Showing posts with label New York Yankees. Show all posts
Showing posts with label New York Yankees. Show all posts

Thursday, August 29, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/28: New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 969 New York Yankees @ 970 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: H. Kuroda vs T. Redmond)
The Yankees will start Hiroki Kuroda tonight, who is coming from his worst start of the season against Tampa Bay. It was the second start in a row where he struggled, but it's important to note that he was unlucky against the Red Sox with a ,500 BABIP, while Kuroda has been struggling against the Rays lately with a 6.11 ERA and .290 BA on three starts against them this season. Kuroda struggles against LH batters (.252 BA, .310 wOBA and 3.91 FIP) and Tampa Bay used six LH batters on the lineup to take advantage of that. Things will be different tonight, as Toronto will be a much easier matchup for him, as he is allowing just .243 BA in 181 AB's against the Blue Jays' roster! Toronto lacks a decent number of LH batters to make Kuroda struggle and so, I expect him to bounce back tonight.

On the other side, Todd Redmond will start for the Blue Jays and he is coming from getting crushed at Houston with eight earned runs allowed in just 3.1 innings! He only has the fastball and the slider on his weaponry and the Yankees are the top 10 team in hitting against both pitches over the last two weeks. Therefore, I expect Redmond to heavily struggle once again tonight, while Kuroda should bounce back, so I'll be taking the Yankees in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969 New York Yankees ML (w/ H. Kuroda) @ -135 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

Thursday, August 15, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/14: Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees

MLB - 967 Los Angeles Angels @ 968 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: J. Weaver vs I. Nova)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 New York Yankees ML (w/ I. Nova) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bovada

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/13: Los Angeles Angels @ New York Yankees

MLB - 913 Los Angeles Angels @ 914 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: J. Vargas vs C. Sabathia)

The Angels will present a depleted lineup tonight, with just three power hitters: Mike Trout, Mark Trumbo and Josh Hamilton. From the three, Trumbo is currently slumping and Josh is 2-17 on AB's against Sabathia. Only Trout can be dangerous tonight. Sabathia played at LA against the Angels in June and allowed just two earned runs in eight innings to an Angels' lineup at its best. Therefore, I believe Sabathia will be able to have a good outing tonight.

Jason Vargas will start for the Angels tonight and I believe he will struggle against a Yankees' lineup that has been showing some positive signs lately. Vargas is coming from the DL and as he is a flyball pitcher, I believe that he will struggle in pitching at the Yankees Stadium tonight. The Yankees' roster is hitting .321 BA and .886 OPS in 131 AB's against Vargas and I believe they will put him in some trouble tonight. Therefore, I expect the Yankees to pick up a comfortable win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 914 New York Yankees ML (w/ C. Sabathia) @ -146 / 1.69 on Betonline

Sunday, August 11, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/10: Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

MLB - 963 Detroit Tigers @ 964 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: A. Sanchez vs P. Hughes)

The Yankees won yesterday's game, where the star was Ivan Nova, who dominated! Nova is a groundball pitcher, but he was able to have 7 strikeouts against Detroit! But things will be different today, as Phil Hughes will start for the Yankees and he is coming from allowing ten earned runs in a combined of 6.2 innings in his last two starts! He is a flyball pitcher and with him pitching at NY in home games, he tends to get pounded by the long ball. He can have nice 10/1 K/BB command performances like he had against Minnesota, but that doesn't matter when he allows three homeruns at the same time! Hughes will now face Detroit in bounce back mode and they'll pound him today.

Anibal Sanchez will start for the Tigers and even though he has been decent since returning from the DL, including an excellent start against Cleveland on his last start, where he allow two earned runs in 7.2 innings, while having a 11/2 K/BB ratio! With Sanchez back at a great level, he won't have problem with a Yankees' lineup that had problems yesterday even though they were facing a struggling Rick Porcello with 2-15 RISP! Therefore, I expect an easy win for the Tigers today. 

