Wednesday, June 26, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/25: Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays

MLB - 965 Toronto Blue Jays @ 966 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: M. Buehrle vs M. Moore)

We have a clear mismatch on pitching in here favoring Toronto. Mark Buehrle is dominating, even though he faced tough opponents on his last three outings: Texas (x2) and Colorado! He is currently super confident. After a 5.41 FIP in April, he posted a 4.50 FIP in May and he is currently having a 3.41 FIP in June. On the other hand, Matt Moore will start for the Rays. His command problems continue, but he got away with that on his last outing, where he posted a win at NY against the Yankees. However, he had a 4/3 K/BB ratio with 99 pitches on just 6.1 innings! This says a lot about his problems. Moore faced Toronto earlier on the season and he had command problems once again with 2/4 K/BB, where he posted a 3.60 ERA, but his advanced stats were much tougher: 7.25 FIP and 6.60 xFIP! The difference is that the Blue Jays are now hitting much better than they were last month, so Toronto have great value as underdogs tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Canadian team in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 965 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ M. Buehrle) @ +125 / 2.25 on 5Dimes

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