratio with 99 pitches on just 6.1 innings! This says a lot about his problems. Moore faced Toronto earlier on the season and he had command problems once again with 2/4 K/BB, where he posted a 3.60 ERA, but his advanced stats were much tougher: 7.25 FIP and 6.60 xFIP! The difference is that the Blue Jays are now hitting much better than they were last month, so Toronto have great value as underdogs tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Canadian team in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 965 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ M. Buehrle) @ +125 / 2.25 on 5Dimes

Monday, June 24, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/23: Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 967 Baltimore Orioles @ 968 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: F. Garcia vs J. Johnson)

Toronto is on a complete state of grace right now: good pitching, huge bullpen and of course a powerful lineups that keeps doing damage. The Orioles will start Freddy Garcia today and he has been struggling lately, with 2, 2 and 4 homeruns allowed on his last three starts! Garcia faced the Blue Jays earlier on the season and he was a bit lucky with just two runs allowed, even though he had just one strikeout! I don't expect him to be so lucky once again today.

On the other hand, Josh Johnson has been pitching well since he came back from the DL, even though he faced three tough opponents: @San Francisco, Texas and Colorado! Baltimore is also a tough opponent, but Johnson will give Toronto a nice SP edge in here, while the Blue Jays' bullpen and lineup is also playing better than Baltimore right now. Therefore, I expect a comfortable win for the Blue Jays today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 Toronto Blue Jays RL -1 (w/ J. Johnson) @ -113 / 1.89 on 5Dimes

Saturday, June 22, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/21: Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 965 Baltimore Orioles @ 966 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hammel vs R. Dickey)

Toronto is now 35-36 on the standings and this comeback has been the result of very good pitching (bullpen included), while their offense has been solid as usual. They will face Jason Hammel, who is on an extra rest spot, but due to illness. Hammel's last starts were against good offenses, but where he showed poor command with 1/2, 3/2 and 0/3 K/BB ratios, while allowing homeruns on every of these outings. Now against a confident Blue Rays' lineup, I expect Toronto to pound him tonight.

R.A. Dickey will start for Toronto tonight and he has been inconsistent with 1, 7, 0, 6, 6, 2, 2, 2 and 7 runs allowed on his last nine starts. Dickey allowed just one run against the Rangers on his last outing last Saturday and he is now on a revenge spot against the Orioles, as he has struggled against Baltimore twice earlier on the season. However, it's important to note that Dickey had 5 days of rest for tonight's game and he has a 3.14 ERA and .581 OPS on this kind of spot, while he has 5.80 ERA and .853 OPS with 4 days of rest. Those two outings against the Orioles were on 4 day rest spots, so this might be the key in here. Anyway, Toronto is now playing much better than they were earlier on the season and so, I expect them to pick up a comfortable win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ R. Dickey) @ -117 / 1.86 on Betonline

Friday, May 24, 2013

MLB Free Premium Play 05/24: Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays

  
Baltimore  at Toronto 



MLB - 965 Baltimore Orioles @ 966 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: C. Tillman vs S. Nolin)


Toronto will start Sean Nolin tonight, who is earning his first trip to the big leagues by going 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA on three starts for New Hampshire. This is a huge test for him, as he has never pitched above Double-A. He is coming from Double-A into the major leagues to debut against a team that is #2 in the league in hitting against LH pitchers with a .794 OPS! Good luck!

Baltimore will start Chris Tillman, who continues to be in some nice form. He had a few problems against Tampa Bay on his last start, but he hung in there with just three runs allowed in six innings. I believe Tillman will be able to have another positive outing tonight, while Baltimore will expose Nolin's lack of experience at this level to pound him. Therefore, I see a clear pitching edge in here for the Orioles, while both lineups are hitting quite well and at a similar level right now, so I see good value on taking Baltimore tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 965 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ C. Tillman) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes

Friday, May 3, 2013

MLB Premium Card 05/02


MLB - 961 Boston Red Sox @ 962 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: R. Dempster vs J. Happ)

NOTE: no detailed write up for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 962 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ J. Happ) @ +107 / 2.07 on 5Dimes