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Detroit Tigers RL -1 (w/ A. Sanchez) @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes

Saturday, August 10, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/09: Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees

MLB - 921 Detroit Tigers @ 922 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: R. Porcello vs I. Nova)

The Yankees will start Ivan Nova tonight and he has been amazing lately, with 0, 1, 3, 1 and 2 earned runs allowed, while throwing some perfect groundballs, something very important while facing Detroit. Nova had 5 days of rest prior to this game and he threw just 86 pitches on his last start. Therefore, I believe he will be able to have a nice outing tonight against the Tigers.

Detroit will start Rick Porcello tonight and he has been clearly weaker against LH batters this season. The Tigers won't have Alex Avila on the lineup tonight, with Bryan Pena getting the start on his place. The Tigers won't have the starting 2B or the starting catcher tonight on the lineup, José Iglesias is new on the team, while Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder are poor defenders, so Detroit will be prone to some lousy defense tonight. Porcello has been allowing .303 BA, .342 wOBA and 3.96 FIP versus LH batters this season and therefore, the Yankees will present the following lineup tonight:

1. Brett Gardner (L) CF
2. Ichiro Suzuki (L) RF
3. Robinson Cano (L) 2B
4. Alfonso Soriano (R) DH
5. Alex Rodriguez (R) 3B
6. Curtis Granderson (L) LF
7. Lyle Overbay (L) 1B
8. Eduardo Nunez (R) SS
9. Chris Stewart (R) C

I believe the Yankees have a great spot for a big win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 922 New York Yankees ML (w/ I. Nova) @ +100 / 2.00 on Bovada

Thursday, August 8, 2013

MLB Premium Play 08/07: New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox

MLB - 921 New York Yankees @ 922 Chicago White Sox

(Starting Pitchers: C. Sabathia vs H. Santiago)

Hector Santiago will start for the White Sox tonight and he has been great lately by allowing three or less runs on his last six starts! He faced Detroit in two of his last three outings and he was excellent in both games with two and three earned runs allowed! The Yankees are just #27 on hitting against LH pitchers this season, so Santiago has a great matchup to keep his nice run of consecutive good outings tonight

The Yankees will start C.C. Sabathia tonight, who has been horrible lately. He is coming from from five runs allowed in 5.2 innings against San Diego last Friday, for his 10th loss of the season! Even on a pitcher-friendly park, Sabathia struggled, allowing one more home run. Sabathia has now allowed 5, 7 and 7 earned runs on his last three outings and even though the White Sox aren't being a great team versus LH pitchers this season, the truth is that they are hitting .333 BA against LH pitchers on their last 10 games! I believe the White Sox have a clear SP edge for tonight's game and so, I'll be taking them in here for a comfortable win.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 922 Chicago White Sox ML (w/ H. Santiago) @ -107 / 1.93 on Bovada

Sunday, July 28, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/27: Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees

MLB - 967 Tampa Bay Rays @ 968 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: C. Archer vs I. Nova)

Tampa Bay took advantage yesterday of the fact that they have the best offense in the league versus LH pitchers and pounded C.C. Sabathia. Even though it was an easy win for the Rays, it was interesting to see the Yankees's offense to be decent with six runs in eleven hits! For today's game, I expect things to be different, as the Yankees will have a SP edge in here. Ivan Nova will start for them and he has been very solid since he returned from the DL. He had a FIP and xFIP below 3.50 in June and July, while also having K% numbers above 20%! This is particularly impressive, as Nova had a tough schedule with starts against Tampa Bay, Baltimore and even a road start at Texas on his last outing. Unlike Sabathia, Nova is currently in good form and he should have a good outing in here.

On the other hand, the Rays will start Chris Archer, who is currently on my fade alert list. I faded him on his last outing at Toronto by saying that his three previous "quality" outings in a row had happened against favorable matchup, as he faced Houston twice and also Minnesota. Archer allowed just one earned run against the Blue Jays, but his 1/4 K/BB ratio was shockingly bad. This is why Archer had a 4.90 FIP and 7.70 xFIP in that game. Therefore, I expect Archer to finally start regressing today, especially now that the Yankees are showing some offensive life once again. So, I'll be taking the NY team as home underdogs today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 New York Yankees ML (w/ I. Nova) @ +104 / 2.04 on Bovada

Saturday, July 27, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees

MLB - 919 Tampa Bay Rays @ 920 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hellickson vs C. Sabathia)

Tampa Bay's offense is currently red hot and they are #1 in the league on hitting versus LH pitchers! In fact, they are hitting .291 BA versus LH pitchers over their last 10 games! They will face C.C. Sabathia, who has been struggling with his mechanics lately. In fact, he had 8.65, 5.30 and 5.27 FIP on his last three outings, very poor numbers! Sabathia's problems are just mechanical, as he has been lacking some speed on his pitches as well and the red hot Rays will take advantage of that tonight.

On the other side, Jeremy Hellickson will start for Tampa Bay and he has been on a roll lately. He had a tough schedule by facing Toronto twice, Detroit and Boston in four of his last six games, but he was excellent in all of these games! He is yet to face the Yankees this season and with the NY team's offense struggling all season long (#26 in the league L14 days), I can only expect Hellickson to have another good start tonight. I believe Tampa Bay will have a SP and offensive edge in here, so I'll be taking them tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 919 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ J. Hellickson) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes

Wednesday, July 10, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/09: Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees

MLB - 967 Kansas City Royals @ 968 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: J. Shields vs C. Sabathia)

James Shields will start for the Royals tonight and I took the Under on his last outing against Cleveland, but he was very erratic in that game. Shields allowed five runs in 5.1 innings in that outing and the truth is that he has a 6.48 ERA over his last three games! He has been quite hittable, his command has been poor as well and so, his advanced numbers are consequently also suffering a lot. The Yankees may not be hitting well right now, but they should still be able to do some damage against the struggling Shields tonight.

The NY team will start C.C. Sabathia tonight and I believe he has been having an underrated season. He is coming from allowing just two runs on seven innings against the Twins and I believe that the main reason why he has been struggling a bit this season is due to his very tough schedule: @MIN; @BAL; vs TB; @LAA; @OAK; vs CLE! The Royals won't be such a tough opponent for him and I believe Sabathia will have another good performance tonight. Kansas City won yesterday's game, so this is a nice bounce back spot for the Yankees to pick up a comfortable win on a revenge spot for them. I'm taking the Yankees tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 New York Yankees ML (w/ C. Sabathia) @ -137 / 1.73 on 5Dimes

Monday, July 8, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/07: Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

MLB - 965 Baltimore Orioles @ 966 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hammel vs H. Kuroda)

Baltimore will start Jason Hammel today and he has been in terrible form lately. He allowed five earned runs in seven innings against the White Sox and even though Hammel has been facing some great opposition lately, the truth is that his 5.19 ERA and 18 home runs allowed in 100.2 innings this year don't lie. He is struggling and the Yankees' lineup with their regained confidence should pound him today.

On the other hand, the Yankees will start Hiroki Kuroda, who saw his start being moved up for Sunday due to a small hip injury. This allowed Kuroda to have some extra rest for today and he is coming exactly from an outing against Baltimore on the road on Sunday Night Baseball, where he allowed four earned runs in six innings. However, I have to mention that his command was great with 7/0 K/BB! Even though Kuroda is likely to have an issue here and there today, he is on revenge mode and he has enough quality to handle the Orioles today, especially as Baltimore's offense is just #25 over the past two weeks! On the other hand, the Yankees seem ready to pound the struggling Hammel and so, I'll be taking the NY team today for a comfortable win for them.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 New York Yankees ML (w/ H. Kuroda) @ -123 / 1.81 on Bovada

Thursday, July 4, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/03: New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins

MLB - 971 New York Yankees @ 972 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: C. Sabathia vs P. Walters)

Minnesota is starting P.J. Walters tonight and he is one of the worst starting pitchers in the league. Walters allowed 16 earned runs on his last three games (a combined of nine innings). The Yankees' offense was struggling, but they scored 10 and 7 runs on the first two games of this series, so they have woken up. Now against the terrible Walters, I expect the NY team to be able to pound him tonight.

The Yankees are C.C. Sabathia tonight and he is coming from four runs allowed on a loss at Baltimore last Friday. Sabathia has been struggling lately, but he had top offensive teams in all his last six starts! He started the season with a lot of problems, including a clear loss of speed on his fastball, something that he has been correcting lately. I believe Sabathia is being underrated and the reason for his struggles was his tough opposition. Now against the Twins, I expect him to bounce back. As Walters will struggle again, I believe the Yankees will pick up an easy win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 971 New York Yankees RL -1 (w/ C. Sabathia) @ -135 / 1.71 on 5Dimes

Wednesday, July 3, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/02: New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins

MLB - 919 New York Yankees @ 920 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: P. Hughes vs S. Deduno)

Phil Hughes is starting for the Yankees tonight and he is being very inconsistent this season, but with a clear pattern. He struggles against good offenses (LAA, OAK, BOS), while he has good outings against subpar offenses (TEX, SEA, NYM). Hughes's numbers are explained with his struggles versus LH batters: .303 BA and .391 wOBA allowed, 5.52 FIP and 4.94 xFIP. Considering how the Twins' lineup is loaded with LH batters right now, I expect Hughes to struggle tonight.

Minnesota will start Samuel Deduno, who allowed just one run in seven innings against the Royals last Thursday. Deduno has been pitching well and he had good outings at Cleveland and Detroit, with 2.05 and 3.34 FIP on these games. Even though they were facing the slumping Scott Diamond, the Yankees struggled with generating runs against him yesterday and it was Minnesota's bullpen who screwed up at the end. I see the Twins having a clear SP + offense edge in here, so I'll be taking Minnesota tonight. As the Yankees have a clear bullpen edge on this matchup, I'll be taking the Twins on the first five innings.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 920 Minnesota Twins FIRST 5 INNINGS ML (w/ S. Deduno) @ -113 / 1.89 on 5Dimes

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

MLB Premium Play 07/01: New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins

MLB - 963 New York Yankees @ 964 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: A. Pettitte vs S. Diamond)

Andy Pettitte will start for the Yankees tonight and he has been excellent versus LH batters this season with 1.62 FIP and 2.86 xFIP. He struggled a bit in previous outings against Cleveland, Tampa Bay and the LA Angels, but these are teams that generally hit extremely well versus LH pitchers like Pettitte. Minnesota will use the following lineup tonight with four LH batters, so I don't them to put Pettitte in danger a lot tonight:

1. Clete Thomas (L) CF
2. Brian Dozier (R) 2B
3. Ryan Doumit (S) C
4. Josh Willingham (R) DH
5. Justin Morneau (L) 1B
6. Trevor Plouffe (R) 3B
7. Oswaldo Arcia (L) LF
8. Chris Parmelee (L) RF
9. Eduardo Escobar (S) SS

On the other hand, Simon Diamond will start for the Twins tonight and he is clearly struggling right now. He faced Miami (#28 vs LHP), the White Sox (#29 vs LHP) and Washington (#30 vs LHP) in three of his last four starts and he still struggle in those games. This is a clear sign that Diamond is slumping right now and so, even the struggling lineup of the Yankees should be able to put him in danger in here. I see the NY team bouncing back tonight after a loss yesterday on Sunday Night Baseball and so, I'll be taking the Yankees in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 New York Yankees ML (w/ A. Pettitte) @ -112 / 1.89 on 5Dimes

Monday, July 1, 2013

MLB Premium Play 06/30: New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

MLB - 913 New York Yankees @ 914 Baltimore Orioles

(Starting Pitchers: H. Kuroda vs C. Tillman)

Baltimore will start Chris Tillman today and he is coming from three nice outings against Cleveland, Boston and Detroit! Tillman will have a duel tonight against Hiroki Kuroda and even though I believe Kuroda is the better pitcher in here, the matchups on this contest tell another story.

Hiroki Kuroda struggles versus LH batters with .303 wOBA, 4.12 FIP and 4.29 xFIP this season and even though these numbers aren't horrible, the Orioles' lineup is simply amazing versus RH pitchers and they will pound Kuroda tonight, with their usual lineup:

1. Nate McLouth (L) LF
2. Manny Machado (R) 3B
3. Nick Markakis (L) RF
4. Adam Jones (R) CF
5. Chris Davis (L) 1B
6. Matt Wieters (S) C
7. J.J. Hardy (R) SS
8. Chris Dickerson (L) DH
9. Ryan Flaherty (L) 2B

The Orioles used six players on their lineup yesterday who hit on the left side and this should also happen tonight. Chris Tillman has a 4.28 FIP and 4.48 xFIP in June, but he faced three elite offenses in Detroit, Cleveland and Boston. The Yankees' offense has nothing in common with those quality offenses, so Tillman should be able to have a decent outing in here. With the red hot Orioles putting Kuroda in danger, I expect Baltimore to prevail in tonight's Sunday Night Baseball game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 914 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ C. Tillman) @ -126 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

Saturday, May 25, 2013

MLB Premium Play 05/24: New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays

MLB - 969 New York Yankees @ 970 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: D. Phelps vs R. Hernandez)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

I took Roberto Hernandez on his last start at Baltimore and I was lucky because he only pitched for two innings, as he allowed five runs and eight hits during that span. Fortunately for us, Baltimore's bullpen choked the game away at the end. Hernandez's main issue has been with homeruns. His best pitch is the changeup and he has a nice matchup tonight, as the Yankees are just #19 on hitting against those this season. Hernandez hasn't pitched against the Yankees since 2011, so I believe he has a bit of surprise factor going on tonight and this will allow him to bounce back nicely at home. 

On the other side, David Phelps is coming from two starts where he threw 115 and 113 pitches! He had 8/3 and 7/5 K/BB ratios in those outings, but considering that he faced the Blue Jays and the Indians in those starts, I can't say that he was terrible on those games. Phelps's main pitch is the cutter, but he will struggle tonight as Tampa Bay is #2 in the league in hitting against those. I see the Rays being underrated in here, as Hernandez isn't a weaker pitcher than Phelps, while he actually has a better matchup tonight and the Rays' lineup is certainly hitting better than the Yankees right now. If we add the home factor, I expect Tampa Bay to pick up a nice win over their divisional rivals in here! So, I'll be taking it on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 970 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ R. Hernandez) @ -113 / 1.89 on Betonline

Thursday, May 23, 2013

MLB Premium Play 05/22: New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles

MLB - 969 New York Yankees @ 970 Baltimore Orioles

(Starting Pitchers: H. Kuroda vs J. Hammel)

Hikori Kuroda is pitching for the Yankees today and he is coming from a great performance against Toronto, where he shutdown the Blue Jays in eight innings. He has allowed just four runs on his last four starts and he has been dominating the Orioles with a 2-1 record and an 1.85 ERA against them. However, I actually believe Kuroda will have some troubles tonight. He has been posting excellent numbers, but his numbers are a bit worse against LH batters: .235 BA, 3.56 FIP and 4.74 xFIP! His best pitch is the slider and Baltimore is #1 in the league in hitting against those this season! The Orioles are also a great hitting team against RH pitchers, as they are #4 in the league with a .778 OPS! Kuroda had four starts against Baltimore previously on his career, but all of them were at NY! This will be his first outing at Baltimore, so I believe the Orioles will indeed put him in some trouble tonight.

On the other hand, Jason Hammel is pitching for the Orioles and he is 1-1 on his last three outings, even though he has allowed 17 runs in 14.2 innings! He was unable to reach the fifth inning on his last two starts and he is coming from getting crushed with 7 runs and 10 hits on 4.2 innings against Tampa Bay last Friday. Prior to that game, he had allowed six runs to Minnesota. Besides a couple of nice starts at Oakland and Seattle, where he was pitching on pitcher-friendly parks, the truth is that Hammel has been pounded time and time again. He faced the Yankees earlier on this season at NY and he played well by allowing just two runs, but those were solo homeruns and that was already at April 13th! He is currently one of the worst SP's in the league and so, I expect the Yankees to pound him today.

So, I believe this will be a high scoring contest and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969/970 Over 9 (w/ H. Kuroda & J. Hammel) @ +100 / 2.00 on Bookmaker

Friday, April 26, 2013

MLB Premium Play 04/25: Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees


MLB - 915 Toronto Blue Jays @ 916 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: M. Buehrle vs H. Kuroda)

We have some value on the Blue Jays as underdogs tonight. After a bad start against Cleveland, Mark Buehrle is coming from three consecutive good starts in terms of advanced stats with 3.47, 3.01 and 3.29 FIP! It might look weird, but the Yankees are really struggling against LH pitchers this season and they are dead last on hitting against them this season with an awful .557 OPS!

On the other side, Hiroki Kuroda has been pitching well this season. However, he will have a tough matchup tonight against the Blue Jays's power lineup, who woke up yesterday with five home runs at Baltimore! I see Buehrle having a great outing tonight and with Kuroda being threatened by a very dangerous lineup from Toronto, so I believe we have great value to take the Blue Jays as underdogs tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ M. Buehrle) @ +125 / 2.25 on Betonline

Thursday, April 25, 2013

MLB Premium Play 04/24: New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays


MLB - 975 New York Yankees @ 976 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: A. Pettitte vs A. Cobb)

Andy Pettitte missed a start due to back spasms, but then looked good at Toronto. However, his advanced stats say that he is overrated, looking at the three starts he has already had this season. His 5.02 FIP and 3.83 FIP on his last two outings were clearly worse than his ERA numbers. On a potential pitching duel with Alex Cobb, I expect the Rays's pitcher to get the upperhand. 

Just like it happens with Pettitte, Cobb is a groundball machine and so, he is a tough matchup for the Yankees's power lineup. He showed some excellent poise on his last start against Oakland, where he allowed 3ER, even though he allowed 10 hits. I expect him to have another decent showing against the Yankees today, while the Rays should cause some damage on Pettitte, as he is likely to regress a bit today, especially while facing a confident Rays's lineup. Therefore, I'll be taking Tampa Bay tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 976 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ A. Cobb) @ -128 / 1.78 on Bovada

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

MLB Premium Play 04/22: New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays


MLB - 967 New York Yankees @ 968 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: C. Sabathia vs M. Moore)

C.C. Sabathia got the win on his last outing, even though he has confessed that he has lost some velocity on his pitching. He has stated that he is trying to make some adjustments on his pitches to remain effective. But for now, I believe he is in danger to get a bit pounded tonight. Tampa Bay is quite confident right now and they are coming from a sweep against the Athletics. 

On the other hand, the Yankees's offense has been amazing against RH pitchers this season, but they have been struggling this season against LH pitchers by being just #23 in the league with a poor .596 OPS! Moore has been Tampa Bay's best SP this season, with three straight quality outings, with his last two outings being against Texas and Baltimore. C.C. Sabathia struggles against the Rays last season and his new look with less speed than usual has surprised his opponents. However, with a bit more time for his opponents to scout him, I believe the league will get him sooner or later. I believe that starts tonight, with Tampa Bay having a nice home win against Sabathia and the Yankees tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ M. Moore) @ -117 / 1.85 on Bovada

Saturday, April 13, 2013

MLB 04/13 Free Premium Play: Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees

  
Baltimore  at New York Yankees 

MLB - 921 Baltimore Orioles @ 922 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hammel vs P. Hughes)


Jason Hammel struggled on his first two starts of the season with 5.40 ERA, 4.45 FIP and 6.60 xFIP + 4.50 ERA, 5.10 FIP and 5.56 xFIP. This is especially concerning as he faced Tampa Bay and Minnesota, two teams who are respectively #28 with .621 OPS and #22 with .692 OPS against RH pitchers this season. He is also having too many flyballs (56.8% FB%) for the kind of pitcher that he generally is (+/- 30% FB%). He will now face the Yankees's batters who are #1 in the league with .895 OPS against RH pitchers this season, so I expect him to struggle a lot today.

On the other hand, Phil Hughes gave up eight hits in four innings on an outing at Detroit and he has been struggling with a stomach flu over the last few days. Today against the power hitting offense of the Orioles on a windy day, I expect this flyball pitcher to struggle today as well. With both pitchers struggling, I expect today's contest to be a high scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 921/922 Over 9 (w/ J. Hammel & P. Hughes) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes